Monday, January 30, 2017

1/23 S-CURVE

The 1 line:  Villanova (19-1), Kansas (18-1), Kentucky (17-2), Baylor (17-1)
The 2 line:  Florida St (18-2), UCLA (19-2), Gonzaga (19-0), Louisville (16-4)
The 3 line:  North Carolina (17-3), Butler (17-3), Arizona (18-2), Virginia (15-3)
The 4 line:  Oregon (17-2), Creighton (17-2), West Virginia (15-4), Wisconsin (16-3)
The 5 line:  Notre Dame (17-3), Duke (15-4), Cincinnati (17-2), St Mary’s (17-2)
The 6 line:  Florida (14-5), Purdue (16-4), Xavier (14-5), Maryland (16-2)
The 7 line:  South Carolina (14-4), Indiana (14-6), Minnesota (15-5), SMU (17-4)
The 8 line:  Virginia Tech (15-4), Arkansas (15-4), Dayton (14-4), Iowa St (12-6)
The 9 line:  Seton Hall (13-6), Northwestern (16-4), USC (17-4), Michigan St (12-8)
The 10 line:  TCU (13-5), Middle Tennessee (16-3), Kansas St (15-4), Pittsburgh (12-7)
The 11 line:  Wake Forest (12-7), Miami (12-6), Marquette (13-6), California (14-6), Michigan (13-7), VCU (15-5)
The 12 line:  Illinois St (15-4), UNC-Wilmington (17-2), Nevada (16-4), Akron (15-3)
The 13 line:  Valparaiso (15-4), Monmouth (16-5), New Mexico St (16-2), Georgia Southern (11-6)
The 14 line:  North Dakota St (12-6), UNC-Greensboro (13-5), Vermont (15-5), Belmont (13-4)
The 15 line:  Bucknell (15-6), Winthrop (13-4), Princeton (9-6), Texas Southern (10-9)
The 16 line:  UC-Irvine (11-9), Weber St (8-7), New Orleans (8-7), Mount St Mary's (9-12), North Florida (5-13), Coppin St (4-14)

Next 4 in:
Kansas St
Pittsburgh
Wake Forest
Miami

Last 4 in:
Marquette
California
Michigan
VCU

Last 4 out:
Clemson
Georgia
Illinois St*
Rhode Island
Texas Tech

Next 4 out:
UNC-Wilmington*
Nevada*
Wichita St
Illinois
Providence
Utah

Monday, January 23, 2017

1/23 BRACKET

EAST 35
@Buffalo
1) Villanova (19-1) vs. 16) Mount St Mary's (9-12)/Coppin St (4-14)
8) Virginia Tech (15-4) vs. 9) Michigan St (12-8)
@Buffalo
4) West Virginia (15-4) vs. 13) Monmouth (16-5)
5) Notre Dame (17-3) vs. 12) Akron (15-3)
@Salt Lake City
3) Arizona (18-2) vs. 14) North Dakota St (12-6)
6) Maryland (16-2) vs. 11) Miami (12-6)
@Indianapolis
2) Louisville (16-4) vs. 15) Bucknell (15-6)
7) Indiana (14-6) vs. 10) Middle Tennessee (16-3)

WEST 36
@Tulsa
1) Baylor (17-1) vs. 16) UC-Irvine (11-9)
8) Arkansas (15-4) vs. 9) Northwestern (16-4)
@Milwaukee
4) Creighton (17-2) vs. 13) Valparaiso (15-4)
5) Cincinnati (17-2) vs. 12) Illinois St (15-4)
@Greenville
3) Virginia (15-3) vs. 14) UNC-Greensboro (13-5)
6) Xavier (14-5) vs. 11) California (14-6)/VCU (15-5)
@Sacramento
2) UCLA (19-2) vs. 15) Princeton (9-6)
7) Minnesota (15-5) vs. 10) Pittsburgh (12-7)

SOUTH 34
@Indianapolis
1) Kentucky (17-2) vs. 16) New Orleans (8-7)/North Florida (5-13)
8) Iowa St (12-6) vs. 9) Seton Hall (13-6)
@Orlando
4) Wisconsin (16-3) vs. 13) Georgia Southern (11-6)
5) Duke (15-4) vs. 12) UNC-Wilmington (17-2)
@Milwaukee
3) Butler (17-3) vs. 14) Vermont (15-5)
6) Purdue (16-4) vs. 11) Wake Forest (12-7)
@Orlando
2) Florida St (18-2) vs. 15) Winthrop (13-4)
7) South Carolina (14-4) vs. 10) Kansas St (15-4)

MIDWEST 31
@Tulsa
1) Kansas (18-1) vs. 16) Weber St (8-7)
8) Dayton (14-4) vs. 9) USC (17-4)
@Sacramento
4) Oregon (17-2) vs. 13) New Mexico St (16-2)
5) St Mary's (17-2) vs. 12) Nevada (16-4)
@Greenville
3) North Carolina (17-3) vs. 14) Belmont (13-4)
6) Florida (14-5) vs. 11) Marquette (13-6)/Michigan (13-7)
@Salt Lake City
2) Gonzaga (19-0) vs. 15) Texas Southern (10-9)
7) SMU (17-4) vs. 10) TCU (13-5)

Bubble watch, part VIII: everyone else

These are quickie profiles and writeups you can use in your evaluations.  Don’t expect eloquent thoughts, they’re just quick-hitters.

WCC

Lockbox:

Gonzaga (19-0) (7-0) RPI 10 SoS 66
Vital signs:  8-0 R/N, non-con SoS 45, 4-0 vs. Top 50, 7-0 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-Florida, N-Iowa St, N-Arizona, St Mary’s
Bad losses:  nope
Only question is if they lose and if they can get to the 1 line.  Need help to get there, IMO.  Arizona winning the Pac-12 would help, too.

St Mary’s (17-2) (7-1) RPI 24 SoS 81
Vital signs:  6-1 R/N, non-con SoS 96, 2-1 vs. Top 50, 4-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Dayton
Bad losses:  UTA at home isn’t great
Those other top 100 wins?  There’s a Nevada in there, and a Stanford.  Meh.  But they did schedule okay, do have the road win at Dayton, and will be fine with no bad losses.

NIT Watch:
BYU (15-6) (6-2) RPI 99 SoS 157
San Francisco (13-7) (4-4) RPI 104 SoS 115 – but there’s a reasonable chance neither of these teams make the NIT.

Mountain West

Bubble:

Nevada (16-4) (5-2) RPI 44 SoS 110
Vital signs:  8-3 R/N, non-con SoS 150, 0-1 vs. Top 50, 2-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  SDSU, @UNM
Bad losses:  N-Iona, twice to Fresno?
Token listing as the MWC leader.  This isn’t happening.

NIT Watch:
Boise St (11-6) (5-2) RPI 85 SoS 121
Fresno St (11-7) (5-3) RPI 92 SoS 131
New Mexico (12-8) (5-3) RPI 83 SoS 60
San Diego St (10-7) (3-3) RPI 89 SoS 80 – and none of these teams will probably make it.  Or one will if they can separate from the rest.  Jeez.

MVC:

Bubble:

Illinois St (15-4) (8-0) RPI 29 SoS 83
Vital signs:  6-4 R/N, non-con SoS 49, 0-1 vs. Top 50, 2-1 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  Wichita, New Mexico?
Bad losses:  N-San Francisco, @Tulsa
No.  There’s nothing good here.  The SoS is a product of bad team avoidance and 6 wins in the 100-150 range.

Wichita St (16-4) (7-1) RPI 78 SoS 188
Vital signs:  6-3 R/N, non-con SoS 206, 0-3 vs. Top 50, 0-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  Tulsa!  @Oklahoma!
Bad losses:  Ok State at home
Man, that SoS collapsed on itself.  I just don’t see an argument here that can be made.

NIT Watch:
Missouri St (13-7) (5-3) RPI 144 SoS 242 – no.
Loyola(Chi) (12-7) (4-4) RPI 126 SoS 183 – no.

Everyone else:

Bubble:

UNC-Wilmington (17-2) (8-0) RPI 26 SoS 142
Vital signs:  10-2 R/N, non-con SoS 118, 0-2 vs. Top 50, 2-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Charleston?  @Bonaventure?
Bad losses:  I suppose @Clemson
I’ll give them a look as the road/neutral numbers are big and the SoS isn’t a killer and the CAA won’t sink them.  Going to be tough without any win of value, though.

Middle Tennessee (16-3) (7-0) RPI 35 SoS 99
Vital signs:  10-1 R/N, non-con SoS 23, 2-1 vs. Top 50, 5-1 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-UNC-W, @Ole Miss, Vandy?
Bad losses:  Tennessee St, Georgia St
Man, those two losses are killer.  Good non-con SoS, but there’s juuuust enough damage here to make a bid unlikely.

NIT Watch:
Charleston (15-5) (7-1) RPI 66 SoS 108 – I can see 2nd place in the CAA being rewarded with a NIT bid, if the RPI is this shiny.
Texas-Arlington (12-5) (4-2) RPI 56 SoS 164 – win at St Mary’s has some juice, but not much behind it.
Arkansas St (12-6) (4-2) RPI 74 SoS 159 – beat G’town and Chattanooga, so there’s faint NIT hope.
Chattanooga (13-4) (6-1) RPI 63 SoS 178 – probably optimistic to list them.
Monmouth (16-5) (8-2) RPI 57 SoS 150 – not the same resume as last year.
Akron (15-3) (6-0) RPI 40 SoS 154 – signature win is Ga Southern, so don’t get carried away with the RPI.
Valparaiso (15-4) (6-1) RPI 62 SoS 146 – URI win is okay, just wish Alabama and BYU were better wins than what they are.

New Mexico St (16-2) (5-0) RPI 55 SoS 256 – how is the RPI so good with that SoS?

Bubble watch, part VII: A-10/AAC

These are quickie profiles and writeups you can use in your evaluations.  Don’t expect eloquent thoughts, they’re just quick-hitters.

A-10:

Bubble:

Dayton (14-4) (6-1) RPi 28 SoS 47
Vital signs:  5-3 R/N, non-con SoS 39, 1-2 vs. Top 50, 7-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  URI?
Bad losses:  @UMass, N-Nebraska, perhaps
7 top 100 wins…but a lot of them are marginal.  Profile is mostly saved by playing not bad teams in the non-con and mostly taking care of business.  There is some value in that.  But not a lot.  Better hold serve in the A-10.

VCU (15-5) (5-2) RPI 42 SoS 69
Vital signs:  6-4 R/N, non-con SoS 66, 1-2 vs. Top 50, 3-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  Middle Tennessee…LaSalle is the 2nd best?
Bad losses:  GT at home, @Fordham
Not a great profile.  Needs heft at the top, likely won’t get it.  Needs depth, likely won’t get it.  It’s a tough case to make, although the computer numbers aren’t terrible.

Rhode Island (12-6) (4-2) RPI 48 SoS 45
Vital signs:  3-5 R/N, non-con SoS 30, 1-2 vs. Top 50, 2-6 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-Cincy
Bad losses:  home to LaSalle
The good news is there’s a decent signature win to lean on (but nothing behind it).  Plus, many losses make sense (at Dayton, Provi, and Valpo).  Went on the road and lost.  They kind of needed to convert one or two of those swing games on the road.  As is, I’m just not sure what to do with this.

NIT Watch:
LaSalle (11-6) (5-2) RPI 64 SoS 52 – not the worst profile in the world, but their 2nd best win is Bucknell and they lost to TSU.
Richmond (11-8) (5-2) RPI 121 SoS 103 – mostly being listed because they’re near the top of the standings and ruining everything for the conference with their non-starter of a resume.
St Bonaventure (12-6) (4-2) RPI 100 SoS 118 – no top 100 wins.  Non-starter.
George Mason (12-6) (3-3) RPI 134 SoS 196 – terrible SoS.  Non-starter.
Davidson (9-8) (2-4) RPI 123 SoS 97
George Washington (10-9) (2-4) RPI 142 SoS 102
St Joseph’s (9-9) (2-4) RPI 107 SoS 55
UMass (12-8) (2-5) RPI 112 SoS 91 – man, this conference is good at piling up mediocre teams.  Look forward to 7 teams barely missing the NIT here.

AAC:

Lockbox:

Cincinnati (17-2) (7-0) RPI 16 SoS 59
Vital signs:  6-2 R/N, non-con SoS 38, 1-2 vs. Top 50, 8-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  SMU, @Iowa St, @Houston?
Bad losses:  N-URI doesn’t look so hot
Good overall numbers help camoflauge the lack of signature wins.  Safely in the tournament.  Just a matter of seeding them.  Good road/neutral record helps the situation.

Bubble:

SMU (17-4) (7-1) RPI 31 SoS 87
Vital signs:  4-4 R/N, non-con SoS 101, 2-2 vs. Top 50, 6-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-Pitt, TCU, @Memphis?
Bad losses:  @Boise perhaps
Relatively safe for now, no red flags in the resume, just need to stay above water.  AAC’s lack of quality teams makes this mission tougher than usual.

NIT Watch:
Tulsa (11-7) (5-1) RPI 103 SoS 104 – pretty telling I can’t put another team here on the bubble.  Tulsa has no quality win yet.
Memphis (15-5) (5-2) RPI 77 SoS 92 – non-con SoS of 181.  Did beat South Carolina at home, but need more.  So much more.
Central Florida (14-5) (5-2) RPI 96 SoS 190 – SoS problems, quality win problems.  Nope.
Houston (13-7) (4-4) RPI 68 SoS 67 – probably 3rd best resume in the conference, beat URI, but are losing all the swing games they needed.
Temple (10-10) (1-6) RPI 75 SoS 23 – man, they had wins over Florida St and West Virginia and they’ve really messed this up.

Bubble watch, part VI: SEC

These are quickie profiles and writeups you can use in your evaluations.  Don’t expect eloquent thoughts, they’re just quick-hitters.

Lockbox:

Kentucky (17-2) (7-0) RPI 3 SoS 6
Vital signs:  7-1 R/N, non-con SoS 11, 5-2 vs. Top 50, 9-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-UNC, South Carolina, Arky, N-MSU?
Bad losses:  none
You’d maybe like more high-end wins if you’re contending for a 1 seed, but I think the committee will use eye test liberally in this spot.

South Carolina (14-4) (5-1) RPI 20 SoS 28
Vital signs:  4-3 R/N, non-con SoS 51, 3-3 vs. Top 50, 8-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  Florida, @Georgia?  Michigan?
Bad losses:  perhaps @Memphis looks marginal
Only one real hole in the resume is 1 win over a likely tournament team.  SEC play kind of makes it difficult to pick those up.  They’ll be mostly fine, but seeding will be tricky with them.

Florida (14-5) (5-2) RPI 11 SoS 2
Vital signs:  10-4 R/N, non-con SoS 1, 4-4 vs. Top 50, 10-5 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Arky, Ole Miss, Georgia?  N-Miami?
Bad losses:  home to Vandy
Ok, so this thing is weird.  Look at all those neutral site games…played throughout the state of Florida.  But a couple of those games had FGCU, Miami, Mercer…they’re really not that good in road/neutral games.  Don’t be fooled by that one stat.  Still, the #1 SoS, thanks to complete avoidance of cupcakes.  And great scheduling (St Bona and Belmont are top 100 teams, SHU is a top 50, etc.).  This is really the luckiest computer profile I’ve ever seen.  Also scheduled up with Duke and FSU and Gonzaga, but lost all those.  This is one of the weirdest resumes you’ll ever see.

Bubble:

Arkansas (15-4) (4-3) RPI 33 SoS 50
Vital signs:  4-2 R/N, non-con SoS 79, 0-3 vs. Top 50, 5-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Tenn?  Houston?  ugh
Bad losses:  Mississippi St
Pretty obvious what the problem is.  Need a quality win.  Good news is the other metrics are in good shape.

Georgia (11-7) (4-3) RPI 44 SoS 31
Vital signs:  4-5 R/N, non-con SoS 20, 1-4 vs. Top 50, 5-6 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Ole Miss?  @Auburn?
Bad losses:  @Oakland
This feels pretty generous.  The simple question, ‘who did you beat?’ does not have a good answer here.  None of the computer metrics are in too bad of shape otherwise, so pay attention if they can stack up some wins.

Ole Miss (12-7) (3-4) RPI 46 SoS 24
Vital signs:  4-4 R/N, non-con SoS 28, 0-7 vs. Top 100, 3-7 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  uh, Memphis at home?  @Auburn?  Tennessee?
Bad losses:  actually, none.  I don’t count MTSU at home as bad, for now
They seem to exist just to spread top 50 wins to the rest of the conference.  Great SoS thanks to smart avoidance of cupcakes.  Actually have beaten all the teams they should…and lost to all the teams they should.  If they can actually win games?  We might have something.  But not until then.

NIT Watch:
Alabama (11-7) (4-2) RPI 87 SoS 63 – no wins of any value, so don’t waste your time here.
Mississippi St (12-6) (3-3) RPI 121 SoS 125 – at least they won at Arkansas.  But the non-con SoS is hovering around 300, so discard them as they’re already out of signature win chances after losing to UK.
Auburn (13-6) (3-4) RPI 69 SoS 75 – kind of want to give them a chance, but TTU and Bama are their 2 Top 100 wins.  Nope.
Tennessee (9-9) (3-4) RPI 61 SoS 12 – did you know they’re 0-8 vs. the top 50?  One theme in this conference – scheduling up is helping all their computer numbers.  I’m not even listing Vandy because they’re under .500, but they have a RPI hovering around 60.
Texas A&M (10-8) (2-5) RPI 98 SoS 36 – not really; did beat VaTech and Georgia, which is more than some in this list.

Bubble watch, part V: B1G

These are quickie profiles and writeups you can use in your evaluations.  Don’t expect eloquent thoughts, they’re just quick-hitters.

Lockbox:

Wisconsin (16-3) (5-1) RPI 25 SoS 73
Vital signs:  5-3 R/N, non-con SoS 212, 1-3 vs. Top 50, 7-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Minny, @Indiana?
Bad losses:  none
Non-con SoS seems sketchy.  Played Maui and got burned with Tennessee and G’town.  Syracuse and Oklahoma and Marquette…wins that now have little value.  Still, they’re fine overall at all losses are very reasonable.  The chance at a high-end seed might be a problem, though.

Purdue (16-4) (5-2) RPI 27 SoS 47
Vital signs:  5-2 R/N, non-con SoS 107, 3-3 vs. Top 50, 6-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-Notre Dame, Wisky, Illinois?
Bad losses:  @Iowa, perhaps
Much like the rest of the conference, they lack high-end wins (and here, they lost their chances to nova and L’ville).  They’ll be mostly fine, but again this’ll hurt seeding only.

Maryland (16-2) (5-1) RPI 21 SoS 49
Vital signs:  7-0 R/N, non-con SoS 87, 3-1 vs. Top 50, 7-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  Indiana, K-State, swept Illinois?
Bad losses:  home to Nebraska
Here’s a case where the non-con SoS might be deceiving.  K-State, Pitt, Okie State, Georgetown all created some artificial value.  They need high-end wins…and aren’t going to have much of a chance to get it.  The road/neutral record is still very good, so I’m not worried about selection for now.  Just seeding.

Bubble:

Indiana (14-6) (4-3) RPI 73 SoS 67
Vital signs:  2-4 R/N, non-con SoS 178, 4-4 vs. Top 50, 5-5 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  UNC, N-Kansas, MSU
Bad losses:  @IPFW, for sure, probably Nebraska too
Probably safe thanks to the high-end wins, and now starting to win the other games they should.  Not much to say unless they start dropping games again.

Northwestern (16-4) (5-2) RPI 34 SoS 74
Vital signs:  6-3 R/N, non-con SoS 145, 2-4 vs. Top 50, 5-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  Dayton, Wake?
Bad losses:  none
Sometimes, just winning the games you’re supposed to is good enough.  Quintessential bubble resume – no signature wins that sparkle, but no losses that damage it badly.  Good road/neutral record, mostly from being the teams they should.  They’ll need another high end win or two, but they have enough chances.  I think.

Michigan St (12-8) (4-3) RPI 41 SoS 11
Vital signs:  3-7 R/N, non-con SoS 17, 3-4 vs. Top 50, 5-7 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  swept Minny, Northwestern?  Wichita?
Bad losses:  Penn St, Northeastern
Scheduled up, so they’ve earned a bit of wiggle room…that they’ve mostly blown.  Another case where February will make the resume, but the high-end win chances aren’t as plentiful as they’d usually be.

Minnesota (15-5) (3-4) RPI 19 SoS 10
Vital signs:  3-3 R/N, non-con SoS 13, 3-4 vs. Top 50, 8-5 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Purdue, @NW, Arky
Bad losses:  @Penn St, perhaps
The good non-con SoS is a point in its favor, and @Purdue is likely to stand up as a good enough signature win.  Probably could be a lock, but could use more depth of wins.

Michigan (13-7) (3-4) RPI 69 SoS 53
Vital signs:  2-5 R/N, non-con SoS 124, 2-6 vs. Top 50, 5-6 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-SMU, Illinois?  N-Marquette?
Bad losses:  Va Tech?  @Iowa
That SMU win is kind of a saver right now.  They need more quality wins, more high-end stuff, more road/neutral wins.  Your standard bubble resume at the moment.

Illinois (11-8) (2-5) RPI 49 SoS 13
Vital signs:  3-6 R/N, non-con SoS 37, 1-5 vs Top 50, 5-8 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  N-VCU, NC State?  Michigan?
Bad losses:  Winthrop
A shiny SoS and at least the one quality win are the only two factors that bring them to the at-large board at the moment.

NIT Watch:
Penn St (11-9) (3-4) RPI 71 SoS 25 – picked up wins over MSU and Minny in conference to stay afloat, but this resume likely isn’t going anywhere.
Iowa (11-9) (3-4) RPI 112 SoS 42 – nah.  But if they get hot they already have wins over ISU and Purdue in pocket.
Ohio St (12-8) (2-5) RPI 84 SoS 48 – also nah.

Bubble watch, part IV: Pac-12

These are quickie profiles and writeups you can use in your evaluations.  Don’t expect eloquent thoughts, they’re just quick-hitters.

Lockbox:

Arizona (18-2) (7-0) RPI 8 SoS 21
Vital signs:  8-2 R/N, non-con SoS 35, 3-2 vs. Top 50, 9-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @UCLA, @USC, @Cal
Bad losses:  no
Work being done in conference play is helping erase a modest non-con.  The losses are plenty forgivable, it’s just that there’s not a lot of meat behind those two losses to help bolster the resume.  For this reason, the 1 line is probably out of reach.

UCLA (19-2) (6-2) RPI 22 SoS 79
Vital signs:  8-1 R/N, non-con SoS 196, 1-2 vs. Top 50, 8-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @Kentucky, Cal, @Utah
Bad losses:  no
Signature wins on the road are everything.  Some very good features, with one mildly alarming one (that non-con SoS).  Seeding them is tricky, and falling behind Arizona in the conference race makes it trickier.

Oregon (17-2) (7-0) RPI 13 SoS 38
Vital signs:  5-2 R/N, non-con SoS 41, 2-1 vs. Top 50, 9-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  UCLA, USC, Valpo?
Bad losses:  N-Georgetown
That G’town loss is fatal given how it trapped them on the wrong side of the Maui bracket.  The good SoS is mostly a product of bad team avoidance, but they still won all those games.  The 1 line may be lost for them, though.

Bubble:

USC (17-4) (4-4) RPI 32 SoS 67
Vital signs:  7-2 R/N, non-con SoS 133, 1-2 vs. Top 50, 4-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  SMU, @A&M?  nah
Bad losses:  Cal at home I suppose
4 losses are reasonable conference losses, but that just means a lot of quality win chances are already by the boards for this team.  Middling profile will need to add some more to make the tourney.

California (14-6) (5-3) RPI 51 SoS 40
Vital signs:  3-4 R/N, non-con SoS 93, 1-5 vs. Top 50, 1-6 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  @USC, and that’s about it
Bad losses:  N-San Diego St at this point
A case where the entire resume will have to be built in-conference.  Non-con is filled with nothing terrible, but no quality win to lean on.

Utah (12-5) (5-2) RPI 60 SoS 82
Vital signs:  5-3 R/N, non-con SoS 254, 1-4 vs. Top 50, 1-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:  USC…and literally nothing even close
Bad losses:  N-San Francisco
Second best win is…Colorado?  Holy moly what a disaster.  That non-con SoS is a clue.  How in the world can they be in right now?

NIT Watch:
Stanford (10-9) (3-5) RPI 59 SoS 18 – shiny SoS is only going to help the rest of the conference, not them.  Missing quality in the resume pretty clearly.