Tuesday, November 27, 2018

11/26 recap

B1G/ACC challenge:
Ah, the annual ritual, when two power conferences whip it out and sees whose is bigger.  Nothing quite like this waste of time.
Nebraska 68, @Clemson 66 - road wins are never trivial
@Boston College 68, Minnesota 56

Texas Southern 89, @Oregon 84 - that's 2 games this year TSU has picked off
Wofford 81, @South Carolina 61 - SoCon is starting to buck its head.  This conference race might actually have legitimate stakes this year
@Alabama 78, Murray St 72 - not a trivial win for Bama

11/25 recap

Advocare Invitational:
Villanova 66, Florida St 60 - and Nova is firing back with some quality wins after a couple suspect losses.  They'll be fine
Oklahoma St 90, LSU 77
Charleston 78, Memphis 75
UAB 68, Canisius 58 - why was Canisius invited to this thing, anyways?

Wooden Legacy:
Northwestern 79, Utah 57
Fresno St 79, Hawaii 64
Grand Canyon 82, LaSalle 70
Seton Hall 83, Miami 81

stuff of interest:
Hampton 86, @Richmond 66
Furman 65, @UNC Asheville 51 - why is Furman not ranked?
Bucknell 69, @Vermont 61
Lipscomb 87, @Morehead St 55 - LU might be good?

Sunday, November 25, 2018

11/24 recap

@Notre Dame 95, DePaul 70
@Davidson 78, Northeastern 69
@Indiana St 63, Western Kentucky 54
Stony Brook 68, @Rhode Island 58
@William & Mary 87, St Joseph's 85 - rough go of it for the A-10 contenders
Houston 76, @BYU 62 - this should hold up as a quality road win
@UCF 66, Northern Kentucky 53 - could be a better win that most think
Colorado 93, @Air Force 56 - road wins are never trivial
Harvard 74, @St Mary's 68 - oof

Emerald Coast Classic:
Baylor 72, George Mason 61
Cincinnati 71, Ole Miss 57 - Cincy gets the 2 wins here

11/23 recap

Houston Baptist 93, @Wake Forest 91 (OT) - oof
Kent St 77, @Vanderbilt 75 - oof
@Old Dominion 72, Northern Iowa 65

Preseason NIT:
Kansas 87, Tennessee 81 (OT) - a game that should hold up as a signature win in March, and possibly the difference between the 1 line and the 2 line for Tennessee.  Golden chance by the boards for them
Marquette 77, Louisville 74 (OT)

Battle 4 Atlantis:
Virginia 53, Wisconsin 46 - UVa gets the 3 wins in a rather meh tourney, I must admit
Oklahoma 65, Dayton 54
Butler 61, Florida 54
Stanford 67, Middle Tennessee 54

Las Vegas Invitational:
North Carolina 94, UCLA 78 - rough 0-2 for UCLA to absorb
Michigan St 78, Texas 68 - MSU gets the two signature wins here

Advocare Inviational:
Villanova 77, Oklahoma St 58 - Nova rebounding nicely; Nova/FSU for this title and a quality win chance for both
Florida St 79, LSU 76 (OT)
Memphis 71, Canisius 63
Charleston 74, UAB 51 - one good mid major gets a decent win chance at Memphis; another good mid major loses any chance at a productive tournament

Wooden Legacy:
Miami 78, Fresno St 76
Northwestern 91, LaSalle 74
Utah 75, Grand Canyon 66
Seton Hall 64, Hawaii 54 - still holding to form in this tourney

Las Vegas Holiday Invitational:
Nevada 100, UMass 87 - sadly this tournament had little nutritional value for Nevada; they need it if they're actually going to be a high seed
Southern Illinois 79, Tulsa 69

Emerald Coast Classic:
Cincinnati 71, George Mason 55
Ole Miss 78, Baylor 70 - tough to get excited about this tournament

Friday, November 23, 2018

11/22 recap

Battle 4 Atlantis:
Virginia 66, Dayton 59
Wisconsin 78, Oklahoma 58 - the two best teams in the field hold serve to the finals
Florida 72, Stanford 49
Butler 84, Middle Tennessee 53 - I'd say form has held in Atlantis for 2 days

Las Vegas Holiday Invitational:
Nevada 96, Tulsa 86
UMass 84, Southern Illinois 62 - it's a shame Nevada couldn't squeeze into a better tourney than this

Las Vegas Invitational:
Texas 92, North Carolina 89 - hey, a signature win
Michigan St 87, UCLA 67 - this is a big boy tourney, so no loss is a bad loss here

Advocare Invitational:
Florida St 81, UAB 63
LSU 67, Charleston 55
Villanova 83, Canisius 56
Oklahoma St 84, Memphis 64 - rough field for the mid-majors.  UAB and Charleston are good, but alas, quality win chances for both disappear in this tournament on day 1

Wooden Legacy:
Miami 85, LaSalle 49
Fresno St 78, Northwestern 59 - not a good look for Northwestern
Seton Hall 82, Grand Canyon 75
Hawaii 90, Utah 79 - and not a good look for Utah, either.  Kind of a meh tourney

Thursday, November 22, 2018

11/21 recap

Minnesota 68, Washington 66

Gonzaga 89, Duke 87 - remember, when you're in the WCC, every signature win chance is precious.  Here's one that makes GU's case for the 1 line pretty easy
Auburn 73, Arizona 57 - no signature win for Auburn (I think), but two solid wins in Zona and X will help the resume anyway
Iowa St 87, San Diego St 57 - ISU does escape Maui with one win that should hold some value in March
Xavier 83, Illinois 74 - the role of Chaminade was played by Illinois this year

Preseason NIT (yes, I'm calling it by its old name.  Sue me):
Kansas 77, Marquette 68
Tennessee 92, Louisville 81 - and we get KU-UT.  Sexy

Battle 4 Atlantis:
Virginia 74, Middle Tennessee 52 - rough draw for the upstart mid-major
Oklahoma 65, Florida 60 - OU wins the fight to be on the good side of the Atlantis bracket, where all the resume goodies are
Wisconsin 62, Stanford 46
Dayton 69, Butler 64 - good win for Dayton

Barclays Center Classic:
Pitt 75, St Louis 73 - this is rough for StL.  Pitt is no bueno, destined for the ACC cellar

MGM Resorts Main Event:
Mississippi St 61, St Mary's 57
Arizona St 87, Utah St 82 - ASU gets the 2 wins here

Cayman Islands:
Creighton 87, Clemson 82 - a modest upset; both teams should be fine for now
Georgia St 91, Georgia 67 - a robust trip for Georgia St, with a couple wins that have a fighting chance at holding some value.  Alas, likely won't be good enough for an at-large by itself, but still
Illinois St 73, Boise St 70
Akron 61, St Bonaventure 49

SMU 77, Wright St 76 - I feel sorry for the Horizon.  Entire league has fallen
Bradley 59, Penn St 56 - BU trying to rescue a modest beginning to the non-con for the MVC.  They get the 2 wins here

Fort Myers:
Wyoming 68, Richmond 66
Boston College 78, Loyola(Chi) 66 - BC with 2 wins here.  Who knew they were capable of this

Gulf Coast Showcase:
UTSA 76, FGCU 65
South Dakota St 78, Colorado St 65
Louisiana-Lafayette 68, Tulane 61
Toledo 67, UC Irvine 60 - fun mid-major tourney here.  Toledo gets the 3 wins

11/20 recap

Lipscomb 73, @TCU 64 - oof
Minnesota 80, Santa Clara 66 - a neutral site win, for those scoring at home
@San Diego 70, Colorado 64 - oof
Washington 71, Texas A&M 67 - another neutral site game; this win has more nutritional value for UW

Duke 78, Auburn 71 - an actual honest-to-god signature win!  Very useful for when the argument for the #1 overall seed starts up
Gonzaga 91, Arizona 74
San Diego St 79, Xavier 74 - very important for SDSU as quality win chances are scarcer in the MWC
Iowa St 84, Illinois 68 - Illinois is terrible

Cayman Islands:
Clemson 64, Georgia 49 - two service holds for Clemson to reach the title game here
Boise St 72, St Bonaventure 52
Illinois St 73, Akron 68
Creighton 93, Georgia St 68 - Clemson and Creighton were clearly the best two teams, IMO; they both hold serve to the finals

HoF Classic:
USC 99, Missouri St 80 - well, this tourney didn't work out for the MVC
Texas Tech 70, Nebraska 52 - I have a suspicion this win will hold up as a quality win in March

Gulf Coast Showcase:
South Dakota St 99, UTSA 79
Colorado St 82, FGCU 74
UC Irvine 67, Tulane 55
Toledo 77, Louisiana-Lafayette 64

Legends Classic:
Temple 76, Cal 59 - zero and two for Cal; another roughing up for the Pac-12
St John's 87, VCU 86 (OT) - SJU with two solid resume-building wins in this tourney

Bradley 75, SMU 62 - the bottom is falling out of the middle of the American
Penn St 77, Wright St 59

11/19 recap

Duke 90, San Diego St 64
Gonzaga 84, Illinois 78
Auburn 88, Xavier 79 (OT)
Arizona 71, Iowa St 66 - probably the only toss-up game on paper.  All favorites hold in the quarterfinals in Maui

Paradise Jam:
Kansas St 82, Missouri 67 - K State walks out of this tourney with the useful win
Oregon St 74, Penn 58
Northern Iowa 54, Old Dominion 53 - this tourney derailed my ODU at-large campaign
Eastern Kentucky 100, Kennesaw St 81

MGM Resorts Main Event:
Arizona St 72, Mississippi St 67 - modest upset based on the rankings, and kinda sneaky important to the Pac-12's reputation as a whole
Utah St 80, St Mary's 63 - modest boon to the MWC; people will need to recalibrate their expectations on St Mary's this year

Cayman Islands:
Clemson 72, Akron 69
Georgia St 75, St Bonaventure 65 - perhaps I'm underestimating the value of some of these teams in the Fun Belt.  GaSt and GaSo might both be decent
Creighton 94, Boise St 82
Georgia 80, Illinois St 68

Fort Myers:
Loyola(Chi) 82, Richmond 66
Boston College 88, Wyoming 76 - two games to form in this tourney

Gulf Coast Showcase:
Tulane 84, South Dakota St 80
UC Irvine 65, UTSA 56
Louisiana-Lafayette 91, Colorado St 73
Toledo 90, FGCU 62

HoF Classic:
Nebraska 85, Missouri St 62
Texas Tech 78, USC 63

Legends Classic:
St John's 82, Cal 79
VCU 57, Temple 51 - useful win for the A-10

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

11/18 recap

@Arkansas 73, Indiana 72 - home team holds; probably a non-event for both teams' resume
@Oklahoma St 70, Charleston 58 - no real harm to Charleston's resume; a modest boost to OSU's
Minnesota 69, Texas A&M 64 - no idea how to value these two bubble teams yet

Charleston Classic:
Virginia Tech 89, Purdue 83 - we'll see how much it matters in March; both teams are solidly in the field anyways
Davidson 71, Northeastern 59
Alabama 90, Wichita St 86
Ball St 94, Appalachian St 86 (OT)

HoF Tipoff:
Michigan 66, Providence 47 - UM gets 2 okay but not great wins in this tourney; onwards for them
South Carolina 90, George Washington 55 - GWU is terribad

Myrtle Beach:
Wake Forest 69, Valparaiso 63
CS Fullerton 87, Monmouth 63
West Virginia 97, St Joseph's 90 - St Joe's gets saddled with the 1-2 4th place mark in this tourney.  It will hurt the resume
UCF 78, Western Kentucky 62 - both teams really needed a title here for resume purposes; UCF gets it

Paradise Jam:
Missouri 69, Oregon St 63
Kansas St 64, Penn 48 - results to form in the Paradise Jam.  No upsets

11/17 recap

Everyone's playing too many damn tournaments.

Furman 76, @Villanova 68 (OT) - um, Furman has two signature road wins on the board (LUC).  This is a developing situation for the bubble
New Mexico St 98, @New Mexico 94
Lipscomb 79, @SMU 73 - ok maybe SMU is terrible too
@Memphis 109, Yale 102 (2OT)
St Louis 66, @Seton Hall 64 - there's a sneaky under-the-radar result.  This should hold up as a quality road win

HoF Tipoff:
Michigan 84, George Washington 61
Providence 76, South Carolina 67 - stock results in this tourney

Paradise Jam:
Old Dominion 65, Kennesaw St 47
Northern Iowa 90, Eastern Kentucky 85

Monday, November 19, 2018

11/16 recap

@UCLA 95, St Francis(PA) 58 - listed as SFU is the NEC favorite; it's safe to say that conference is headed for the 16 line
@Rhode Island 76, Harvard 74
@Louisville 86, Vermont 78 - VU hanging in on the road
St John's 84, @Rutgers 65 - a mandatory road game to win, but that's always step 1 to building an at-large resume
Loyola Marymount 65, Georgetown 52 - I won't post the whole Jamaica tournament, but oof
@FGCU 84, South Dakota St 78
@Butler 83, Ole Miss 76

Paradise Jam:
Kansas St 95, Eastern Kentucky 68
Missouri 55, Kennesaw St 52
Penn 78, Northern Iowa 71
Oregon St 61, Old Dominion 56 - the one semi-upset in my eyes in this tournament in the quarterfinals

2K Empire Classic:
Oregon 80, Syracuse 65 - SU takes the dreaded 0-2 in this field; but all 4 teams should be reasonably competent so this isn't a killer
Iowa 91, UConn 72 - Iowa is good?  I guess so

Charleston Classic:
Virginia Tech 88, Northeastern 60
Purdue 79, Davidson 58 - we get Va Tech/Purdue for this title, as we should
Wichita St 82, Appalachian St 76
Alabama 79, Ball St 61

Myrtle Beach:
Valparaiso 64, Monmouth 54
Wake Forest 66, CS Fullerton 59
Western Kentucky 63, West Virginia 57 - this is a big one, WKU is a quality team and this should help CUSA as a whole
UCF 77, St Joseph's 57 - a critical loss for the A-10 as a conference, who is already on the brink as a whole.  WKU/UCF for this title, that win will be a useful profile piece.  WVU/St Joe's.....critical game for St Joe's resume.

11/15 recap

@Gonzaga 94, Texas A&M 71
Ohio St 69, @Creighton 60 - road wins are never trivial
Belmont 87, @Lipscomb 83 - this is a quality road win, folk
@DePaul 72, Penn St 70 (OT) - B1G bubble teams are supposed to win this game

2K Empire Classic:
Iowa 77, Oregon 69
UConn 83, Syracuse 76 - a nice tight 4-team tourney with 4 reasonable at-large candidates in varying state of goodness.  Good wins for the two lesser teams in this one

Charleston Classic:
Purdue 92, Appalachian St 70
Northeastern 68, Alabama 52
Davidson 57, Wichita St 53
Virginia Tech 73, Ball St 64 - a weird tournament here...Davidson is decent and Wichita seems to be bad now.  Northeastern has the other shocker, but they're an upper-table CAA team.  All and all, Purdue and Va Tech lose a little bit in the draw, unless we're off in our preseason valuation.  Which we very well might be.  One thing for certain:  we can discard Wichita St safely

Myrtle Beach:
St Joseph's 89, Wake Forest 69
UCF 68, CS-Fullerton 52
Western Kentucky 83, Valparaiso 71
West Virginia 71, Monmouth 53 - the top 4 teams in this tourney hold serve.  Quality win chances coming for all 4 winners

Thursday, November 15, 2018

11/14 recap

Signature win of the day:
Michigan 73, @Villanova 46 - this should be a win that holds up by March.  This is worth a seed line or two

Quality wins:
@Indiana 96, Marquette 73 - big win over probable tourney team...useful
@Nebraska 80, Seton Hall 57 - I still don't believe in Nebraska so any big win is good in my book
St Mary's 73, @New Mexico St 58 - a quality road win that'll give this team a fighting chance on the bubble this time

Catastrophic losses:
Radford 63, @Notre Dame 60 - it doesn't take much to fall to 13th or so in the ACC pecking order

11/13 recap

Finally getting a few semi-relevant games.  Alas, most went to script, but there's a couple quality wins mixed in here.

@Tennessee 66, Georgia Tech 53
@LSU 85, Memphis 76
Wisconsin 77, @Xavier 68 - tough to say how good X is, but a road win is a road win these days
@Miami 96, Stephen F Austin 58 - just in case you wanted to check in to see how good the Southland favorite is.  Pass on the conference as a whole
@Charleston 66, Rhode Island 55 - URI is down, but Charleston could have a chance to build a semi-legitimate profile out of the Colonial
@Temple 81, Georgia 77
Harvard 74, @UMass 71
Georgetown 88, @Illinois 80
@New Mexico 90, Iona 83

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

11/12 recap

@North Carolina 90, Stanford 72 - Stanford is out here playing a second true road game already.  Interesting gambit
Buffalo 62, @Southern Illinois 53 - now UB has a second quality road win, and now they're really cooking with gas.  Legitimate at-large contenders now.  Sked slows down a bit for them, before more roadies at Syracuse and Marquette.  Even if they lose both, service holds in the rest of the non-con and they're in really good shape
@Belmont 92, Middle Tennessee 73
Oklahoma 87, @UTSA 67 - road wins are never trivial
@Minnesota 78, Utah 69

Most of the other games were simply service holds by better teams at home over worse teams.  Bonaventure lost on the road to Niagara....A-10 is in trouble...Vermont played at Kansas and lost by 16, which is respectable and may be worth something in March (like getting off the 16 line).

Monday, November 12, 2018

11/11 recap

Florida St 80, @Tulane 69 - we continue to see a residual effect of the past couple years....the occasional true road game for the power conference team
@North Dakota St 82, UC Santa Barbara 63 - Summit favorite > Big West favorite
Southern Miss 74, @SMU 64 - not a good loss for SMU's at-large resume
Florida Atlantic 80, @UCF 79 - and this one is downright catastrophic to UCF's resume
Vanderbilt 82, @USC 78 - again, true road wins matter

Sunday, November 11, 2018

11/10 recap

Light day on true impact games, but some notable results in the mid-major ranks:

Charleston 77, @Western Carolina 74 - matters more than you think.  True road win for CAA favorite
@Charlotte 66, Oklahoma St 64
@Xavier 91, Evansville 85
Fairfield 60, @Bucknell 58 - kind of disappointing for the Patriot favorite
@UT-Arlington 74, Northern Iowa 65
@Belmont 100, Illinois St 89
@Murray St 73, Wright St 54 - OVC favorite > Horizon favorite
Idaho St 72, @Boise St 70
Loyola Marymount 61, @UNLV 50 - not an optimal day for the MWC

Saturday, November 10, 2018

11/9 recap

Signature wins:
Buffalo 99, @West Virginia 94 (OT) - Buffalo gets a win that they have sorely missed the past couple of years.  Their profile was always a signature win away from being at-large worthy.  They're there now

@Auburn 88, Washington 66 - this win should have a reasonable amount of value down the road
@Kentucky 71, Southern Illinois 59 - mid-table MVC teams hangs around with UK.  Margin of victory is a thing now, remember
Wichita St 83, @Providence 80 - losing these home games are bad for the resume; this is one way for WSU to crawl back to the bubble discussion
@Iowa St 76, Missouri 59 - we'll see if either teams matters in March
Longwood 63, @Richmond 58 - A-10 is having a really bad start to this year
@St Joseph's 79, Old Dominion 64 - finally, an A-10 team doing something noteworthy.  Critical quality win chance by the boards for ODU
Texas 73, Arkansas 71 (OT)

Dumb losses:
Stony Brook 83, @South Carolina 81
Northeastern 81, @Harvard 71 - that's a bit of a ding for a team that's favored in the Ivy
Furman 60, Loyola(Chi) 58 - wait, what?
UC Irvine 74, @Texas A&M 73
Yale 76, California 59

Road wins are never trivial:
North Carolina 116, @Elon 67
Stanford 72, @UNC Wilmington 59
Oklahoma 91, @UTRGV 76

Friday, November 9, 2018

11/8 recap

Siena 69, @George Washington 61 - yeah, we're scraping the bottom of the barrel if we're leading off with this game.  In fact, there doesn't appear to be any meaningful results here.  Let's skip today, shall we?

Thursday, November 8, 2018

11/7 recap

Light night.

Ohio St 64, @Cincinnati 56 - road wins are never trivial.  Long way to go before we know exactly what this means for the two teams, but for now, a quality road win is in the bank for OSU
Bucknell 88, @St Bonaventure 85 - not a good start to the year for the A-10
@TCU 66, Cal St-Bakersfield 61 - tighter score than it needed to be

Wednesday, November 7, 2018

11/6 recap

And thusly begins the daily recaps.  A short quick bite-size version of last night's results that matter.

Kansas 92, Michigan St 87
Duke 118, Kentucky 84 - truth is, all 4 of these teams will have so many big games that I'm not going to make a big deal about these results, for now.  Could be useful in jumping up or down a seed line in March, but all these teams are expected around the top couple of lines

@Nevada 86, BYU 70 - one mystery with the new metrics will be how home wins over quality opponents will be handled.  Will they be marginalized?
North Carolina 78, @Wofford 67 - this goes in the book as a true road win, which matters
@Florida St 81, Florida 60
@Washington 73, WKU 55
Louisiana Tech 71, @Wichita St 58 - time to recalibrate Wichita's expectations this year
Texas Southern 72, @Baylor 69 - oof

interesting mid-major scores of the night:
@Buffalo 82, St Francis(PA) 67 - MAC favorite > NEC favorite
@UCF 84, Rider 70 - AAC at large contender > MAAC favorite
@South Dakota St 79, Grand Canyon 74 - Summit favorite > WAC favorite
@New Mexico St 73, North Dakota St 56

quick hits:
Worries for the A-10?  George Washington and George Mason lose home games to Penn and Stony Brook...Arizona St needed 2OT to beat CS-Fullerton at home...UMBC gets curb stomped on the road at Marquette; back to reality there

Friday, November 2, 2018

Preseason bracket breakdown

Let's chat briefly about the preseason bracket I put up.

Everyone says it these days:  teams get bids, not conferences.  True.  However, schedule is increasing in importance, and your conference has a lot to do with your schedule.  Therefore, every year, I always instruct the reader to do the following with my preseason bracket:  don't pay attention to where specific teams are seeded.  I'm bound to be off on some of them.  I know I will.

What do I think you need to pay attention to?  How well a conference is represented, and seeded, in the bracket.  My opinion on the strength of a conference will be represented by the seedings.  These opinions matter because the conferences will shape a significant portion of everyone's at-large profile.  Therefore I wouldn't worry about where your specific team is seeded; look more at your overall conference position.

With that in mind, let's whip around conference by conference:

ACC:  I have 9 teams in.  Seeds of 1, 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, and 12.  I feel like with 3 top tier teams who are vulnerable, I expect many teams in the middle of the conference to pick off signature wins.  A typical year for the conference awaits.

B1G:  7 teams in.  I expect a rebound year.  I have a typical distribution (a 2 seed, a couple 4 seeds, and the rest scattered throughout the bracket).  I expect the identify of teams 4-7 to be very fluid throughout the year.

SEC:  7 teams in.  Like the B1G, I have a pretty even distribution of teams throughout the bracket, and I also expect the middle of this conference to be in a very fluid state.

Big 10:  6 teams in.  Might be the strongest conference top to bottom.  It's just so tough to put 70% of your conference in the field, though.  I expect the teams that do make it to be solidly in, though.  Looking back to last year's bubble, I expect this year's bubble teams to be in a bit stronger position overall.

Big East:  5 teams in.  I'm not quite sure what to do with them.  I found trouble identifying a second team I feel really good about getting a very high seed.  Will there be enough signature win chances in the conference?  They could easily slide down to 4 teams if things break the wrong way.

Pac-12:  4 teams in.  I don't trust this conference.  At all.

A-10:  2 teams in.  Champ on the 8 line.  Pretty standard year.

MWC:  2 teams in.  Nevada up to the 5 line.  This should be the year the conference rallies a bit.  I still don't think the bottom half is strong enough; Nevada's computer profile will get tanked a bit.

WCC:  1 team in.  St Mary's falls into the abyss; Gonzaga is alone.  BYU could make it close.

MVC:  1 team in.  Strong computer numbers last year; I expect it to continue this year.  Think they can get a second team close to the field.

everyone else:  Western Kentucky is my official bandwagon pick for at-large bid candidacy this year.  You can also talk me into Charleston, if the CAA has a good year, and Buffalo.

Preseason S-CURVE

A more full detail breakdown is coming soon, but wanted to get the official preseason stuff up for posterity.

The 1 line:  Kansas, Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga
The 2 line:  Kentucky, Michigan St, Villanova, West Virginia
The 3 line:  North Carolina, Oregon, Tennessee, Kansas St
The 4 line:  Syracuse, Auburn, Michigan, Purdue
The 5 line:  Cincinnati, Florida St, Nevada, Florida
The 6 line:  Virginia Tech, Indiana, Marquette, UCLA
The 7 line:  Texas, Butler, Clemson, LSU
The 8 line:  Loyola(Chi), Wisconsin, TCU, St Louis
The 9 line:  Washington, North Carolina St, Iowa St, St John's
The 10 line:  Central Florida, San Diego St, Western Kentucky, Arizona
The 11 line:  Mississippi St, Nebraska, St Joseph's, Temple
The 12 line:  Providence, Miami, Minnesota, Alabama, Charleston, Buffalo
The 13 line:  Harvard, Iona, South Dakota St, New Mexico St
The 14 line:  Georgia St, Murray St, UC-Santa Barbara, Wofford
The 15 line:  Vermont, Wright St, Bucknell, Lipscomb
The 16 line:  Montana, Radford, Stephen F Austin, St Francis (PA), North Carolina Central, Texas Southern

Next 4 in:
Mississippi St
St Joseph's

Last 4 in:

Last 4 out:
Illinois St
New Mexico

Next 4 out:
Wichita St

Break it down!:
B1G 7
Big 12 6
Big East 5
Pac-12 4
A-10 2