AQ shenanigans:
SEC: LSU to the lead!
The 1 line: Kansas (20-4), Oklahoma (20-4), Villanova (22-3), Xavier (22-3)
The 2 line: Iowa (20-5), Virginia (20-5), North Carolina (21-4), Michigan St (21-5)
The 3 line: Oregon (19-6), Maryland (21-4), West Virginia (20-5), Miami (20-4)
The 4 line: Duke (19-6), Dayton (21-3), Iowa St (18-7), Purdue (20-6)
The 5 line: Kentucky (19-6), Arizona (21-5), USC (18-7), Notre Dame (18-7)
The 6 line: Texas (16-9), Indiana (20-6), Baylor (17-7), Texas A&M (18-7)
The 7 line: California (17-8), South Carolina (20-4), Utah (18-7), Colorado (18-7)
The 8 line: Pittsburgh (16-7), Syracuse (18-8), Providence (19-7), Michigan (18-7)
The 9 line: Seton Hall (17-7), Monmouth (21-5), St Joseph's (21-4), Wisconsin (16-9)
The 10 line: Wichita St (17-7), Florida (16-9), Butler (17-8), Temple (16-8)
The 11 line: UConn (18-7), Gonzaga (19-6), LSU (16-9), Cincinnati (19-7), St Bonaventure (17-6)
The 12 line: Valparaiso (19-5), VCU (18-7), Florida St (16-9), San Diego St (17-7), Chattanooga (21-4)
The 13 line: Akron (19-5), Arkansas-Litle Rock (20-3), South Dakota St (18-6), UNC-Wilmington (18-5)
The 14 line: Yale (16-5), Stony Brook (20-4), Hawaii (18-3), UAB (20-5)
The 15 line: Tennessee Tech (16-8), New Mexico St (16-8), Stephen F Austin (14-5), Montana (13-8)
The 16 line: UNC-Asheville (15-9), North Florida (15-10), Bucknell (12-12), Hampton (13-9), Fairleigh Dickinson (12-12), Texas Southern (11-12)
Next 4 in:
Wisconsin
Wichita St***
Florida
Butler
Temple***
UConn
Gonzaga***
LSU***
Last 4 in:
Cincinnati
St Bonaventure
Valparaiso***
VCU
Florida St
Last 4 out:
Oregon St (14-9)
Alabama (15-9)
George Washington (18-7)
Washington (15-10)
Next 4 out:
Texas Tech (15-9)
Clemson (15-10)
St Mary's (19-4)
San Diego St***
Tulsa (16-9)
The consideration board:
Chattanooga***
Vanderbilt (15-10)
UCLA (14-11)
Creighton (17-9)
Akron***
Georgia (14-9)
Arkansas-Little Rock***
Ohio St (16-10)
Kansas St (14-11)
BYU (18-8)
Arizona St (14-12)
3 comments:
Kentucky beat Duke by 11 on a neutral court.
Both teams are 19-6
Kentucky RPI is 13, has 5 top 50 wins, 10 top 100 wins, non conf SOS of 6, overall SOS of 27
Duke RPI is 17, has 3 top 50 wins, 9 top 100 wins.
Kentucky has 2 sub 100 losses, Duke has 0.
Kentucky has 2 wins away from home vs NCAA lock teams (Duke and @South Carolina)
Duke has 0 wins away from home vs NCAA lock teams.
Good thing the refs missed that travel otherwise Duke profile would look more like a 6 seed than a 4 seed.
Not seeing how Duke is ahead of Kentucky at all and you have them 4 spots ahead.
Two committee trends I think that override the other things:
1) They overseed teams from good conferences (ACC) and underseed them from bad conferences (SEC) and
2) Signature wins matter more for the upper seeds, and Duke's is much better. I do think we're a missed travel call from Duke being on the 6 line.
Plus I don't care what the numbers say, Alabama isn't a top 50 team.
It's a reasonable argument but this is the textbook situation in which the committee will aggressively seed a team like Duke.
I think Texas Tech just told us to shut the hell up.
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