Saturday, February 8, 2020

2/8 recap

Strangely enough, I don't have many takeaways from the early reveal today.  Committee never really got unconventional with any of those seeds, IMO.  Things to quibble with here and there; but I found no big picture takeaways.

@Dayton 71, St Louis 65
Rhode Island 82, George Washington 51
Richmond 59, @Fordham 53

@Louisville 80, Virginia 73
Duke 98, @North Carolina 96 (OT) - for just a second there, I was wondering about firing up some hot UNC takes about how they're not dead yet, but....they're probably dead for sure now
@Florida St 99, Miami 81
Boston College 77, @Virginia Tech 73 (OT) - oh good God, the entire ACC is a mess behind the top 3
@Pittsburgh 73, Georgia Tech 64 - is Pitt alive, by default?
@Syracuse 75, Wake Forest 73 - well, I guess Syracuse is still wandering around in the bubble wasteland

@Temple 97, SMU 90 (OT) - sure, road loss, but SMU needs to pick these off to be relevant
South Florida 75, @Memphis 73 - this is getting dicey very quick for Memphis

@Baylor 78, Oklahoma St 70
Kansas 60, @TCU 46
@Oklahoma 69, West Virginia 59 - the type of win that most bubble teams end up getting one of.  A key resume piece
Texas Tech 62, @Texas 57 - road wins are never trivial.  TTU solidifies, but starting to look like the ceiling of the league is 5 bids
@Iowa St 73, Kansas St 63

Seton Hall 70, @Villanova 64 - signature road win, and SHU and the 2 line feels inevitable
@Creighton 94, St John's 82
@Georgetown 76, DePaul 72
@Xavier 64, Providence 58 - go away, Xavier

@Michigan 77, Michigan St 68 - such a desperately needed win for Michigan.....and good God I have no idea how to seed the top of the conference
@Iowa 96, Nebraska 72
@Penn St 83, Minnesota 77
Purdue 74, @Indiana 62 - road wins are solid gold in this conference.  Back to a realistic shot at 11 bids here

@San Diego St 89, Air Force 74
@Utah St 70, Boise St 61

@Oregon St 63, Oregon 53 - oof
UCLA 65, @Arizona 52 - a bigger oof
@Colorado 81, Stanford 74 - an aversion of oof.  Might as well mix Arizona, Colorado, and Oregon's seed in a blender
@Utah 60, California 45
@Arizona St 66, USC 64 - meanwhile, the bubble picture in this conference is weird.  Might get 3 teams in, might get 6, both are reasonable possibilities

@Auburn 91, LSU 90 (OT)
Kentucky 77, @Tennessee 64 - road wins are never trivial
@South Carolina 74, Texas A&M 54 - I dunno, my instincts are telling me to pay attention to USC...
@Ole Miss 68, Florida 51 - dumb road loss.  Road loss, sure, but dumb anyways
@Missouri 83, Arkansas 79 (OT) - ditto
Alabama 105, @Georgia 102 (OT) - dumb road loss averted
@Mississippi St 80, Vanderbilt 70

Gonzaga 90, @St Mary's 60 - GU's resume is still weaker than most think, so margin of victory matters more here.  Act like a 1 seed, get a 1 seed
@BYU 90, San Francisco 76

Liberty 74, @North Alabama 56
@Northern Iowa 83, Drake 73
East Tennessee St 73, @Mercer 60

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