Wednesday, November 26, 2014

11/26 preview

Busy day.  Won't highlight every tournament (that's what the other posts are for):

Battle 4 Atlantis starts.  UNC/Butler, Oklahoma/UCLA, UAB/Wisky, G'town/Florida
Last day of Maui:  Arizona/SDSU for 1st, Pitt/K-State for 3rd
Preseason NIT:  St John's/Minny, Gonzaga/Georgia
Tulsa/Oklahoma St in the MGM Grand Main Event

Other games:
Northeastern at UMass - CAA favorites at A-10 bubble team
Richmond at North Carolina St

11/25 recap

Impact result of the day:
Arkansas 78, @SMU 72 - Well, looks like Arkansas is that 3rd SEC team, for right now.  Signature win.  SMU's 3rd loss already.  They scheduled up, wisely...and are paying the price.  Damned if you do, damned if you don't.  They'll need some wins in conference play to beef up the resume.

Arizona 72, Kansas St 68
San Diego St 74, Pittsburgh 57 - Arizona/SDSU for the title, K-State/Pitt in a nice 3rd place game
Purdue 82, Missouri 61
BYU 121, Chaminade 85

Progressive Legends:
Villanova 60, Michigan 55 - Nova walks out with 2 signature wins in 2 days and have the 1 line in sight
VCU 77, Oregon 63

CBE HoF Classic:
Maryland 72, Iowa St 63 - could be a useful result for Maryland in March.  Shouldn't ding ISU too badly, but a loss is a loss
Alabama 76, Arizona St 71 - red mark against ASU and fringe at-large hopes.  Finally the SEC did something right

Gulf Coast Showcase:
East Carolina 58, Fresno St 52
Hawaii 62, Marist 55
Green Bay 64, Evansville 62
FGCU 62, San Francisco 47

Northern Iowa 73, Virginia Tech 54
Northwestern 55, Miami(OH) 46

@Harvard 84, Houston 63
@Cincinnati 59, North Carolina Central 50
Detroit 82, @Toledo 79 - interesting to me in that I had Toledo among the MAC favorites and semi-relevant.  Gonna have to get off of that now.
@Penn St 78, Akron 72 - boy, not a good day for the MAC.  I'm officially off that bandwagon.
@Nebraska 80, Omaha 67
Miami 77, @Charlotte 74 - Miami to 6-0, and they're winning all their toss-up games.  I believe now
Boise St 86, @Idaho 75

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

11/25 preview

So many tournaments going on.  There's way too many to list, so just reference my tournament post below for matchups.  I'm just going to highlight the best tournaments to pay attention to:

Maui's semifinals:  Pitt/SDSU and Kansas St/Arizona
Progressive Legends Classic:  VCU has a must-win against Oregon, and Villanova/Michigan could be for premier seeding in March
CBE HoF Classic:  Iowa St/Maryland for the title

Non-tourney games:
Arkansas at SMU - Arkansas could use a signature road win given how awful the SEC is.  SMU could use any signature win after their slow start.  High stakes game
Omaha at Nebraska - Remember, Omaha just beat Marquette on the road
Miami at Charlotte - But didn't Miami just beat Charlotte 2 days ago?  Yep.  They won the Charleston Classic, which was a 3 game tournament for everyone.  But you're allowed 4 games in an exempt tourney.  So some of the teams in it scheduled a 4th game against a team in the field.  This is one of them.  Akron/Penn St is another.

11/24 recap

Impact result of the day:
Eastern Washington 88, @Indiana 86 - this score explains itself

Progressive Legends Classic:
Villanova 77, VCU 53 - quite a statement for 'Nova...not good for VCU
Michigan 70, Oregon 63 - serve held

Kansas St 88, Purdue 79
Arizona 72, Missouri 53
Pittsburgh 81, Chaminade 68
San Diego St 92, BYU 87 (2OT) - Crushing loss for BYU.  Instead of Pitt and Kansas St/Arizona, they now get Chaminade and Purdue/Mizzou.  Yikes

Gulf Coast Showcase:
Green Bay 66, East Carolina 49
Evansville 58, Fresno St 52
FGCU 58, Marist 43
San Francisco 88, Hawaii 73

Paradise Jam:
Weber St 59, Nevada 56
Clemson 64, LSU 61 - well this was a disaster for LSU.  Losses to Clemson and ODU on this trip
Old Dominion 58, Gardner-Webb 46
Seton Hall 84, Illinois St 80 - three neutral site wins in the bank for the Hall.  Stealth at-large bid looming?

CBE HoF Classic:
Maryland 78, Arizona St 73
Iowa St 84, Alabama 74 - serve held

MGM Grand Main Event:
Oklahoma St 66, Oregon St 53
Tulsa 53, Auburn 35

@Baylor 67, Stephen F Austin 51 - sorry SFA, you'll get cookie points for stepping out and starting to play these games, but you have to win one at one point
@San Diego 77, Western Michigan 70

Monday, November 24, 2014

Neutral site tournaments, part 2: Gobble gobble week

Gulf Coast Showcase (November 24-26):
Green Bay vs. East Carolina
Fresno St vs. Evansville
Marist vs. FGCU
San Francisco vs. Hawaii

Bring me all of your mid-majors!  Green Bay is the best team in this field, and the pressure will be on to hold serve for them.  Any mis-step could be fatal.  FGCU won't be an at-large team, but they're 2nd best in this field, probably.  Everyone else is playing for a chance to make a name for itself.

Maui (November 24-26):
Purdue vs. Kansas St
Missouri vs. Arizona
Pittsburgh vs. Chaminade
BYU vs. San Diego St

Boy, rough to be Arizona.  You sign up for Maui and get stuck with a marginal Missouri team.  They better hope it's K-State next, because Purdue isn't any better.  And where are the high-end teams?  SDSU is worth a signature win, but frankly Arizona needs to sweep through to avoid losing ground in the race for a 1 seed.

BYU/SDSU has high stakes.  Winner gets a decent Pitt team and a possible chance at Zona.  Loser gets the garbage game with Chaminade and the likely Purdue/Missou winner.  Meaning the loser would not get a quality win in this tournament.  SDSU probably has enough room to rebound from it.  BYU might not.

Legends Classic (November 24-25):
Villanova vs. VCU
Michigan vs. Oregon

Oregon is the lemon in this field.  Villanova/VCU is a bigtime game.  Whoever wins plays Michigan in a bigger time game.

CBE HoF Classic (November 24-25):
Arizona St vs. Maryland
Alabama vs. Iowa St

Iowa St should roll this field.  Anything less is a failure, and a scoop for someone else.

MGM Grand Main Event (November 24-26):
Oklahoma St vs. Oregon St
Auburn vs. Tulsa

I'll be surprised if it's not OkSt vs. Tulsa in the finals here.  Not a high-impact tourney, but could be a useful win for either team.

Cancun Challenge (November 25-26):
Virginia Tech vs. Northern Iowa
Miami (OH) vs. Northwestern

UNI is a bubble team.  These other 3 most certainly are not.  2 pressure games incoming for UNI.

Battle 4 Atlantis (November 26-28):
Wisconsin vs. UAB
Florida vs. Georgetown
UCLA vs. Oklahoma
Butler vs. North Carolina

It's the big one.  First off, Wisky and UNC need to avoid the quarterfinal upset.  Provided that, expect heavyweight games in the semifinals and finals everywhere.

UCLA/Oklahoma and Florida/G'town are high stakes games.  Losers likely get stuck with an easy game (read: not helpful to the resume), while the winners get two high-profile games.  Florida in particular has looked vulnerable this season.  This tournament offers signature wins that can be very valuable in March.  Pay close attention to who wins.

Preseason NIT (November 26, 28):
Minnesota vs. St John's
Georgia vs. Gonzaga

Minny/St John's is your classic bubble game.  Gonzaga should win this tournament, but Georgia can redeem some early sins by beating them.

Great Alaska Shootout (November 26-29):
Pacific vs. Alaska-Anchorage
Missouri St vs. Colorado St
Rice vs. Mercer
Washington St vs. UC Santa Barbara

Not the greatest field.  Pay attention to MSU/CSU - two sleeper agents in the at-large pool; winner will have a chance to pile up 3 neutral site wins for the resume.

Orlando Classic (November 28-30):
Santa Clara vs. Tennessee
Kansas vs. Rhode Island
Michigan St vs. Rider
Marquette vs. Georgia Tech

Boy, rough draw for URI.  Probably the 3rd best team in this field, but a loss to Kansas buries them on the wrong side of the draw with less chance for high-impact wins.  Good thing they beat Nebraska.

Obviously Kansas and MSU are the headliners and both need to hold serve twice.  Is Tennessee or Georgia Tech any good?  If so, they'll handle their business in the first game, at least.

Wooden Legacy (November 27-30):
Princeton vs. UTEP
San Diego vs. Xavier
Long Beach St vs. Western Michigan
San Jose St vs. Washington

Some sneaky good basketball here.  Xavier is a bubble team, UTEP is a bubble team to me, WMU is a sneaky good team in the MAC, LBSU could win the Big West...opportunities for all these teams here.

Las Vegas Invitational (November 27-28):
Indiana St vs. Illinois
Baylor vs. Memphis

Baylor and Memphis are both down this year.  Kind of a big game for both, can't get quality win chances slip away.

Emerald Coast Classic (November 28-29):
Middle Tennessee vs. Cincinnati
Creighton vs. Ole Miss

Cincy has no choice but to roll in these two games.

Corpus Christi (November 28-29):
Bradley vs. TCU
Mississippi St vs. St Louis

All 4 teams are irrelevant.  Well played, Corpus Christi.

Barclays Center Classic (November 28-29):
Rutgers vs. Vanderbilt
LaSalle vs. Virginia

Oof, Virginia.  What did you deserve to get stuck with this?

11/24 preview

A lot of tournament action.  See my post about Thanksgiving week tourneys for a full rundown.

Gulf Coast Showcase quarterfinals - pretty good smattering of mid-majors here
Maui quarterfinals - Purdue/K-State, Missouri/Arizona, Pitt/Chaminade, BYU/San Diego St
Final day of the Paradise Jam - Seton Hall/Illinois St for the title
Progressive Legends Classic - Villanova/VCU, Michigan/Oregon.  Nova/VCU is a headliner for me - immediate signature win chances.  Michigan needs to merely have bad loss avoidance here
CBE HoF Classic - Arizona St/Maryland, Alabama/Iowa St - ISU is the classic of this field, the other 3 are bubble teams jockeying for position
MGM Grand Main Event - Oregon St/Oklahoma St, Auburn/Tulsa

In non-tourneys:  Stephen F Austin continues their mission to schedule up, which is admirable.  But they're at Baylor.  Tough ask.  But doable

11/23 recap

HoF Tip-Off:
UMass 75, Florida St 69 - Two losses for FSU, not good.  Reasonably big win for UMass
Providence 75, Notre Dame 74 - File this result away for March, could have obvious bubble impact for both teams

Puerto Rico:
Charleston 61, George Mason 60
Texas A&M 64, New Mexico 51
Dayton 65, Boston College 53
West Virginia 78, UConn 68 - WVU is your champion, and it walks out with a quality win in hand

Drexel 61, Cornell 59
Penn St 63, USC 61
Akron 68, South Carolina 63
Miami 77, Charlotte 58 - Miami wins the tournament and appear to mean legitimate business this season

Paradise Jam:
Seton Hall 85, Gardner-Webb 67
Illinois St 64, Old Dominion 45

@North Carolina St 68, South Florida 65
@Creighton 65, North Carolina Central 45
Iona 78, @North Texas 58
@St Mary's 72, UC Irvine 69
@UCLA 77, Long Beach St 63