2/24 S-CURVE

Currently projected as AQs:  VCU (A-10), Temple (AAC), St Mary's (WCC)

The 1 line:  Kansas (23-4), Oklahoma (21-5), Villanova (24-3), Xavier (24-3)
The 2 line:  Virginia (21-6), Iowa (20-6), Michigan St (22-5), Miami (22-5)
The 3 line:  North Carolina (22-5), Oregon (20-6), West Virginia (21-7), Maryland (22-5)
The 4 line:  Duke (20-7), Kentucky (21-7), Iowa St (19-9), Purdue (21-7)
The 5 line:  Arizona (22-5), Baylor (19-8), Indiana (22-6), Utah (20-7)
The 6 line:  Dayton (22-5), Texas A&M (20-7), Notre Dame (18-8), Texas (18-10)
The 7 line:  USC (19-8), California (19-8), COlorado (18-9), Pittsburgh (18-7)
The 8 line:  South Carolina (21-5), Providence (19-8), Seton Hall (19-7), St Joseph's (22-5)
The 9 line:  Syracuse (18-10), Wichita St (20-7), Cincinnati (20-8), UConn (19-8)
The 10 line:  Monmouth (23-6), Texas Tech (18-9), Wisconsin (17-10), Valparaiso (22-5)
The 11 line:  George Washington (20-7), Butler (18-9), VCU (20-7), St Mary's (21-5), Michigan (18-9)
The 12 line:  Florida (17-10), Tulsa (19-9), Temple (17-10), San Diego St (18-7), Chattanooga (22-5)
The 13 line:  Arkansas-Little Rock (22-3), Akron (20-7), UNC-Wilmington (19-6), IPFW (20-7)
The 14 line:  Stony Brook (21-5), Hawaii (20-3), Yale (17-6), UAB (21-5)
The 15 line:  Belmont (19-9), Stephen F Austin (16-5), New Mexico St (18-9), Winthrop (17-7)
The 16 line:  Montana (14-8), North Florida (17-10), Bucknell (14-12), Wagner (17-9), Hampton (15-9), Texas Southern (14-12)

Next 4 in:
UConn
Texas Tech
Wisconsin
George Washington

Last 4 in:
Butler
Michigan
Florida
Tulsa

Last 4 out:
Gonzaga (20-7)
St Bonaventure (18-7)
Vanderbilt (17-11)
Oregon St (14-10)

Next 4 out:
Alabama (16-11)
Washington (16-11)
UCLA (16-12)
Florida St (16-11)

Conference leaders with legitimate at-large chances (outside the Big 6):  Wichita St, Monmouth, Valparaiso, VCU, St Mary's, Temple
Conference leaders who seem to have run out of time/room:  San Diego St, Chattanooga, Arkansas-Little Rock, Akron
Those still with viable at-large paths in my view:  UCLA, Creighton, Ohio St, Georgia
Those who have "lost the draft" of the bubble, probably for good:  Kansas St, Georgetown, Stanford, Clemson, Georgia Tech, LSU, Davidson, BYU