Let's chat briefly about the preseason bracket I put up.
Everyone says it these days: teams get bids, not conferences. True. However, schedule is increasing in importance, and your conference has a lot to do with your schedule. Therefore, every year, I always instruct the reader to do the following with my preseason bracket: don't pay attention to where specific teams are seeded. I'm bound to be off on some of them. I know I will.
What do I think you need to pay attention to? How well a conference is represented, and seeded, in the bracket. My opinion on the strength of a conference will be represented by the seedings. These opinions matter because the conferences will shape a significant portion of everyone's at-large profile. Therefore I wouldn't worry about where your specific team is seeded; look more at your overall conference position.
With that in mind, let's whip around conference by conference:
ACC: I have 9 teams in. Seeds of 1, 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, and 12. I feel like with 3 top tier teams who are vulnerable, I expect many teams in the middle of the conference to pick off signature wins. A typical year for the conference awaits.
B1G: 7 teams in. I expect a rebound year. I have a typical distribution (a 2 seed, a couple 4 seeds, and the rest scattered throughout the bracket). I expect the identify of teams 4-7 to be very fluid throughout the year.
SEC: 7 teams in. Like the B1G, I have a pretty even distribution of teams throughout the bracket, and I also expect the middle of this conference to be in a very fluid state.
Big 10: 6 teams in. Might be the strongest conference top to bottom. It's just so tough to put 70% of your conference in the field, though. I expect the teams that do make it to be solidly in, though. Looking back to last year's bubble, I expect this year's bubble teams to be in a bit stronger position overall.
Big East: 5 teams in. I'm not quite sure what to do with them. I found trouble identifying a second team I feel really good about getting a very high seed. Will there be enough signature win chances in the conference? They could easily slide down to 4 teams if things break the wrong way.
Pac-12: 4 teams in. I don't trust this conference. At all.
A-10: 2 teams in. Champ on the 8 line. Pretty standard year.
MWC: 2 teams in. Nevada up to the 5 line. This should be the year the conference rallies a bit. I still don't think the bottom half is strong enough; Nevada's computer profile will get tanked a bit.
WCC: 1 team in. St Mary's falls into the abyss; Gonzaga is alone. BYU could make it close.
MVC: 1 team in. Strong computer numbers last year; I expect it to continue this year. Think they can get a second team close to the field.
everyone else: Western Kentucky is my official bandwagon pick for at-large bid candidacy this year. You can also talk me into Charleston, if the CAA has a good year, and Buffalo.