Monday, December 31, 2018

12/29 recap

One last modest flurry of non-con activity.

Nevada 86, @Utah 71 - every road win is a quality win for Nevada right now.  Their ceiling as a seed will likely depend on how good the other top teams are.  Wichita St 2014 feels like a good doppleganger for them right now.  WSU eventually got to the 1 line as other 1 seed contenders were merely okay instead of great.  That's how I feel about Nevada.  If Duke and Kansas and Gonzaga all dominate their conferences, Nevada may never get ranked above them on the S-Curve.

Big East:
Xavier 74, @DePaul 65 - and thus begins the conference season in the major conferences (B1G interlude notwithstanding)
@Seton Hall 76, St John's 74 - SJU reeks of 21-9 (9-9), right?

@North Carolina 82, Davidson 60
@Western Kentucky 83, Wisconsin 76 - Wisky won't get killed too bad for this.  With NET, I think they'll get credit for a road game.  It'll all depend on how good WKU is in CUSA though
Kentucky 71, @Louisville 58 - road wins are never trivial
@Mississippi St 103, BYU 81 - BYU will get credit for a tough non-con, but they've taken too many body blows for the conference this year
@Houston 80, NJIT 59 - how is NJIT 11-3??!
@Florida 77, Butler 43
@Purdue 73, Belmont 62 - a big game and moment for Belmont's at-large hopes.  Not many chances for them to impress, so this is costly
Utah Valley 64, @Fresno St 60 - not the greatest look for the MWC

fun with mid-majors:
@Toledo 77, Penn 45 - and Penn was supposed to be good.  Big boon for the MAC.  If you're wondering, Toledo's resume is kind of butt for a 12-1 team, ignore them unless they pick off Buffalo
@UCSB 73, San Francisco 71 - SFU is a chic pick right now; a road game at the Big West favorites would've been a big ask, but their at-large resume really could've used a win like that
@East Tennessee St 79, Furman 56 - and the fun begins in the SoCon.  One of the toughest games for Furman on the conference slate; but it does remove a fair amount of cushion they had as far as an at-large bid goes

Gardner-Webb 73, @Wake Forest 69
Florida Atlantic 73, @Illinois 71 (OT)
Texas Southern 88, @Texas A&M 73

Pac-12 Fail Tracker:
Princeton 67, @Arizona St 66 - what in the fresh hell is this?!?!
Santa Clara 79, @Washington St 71 - and SCU isn't even one of the good WCC teams
Liberty 73, @UCLA 58
Seattle 82, @Cal 73 - WAC isn't having a bad non-con

Mountain West Fail Tracker:
Oregon 62, @Boise St 50
Brown 82, @San Diego St 61

12/28 recap

Actually, just about nothing of note today.  One conference of note that did start conference play:  the CAA.  No Charleston today, but presumptive 2nd best team Hofstra is underway with a win.

Horizon and Summit are also underway.  South Dakota St blew out WIU on the road in what should be the start of a championship regular season for them.  UIC wins on the road at Wright St; this feels like it's Northern Kentucky's league more and more.

Friday, December 28, 2018

12/27 recap

@Creighton 89, UMKC 53 - not sure why Creighton felt compelled to schedule the only D-1 game on this day, but here we are.

The real news is as of this post, I'm finally caught up.

12/25 recap

Diamond Head:
TCU 83, Indiana St 69 - TCU gets the 3 wins in this tourney, but their wins feel like empty calories.  Nothing much to help the profile here
Bucknell 97, UNLV 72 - Bucknell does buy the Patriot League a modest amount of street cred though
Hawaii 68, Rhode Island 60 - it's just not getting better for the A-10 this year
Colorado 68, Charlotte 53

12/23 recap

Diamond Head:
Indiana St 84, UNLV 79
TCU 82, Bucknell 65 - TCU isn't getting much profile help in this tournament so far
Hawaii 70, Colorado 62 (OT)
Rhode Island 75, Charlotte 61

Las Vegas Classic:
Drake 110, San Diego 103 (2OT) - Drake gets the 2 wins here, which feels like a major upset.  As good a non-con season the WCC has had, it does feel like they're giving away too many tossup games as a conference though
New Mexico St 75, Washington St 72 - good god, Pac-12

12/22 recap

signature wins:
@Arizona St 80, Kansas 76 - kind of a non-event for Kansas.  They've built up enough equity, this first loss won't hurt much.  The bigger story is the Pac-12 getting some much-needed street cred
Kentucky 80, North Carolina 72

quality wins:
@Tennessee 83, Wake Forest 64
@Nevada 68, Akron 62 - We're going to need to discuss Nevada possibly running the entire regular season table at some point
@Auburn 93, Murray St 88 - a tough ask for Murray to win this, but probably needed it for realistic at-large hopes
Florida St 81, St Louis 59 - a tough ask for StL, but A-10 contenders are competitive in this kind of game
Ohio St 80, UCLA 66
Georgia 70, @Georgia Tech 59
Villanova 81, UConn 58
Clemson 78, @South Carolina 68
@Arkansas 73, Texas St 70 - TSU had a shiny record; probably needed this one to entertain realistic at-large hopes
Boston College 65, @DePaul 62
@VCU 70, Wichita St 54
Penn 75, @New Mexico 65 - Penn continuing to build up an okay profile
@San Francisco 74, Stanford 65 - ok, a semi-legit win for USF.  At least they're not LMU, who lost to UC-Riverside.  That result is closer to where I think the talent level is for the WCC
@St Joseph's 45, Loyola(Chi) 42 - oy
Seton Hall 78, @Maryland 74
@San Diego St 90, BYU 81
@Kansas St 69, Vanderbilt 58
Missouri 79, Illinois 63

UNC Greensboro 83, @Samford 75 - the SoCon is underway with conference play, and I'm all over it
Montana 85, @South Dakota St 74 - Big Sky fave > Summit fave.  A surprise to me

Diamond Head:
Indiana St 72, Colorado 67 - go home Pac-12
UNLV 73, Hawaii 59
Bucknell 84, Rhode Island 82 - go home A-10
TCU 82, Charlotte 57

Las Vegas Classic:
Drake 66, New Mexico St 63
San Diego 82, Washington St 75

Thursday, December 27, 2018

12/21 recap

@Marquette 103, Buffalo 85 - aw man, Buffalo finally lost.  It's a freebie for them; they've built up a good resume
@LSU 75, Furman 57 - perhaps could be costly for Furman.  Remember, this league is having a signature season, so a conference crown is not a given for Furman

Kent St 66, @Oregon St 63 - oof, Pac-12
@Butler 71, UC Irvine 54
@Baylor 57, Oregon 47 - as I was saying about the Pac-12
@UCF 77, Illinois St 56
@Lipscomb 91, Vermont 66
@Alabama 73, Penn St 64

Providence 71, @Texas 65 - road wins are never trivial
Oklahoma 76, @Northwestern 69 (OT)

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

12/20 recap

Duke 69, Texas Tech 58 - kind of a non-event from a bracketing standpoint
@Houston 60, Utah St 50

12/19 recap

@Tennessee 83, Samford 70 - I'll use this moment to point out Samford is 10-3 at this point, and another key cog in the SoCon race.  Furman, UNCG, Samford, ETSU, Wofford, Citadel.  Front end of this conference is really, really loaded

Virginia 69, @South Carolina 52 - road wins are never trivial
@NC State 78, Auburn 71 - this is why road wins are never trivial.  Shouldn't hurt Auburn too badly
Penn St 73, @Duquesne 67
@Kansas St 55, Southern Miss 51
@Cincinnati 93, UCLA 64
Georgia Tech 69, @Arkansas 65

Hofstra 71, @Stony Brook 64 - only interesting to me because both teams have sterling records
Old Dominion 63, @Richmond 54
@Belmont 80, Western Kentucky 74
@Fresno St 95, Cal 73 - is FSU the 2nd best MWC team?

WCC went 3-0 on this night....San Fran goes to 11-1, LMU to 11-1.  There's some empty calories in there, but still, this is a big, big non-con season for the entire conference.

Tuesday, December 25, 2018

12/18 recap

Buffalo 71, @Syracuse 59 - a signature road win, and the whispers about Buffalo's at-large chances are now roars.  This is very real, and they probably have a couple losses in the bank that they can afford to absorb and still be good
@Missouri 71, Xavier 56
Stephen F Austin 59, @Baylor 58
@Oklahoma 83, Creighton 70
@Santa Clara 102, USC 92 (2OT)

...there were actually plenty of games on this day, but most involving your garden variety mid-majors, and no real upsets among them.

Looking around, North Texas (11-1 now) might be the CUSA fave, beat UNM on the road...Murray St beats Evansville, them and Belmont are headed on a collision course in the OVC.  The Citadel moves to 8-2, the Big South could be lit this year.  Vermont beats Bonaventure in OT.

12/17 recap

Light day.

@Vanderbilt 81, Arizona St 65 - matters more than you think, as the Pac-12 is in trouble in general, and they need to squeeze every quality win in as possible
@Wake Forest 67, Davidson 63 - tough ask for a road win, but A-10 favorite losing at middling ACC team doesn't help the league right now

12/16 recap

@Houston 68, St Louis 64
@Duquesne 72, Maine 46 - Duquesne has a really great overall record.  I'm here to report it's all empty calories on the resume.  Still, the A-10 needs all the help it can get
Rhode Island 83, West Virginia 70 - it appears WVU is one Big 12 team everyone might have missed on, including me
@Stony Brook 74, Delaware 68 - SBU has a few road wins....URI, South Carolina.  Not awful for an A-East team.  Vermont also wins on this day; A-East should be a 2 team race
Tulsa 72, Dayton 67
@TCU 90, Indiana St 70
Nebraska 92, Oklahoma St 56

Saturday, December 22, 2018

12/15 recap

signature wins:
@Kansas 74, Villanova 71 - I have no idea still what to do with Villanova.  None.  Help please
Tennessee 102, @Memphis 92 - road wins are never trivial
@North Carolina 103, Gonzaga 90 - should stand as a signature win for UNC.  Gonzaga will have a tough case to make for the 1 line now, but they'll be fine overall.  The WCC won't be as damaging to their profile as in most years
@Mississippi St 70, Cincinnati 59
Old Dominion 68, @Syracuse 62 - the sad thing is that ODU's resume might've already absorbed too much damage, making this too little too late for the at-large resume (and perhaps for better seeding)
Belmont 74, @UCLA 72 - I can't imagine Belmont being a legit player in March, but tough to deny them for now.  I doubt they can keep a clean sheet in conference play though

quality wins:
@Nevada 72, South Dakota St 68 - this win looks better than it does at first glance, and really, Nevada's computer profile needs all the help it can get because conference play may wreck it
Auburn 75, @UAB 71 - goes in the books as a neutral site win I believe
Virginia Tech 73, Washington 61
Arizona St 76, @Georgia 74 - road wins, etc etc
Charleston 83, @VCU 79 - a nice scalp for the CAA
Temple 77, Davidson 75 (OT) - man the A-10 is taking a beating
Notre Dame 88, Purdue 80
Indiana 71, Butler 68
Iowa St 77, Drake 68

other stuff:
@Texas Tech 82, Abilene Christian 48 - ACU has racked up a nice W-L record, but this result should clue you in on a secret about it
@Buffalo 73, Southern Illinois 65
@Ohio St 73, Bucknell 71 - that's a dicey score to win by
@Kentucky 88, Utah 61
Iowa 77, Northern Iowa 54
@Kansas St 71, Georgia St 59
SMU 81, @Georgetown 73
@Seton Hall 72, Rutgers 66
NC State 89, Penn St 78
@Toledo 84, MTSU 62 - MTSU is terrible this year (file that away), and Toledo seems to be semi-legitimate, at least
UNLV 92, BYU 90 (OT)
@Oklahoma 81, USC 70
Texas A&M 67, Oregon St 64
Baylor 58, @Arizona 49
LSU 78, St Mary's 74

12/14 recap

At least there's a couple games I can pretend matter on this day.

@DePaul 90, UIC 70 - I'll use this to highlight that DePaul might not be terrible this year.  There's no substance in this resume, but they're no longer losing embarrassing games
@Creighton 86, Green Bay 65

12/13 recap

Some days I wonder why I do daily entries.  This is one of those days.  I got nothin' for you on today's schedule.  It's barren.

12/12 recap

@Houston 82, LSU 76 - there's something to be said for winning all your games.  However, nothing resonates on Houston's schedule as a signature win.  They'll be a wild card in seeding because of that.  We'll also have to see how much the AAC lets them run away with the conference (I'm guessing they won't)
@Louisville 72, Lipscomb 68 - Lipscomb seems to be fairly competent this year
Murray St 80, @Southern Illinois 52 - the MVC is going down in flames.  And we're headed for yet another year where Murray and Belmont spend the year just on the outside of the bubble discussion.  I want to give them a chance but we've seen the same script before with them
@Oregon 65, San Diego 55 - would've been a nice coupe for the WCC, but alas.  The conference still has had a good non-con.  Much more than can be said for the Pac-12

Friday, December 21, 2018

12/11 recap

@Penn 78, Villanova 75 - I mean, what do you even do with Villanova right now?  They have some decent wins, a couple weird losses, and I just don't know what to do with them.

Penn's interesting...let's see them handle their next couple of road games and re-evaluate their at-large hopes.  A loss to Oregon St is actually damaging their case right now.

@UCF 95, Georgia Southern 88 - UCF feels like the 3rd best AAC team....and that likely means bubble this year
NJIT 53, @Fordham 50 - NJIT has run out to an impressive W-L record.  Computer profile stinks, though
Colorado 78, @New Mexico 75 - road wins are never trivial.  With Wyoming also losing at home to Denver, the MWC just continues to slip further and further away from relevance.  This is a disaster for Nevada

12/10 recap

Ok, we're a couple weeks behind.  This is what happens when paying jobs take precedence over non-paying ones.  We'll figure out a schedule that works close to daily starting in January.

Anyways, literally no significant results on this day.  The closest we get is St Mary's holding serve at home of Cal St-Fullerton.  St Mary's is actually tracking decent in NET right now (in the 50s), and have a decent shot of holding down a decent number as the conference is strong.

West Coast Conference is gonna get interesting.  5 Top 100 NET teams, with a 6th team (BYU) on the edge.  Can they create a feedback loop by creating signature win chances against each other?  I think it's doable.

Sunday, December 9, 2018


For those unfamiliar with my December brackets:

There's a lot of projection in these.  These rankings are NOT based solely on results so far.  There's a lot of prediction and projection in these.  So don't get caught up too much in individual seeds for individual teams at the moment.  Not really interested in arguing, for example, if Nebraska should be on the 6 line or the 10 line.

What IS important is the following:
1) Conference breakdowns.  See how each conference is situated, because it's a clue as to how I feel each conference race will be setting up.  For example, in the SEC, I have 2 teams on the 2 line (UT, AU, plus Kentucky as a 4 and MSU as a 6.  Then 3 more teams in the rest of the field.  This means I think this conference will have a pretty normal distribution of teams throughout the bracket.  You can repeat this exercise for most of the major conferences.

So some of my early takeaways:
- the Big East seems to be missing some top-end teams.  Nova is still the best team, but I only have them on the 4 line.  I still have them sneaking in 6 teams into the field at the moment, but that feels like a maximum.  I'm not sure there's enough quality wins available in conference play to support that.
- I snuck in a 3rd team for the AAC at the back end of the field.  I'm not sure that sticks.  I also snuck in a 2nd team for the A-10.  I'm very sure that I'm going to regret that.  A-10 might really be a one-bid league.
- I tried really hard to make room for a second WCC team.  Couldn't justify it.  However, many teams are racking up sexy W-L records.  There's a real chance someone emerges behind Gonzaga as a legit at-large contender, largely on the strength of quality in-conference wins.  This will require said team to separate as a clear top 2 team in the league, though.
- Conferences in trouble:  MVC, MWC.  One-bid leagues, and I'm not sure I can find a path to a second bid right now.
- ACC has 8 teams in this field.  That is likely their floor, and I expect them to gobble up 1 or 2 excess bids from other conferences as time goes on.
- Pac-12's in trouble.

The 1 line:  Kansas, Michigan, Gonzaga, Duke
The 2 line:  Virginia, Tennessee, Auburn, Michigan St
The 3 line:  North Carolina, Texas Tech, Nevada, Wisconsin
The 4 line:  Villanova, Florida St, Kentucky, Arizona St
The 5 line:  Virginia Tech, Ohio St, Marquette, Kansas St
The 6 line:  Syracuse, Buffalo, Iowa St, Mississippi St
The 7 line:  Arizona, Purdue, Houston, Nebraska
The 8 line:  UCLA, North Carolina St, St John's, Furman
The 9 line:  Cincinnati, LSU, Indiana, Butler
The 10 line:  Louisville, Oklahoma, Creighton, Davidson
The 11 line:  Washington, Arkansas, Maryland, TCU
The 12 line:  Seton Hall, Florida, VCU, UCF, New Mexico St, Southern Illinois
The 13 line:  Charleston, North Texas, Belmont, Lipscomb
The 14 line:  Radford, Texas St, Penn, South Dakota St
The 15 line:  UC Irvine, Northern Kentucky, Vermont, Montana
The 16 line:  Marist, Abilene Christian, Lehigh, St Francis (NY), Howard, Texas Southern

Last 4 in:
Seton Hall

Last 4 out:
West Virginia
Notre Dame

Next 4 out:
San Francisco
San Diego
Utah St

Break it down!
B1G 8
Big 12 6
Big East 6
Pac-12 4
A-10 2

12/9 recap

Tennessee 76, Gonzaga 73 - Gonzaga had a freebie after beating Duke, still on the 1 line on my board.  Bigger news is this should help the SEC get a reasonable chance at placing its champ on the 1 line

@Virginia 57, VCU 49
Nevada 74, Grand Canyon 66
@Alabama 76, Arizona 73
@St Louis 65, Oregon St 61
@Texas 72, Purdue 68

12/8 recap

First in-season bracket of the year is coming soon.  Patience grasshoppers

Lots of shiny matchups on paper.  Tough to say how much each individual win here will matter in March.  So many home teams held, so as always, the true quality wins were road wins.

signature wins:
Seton Hall 84, Kentucky 83 - signature wins for Seton Hall; Big East seems to be slightly down so this mattered a lot, to get a win like this on the board

quality road/neutral
Buffalo 80, @St Bonaventure 62
Michigan St 63, @Florida 59
Florida St 79, UConn 71
BYU 74, Utah 59
Toledo 75, @Marshall 74 - Toledo is a very thin 9-1, but it's still 9-1
Western Kentucky 78, @Arkansas 77
Houston 63, @Oklahoma St 53
Ole Miss 81, @Illinois St 74
Mississippi St 82, Clemson 71

service holds:
@Kansas 63, New Mexico St 60
@Michigan 89, South Carolina 78
@Auburn 82, Dayton 72
@Marquette 74, Wisconsin 69 (OT)
@Tulsa 47, Kansas St 46
@Nebraska 94, Creighton 75
@Villanova 70, St Joseph's 58
@Maryland 55, Loyola(Chi) 41
@Northwestern 75, DePaul 68
@West Virginia 69, Pitt 59
@Oklahoma 80, Wichita St 48
@Memphis 94, UAB 76
@Cincinnati 62, Xavier 47
@Indiana 68, Louisville 67
@Syracuse 72, Georgetown 71
@Cal 89, San Diego St 83
@UCLA 65, Notre Dame 62

Saturday, December 8, 2018

12/7 recap

Nevada 72, Arizona St 66 - these are very important wins Nevada is putting up.  Reasonable chance of running the table now
UMass 79, @Providence 78
St Mary's 85, New Mexico 60
TCU 96, USC 61

12/6 recap

Light day.

@Iowa 98, Iowa St 84
@Purdue 62, Maryland 60

12/5 recap

Ohio St 77, @Illinois 67
@Minnesota 85, Nebraska 78 - it almost has to be a rule that you have to ignore most road losses as far as negative impact on a resume goes

@Gonzaga 81, Washington 79 - GU continues to pile up quality wins and pretty soon will be home free to go undefeated in the regular season
@Villanova 69, Temple 59
VCU 54, @Texas 53
@Tulsa 74, Oklahoma St 71
@Southern Illinois 61, St Louis 56
@BYU 95, Utah St 80
Ball St 75, @Loyola(Chi) 69 - we can safely call the MVC 1-bid for now
San Diego 73, @San Diego St 61 - the WCC, not as awful as we thought
Arkansas 98, @Colorado St 74
TCU 67, @SMU 59
San Francisco 79, @Cal 60 - as I was saying about the WCC

12/4 recap

Michigan 62, @Northwestern 60 - finally, someone wins a road game in this conference.  Looks like UM is the prohibitive favorite in the league
Indiana 64, @Penn St 62 - and it looks like PSU isn't as good as people thought

Providence 100, @Boston College 95 (OT)
Oklahoma 85, Notre Dame 80 - neutral site win; ACC taking a couple modest hits today
@Penn 89, Miami 75 - I suspect this loss won't look as bad as it seems, but Miami probably isn't an at-large team now
@Cincinnati 78, Northern Kentucky 65 - NKU should run the Horizon, so this win should have modest value for Cincy
@Belmont 76, Lipscomb 74 - I'm ready to call both teams OVC favorite and A-Fun favorite, respectively
Georgia St 83, @Alabama 80
@New Mexico St 100, New Mexico 65
@Memphis 88, South Dakota St 80
Florida 66, West Virginia 56

Friday, December 7, 2018

12/3 recap

@Michigan St 90, Iowa 68 - home teams keep winning in B1G conference play.  Kinda boring, and tough to have many takeaways about the league until someone breaks serve on the road
@Wisconsin 69, Rutgers 64

Niagara 71, @Pitt 70 - oof
Vermont 72, @George Mason 67

12/2 recap

@Ohio St 79, Minnesota 59
@Nebraska 75, Illinois 60

Arizona 76, @UConn 72 - road wins are never trivial.  This looks better than most think
@Missouri 64, UCF 62
@UCLA 82, Loyola Marymount 58 - LMU finally loses, and it doesn't look good

12/1 recap

There are a million games on this day and a lot of nice wins I'm passing over.....

@Michigan 76, Purdue 57
@Maryland 66, Penn St 59
@Indiana 68, Northwestern 66

non-con signature wins:
Gonzaga 103, @Creighton 92 - road wins are never trivial.  Remember, these games matter more, disproportionally, for Gonzaga than for most teams, as piling up quality wins OOC is more important for them.  GU cruising to the 1 line
Nevada 73, @USC 61 - see Gonzaga comment and basically apply it double for Nevada

@Kansas 90, Stanford 84 (OT) - is Stanford a glutton for punishment?  Kind of a pretty good .500 team at this stage
@Marquette 83, Kansas St 71 - this is why road wins are gold, because they're not easy to get
@Houston 65, Oregon 61
Texas Tech 78, Memphis 67
Villanova 85, @La Salle 78 - creative accounting makes this Big 5 game a true road win for Nova
St John's 76, Georgia Tech 73
Louisville 70, @Seton Hall 65 - road win
@Green Bay 100, Belmont 92 - Belmont finally loses
NC State 80, Vanderbilt 65
@Providence 59, Rhode Island 50
@St Louis 64, Butler 52
Temple 77, @St Joseph's 70
Cincinnati 65, @UNLV 61
Yale 77, Miami 73 - played in Miami, yet seems to count as a neutral site win because this was part of a 1-day invitational?  Huh?
@Wichita St 71, Baylor 63
@New Mexico St 69, Washington St 63
@Weber St 113, BYU 103 - ouch

Buffalo 85, San Francisco 81 - not a trivial win for a mid-major like Buffalo.  They're legit at-large players this year
Stephen F Austin 66, Milwaukee 51

MWC/MVC challenge:
San Diego St 75, Illinois St 65
New Mexico 85, Bradley 75 - MWC salvages a couple road wins; Nevada needs all the help it can get from the conference

Sunday, December 2, 2018

11/30 recap

Michigan St 78, @Rutgers 67
Wisconsin 72, @Iowa 66 - quality road win on day 1 of conference play

Dartmouth 91, Albany 77
Marist 70, LIU 53

Radford 62, @Texas 59 - huh
Mississippi St 65, @Dayton 58
@Minnesota 83, Oklahoma St 76

11/29 recap

Belfast Classic - they're playing college basketball in Ireland, because reasons
Marist 76, Dartmouth 58
LIU 80, Albany 77
Buffalo 96, Milwaukee 77
San Francisco 76, Stephen F Austin 58

@UCF 70, Alabama 64 - should hold as a quality win in March, won't hurt Bama too badly
Belmont 99, @Samford 93 (OT) - I doubt Belmont's resume will be good enough for serious at-large consideration, but hey if you never lose...

11/28 recap

B1G/ACC dick measuring contest:
Virginia 76, @Maryland 71 - I wonder if the world is ready for UVa to get another 1 seed
@Michigan 84, North Carolina 67 - quality win alert
@Florida St 73, Purdue 72
Syracuse 72, @Ohio St 62 - given the rate at which home teams are winning these games, this is a significant result
Rutgers 57, @Miami 54 - Rutgers is....not bad?
@Northwestern 67, Georgia Tech 61

MVC/MWC dick measuring contest:
@Evansville 86, Wyoming 78
@Utah St 71, Northern Iowa 52
@Air Force 88, Missouri St 69
Indiana St 86, @San Jose St 57 - in a major upset, SJSU actually gets mentioned this season in the blog
Valparaiso 72, @UNLV 64 - and this challenge is why Nevada isn't going to get any help from its conference when it comes to seeding

@Georgetown 90, Richmond 82
@Old Dominion 62, VCU 52
Vermont 69, @George Washington 53
@Ole Miss 93, San Diego 86 - not sure if SD is good or just deceiving overall record
@Illinois St 92, BYU 89 (OT) - this shouldn't hurt BYU's overall resume, but yet others will say it did
New Mexico St 62, @UTEP 58
UC Irvine 80, @St Mary's 75

11/27 recap

This time of year, tough to get to a computer daily for these things.  I'll play catchup through the holiday season, we'll be diligent in January on, as per usual.

B1G/ACC dick measuring contest:
@Duke 90, Indiana 69
@Louisville 82, Michigan St 78 (OT) - the difference between the 1 line and the 2 line is that 1 line teams win quality road games consistently
@Penn St 63, Virginia Tech 62 - don't overreact to "upsets" where the home team wins
@Iowa 69, Pitt 68
@Wisconsin 79, NC State 75
@Notre Dame 76, Illinois 74

MWC/MVC dick measuring contest (yup, these guys have a challenge too!):
Nevada 79, @Loyola(Chi) 65 - with the rest of the MWC struggling, I'm wondering where Nevada's seed will end up.  Started ranked high, and they're delivering results.  I'm very curious to see how the metrics, polls, and selection committee align on this
@Drake 83, Boise St 74
Southern Illinois 82, @Colorado St 67

Temple 79, @Missouri 77