Bubble watch: Big East

Lockbox:

Seton Hall (18-5) (10-1) NET 12 SoS 31
Vital signs:  9-3 R/N, non-con SoS 105, avg win 103
8-4 vs. Q1, 5-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins:  Maryland, @Butler, @Nova
Bad losses:  home to Xavier?

Pretty solid.  Nothing to add.

Villanova (17-6) (7-4) NET 18 SoS 3
Vital signs:  7-4 R/N, non-con SoS 35, avg win 113
5-6 vs. Q1, 5-0 vs. Q2
Signature wins:  Kansas, Butler, @Creighton
Bad losses:  all inside Q1

Only real sin is being below .500 within Q1, which just means it's tough to justify a 2 seed for them.

Butler (18-6) (6-5) NET 10 SoS 47
Vital signs:  7-4 R/N, non-con SoS 186, avg win 128
7-5 vs. Q1, 5-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins:  Nova, Creighton, Marquette
Bad losses:  Providence

Of note, they're 0-4 against Q1-A.  7 Q1 wins, just all of the lower variety.  That and the SoS numbers limit the seed upside, but they'll be plenty fine.

Creighton (17-6) (7-4) NET 22 SoS 40
Vital signs:  5-5 R/N, non-con SoS 124, avg win 118
6-6 vs. Q1, 3-0 vs. Q2
Signature wins:  @Nova, N-TTU, Marquette
Bad losses:  @Provi, maybe

Another solid profile with decent seed upside.  Enough signature wins to get a good seed, probably a couple too many losses for the 2 line.

Marquette (17-6) (7-4) NET 24 SoS 12
Vital signs:  5-5 R/N, non-con SoS 70, avg win 119
6-5 vs. Q1, 4-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins:  Butler, Nova, Purdue
Bad losses:  Providence

If there's a criticism, they're 0-6 against Q1-A.  Again, limits seed upside, but they'll be fine.

Bubble:

Xavier (16-8) (5-6) NET 45 SoS 29
Vital signs:  5-5 R/N, non-con SoS 127, avg win 121
2-7 vs. Q1, 5-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins:  @SHU, @DePaul?  Cincy?
Bad losses:  @Wake

Outside of Wake, no real bad losses.  Just a lot of missed opportunities.  Nothing in the profile screams emergency, but rather that they're just quite not good enough.  They'll be in play though.

Georgetown (14-10) (4-7) NET 52 SoS 11
Vital signs:  4-5 R/N, non-con SoS 48, avg win 143
3-9 vs. Q1, 4-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins:  Creighton, @SMU?  @Okla St?
Bad losses:  UNCG?

Barely listed, to be honest.  Not much here.  Lots of "good" losses, but you have to win some of those games eventually.

Quick hits:

Providence (13-11) (6-5) NET 57 SoS 19 - 4 Q1 wins.  4 losses outside the top 2 quads.  Seems to even out.
St John's (13-11) (2-9) NET 77 SoS 64 - Two signature wins (WVU, Arizona) and absolutely nothing else to work with.
DePaul (12-11) (1-10) NET 63 SoS 78 - 4 Q1 wins....and a whole crapload of losses in conference play.