Friday, February 15, 2019

2/14 recap

Illinois 63, @Ohio St 56 - luckily, given the current state of the bubble, OSU is still a couple dumb losses away from true trouble.  But given how strong the 5-6-7 lines are, their seed ceiling keeps getting lowered

@Utah 83, Arizona 76 - is Utah the 3rd best team in the Pac-12?  Yikes

Houston 71, @UConn 63

Gonzaga 73, @Loyola Marymount 60
BYU 88, @San Diego 82
@San Francisco 89, Pepperdine 77
St Mary's 66, @Santa Clara 55 - so who is the 2nd best team in the WCC?  I'm not sure the answer matters, but based on the computer numbers, both BYU and St Mary's can at least make hail mary-like claims to a spot on the bubble.  I can't imagine either will matter by mid-March, but they're lurking

@Wofford 95, VMI 84
@East Tennessee St 91, Citadel 83
@Furman 57, UNC Greensboro 57 - UNCG needed this one to get into realistic at-large range; a quality road win would've done it.  As is, looks like both these teams are solid NIT teams right now but are running out of time to add quality wins to their resume.  Might be Wofford or bust for the SoCon at-large picture.  I really don't want that to be true, though

Hofstra 99, @Charleston 95 - this should put the CAA on ice.  I don't think they'll get there, but I wouldn't object to some Hofstra bubble talk.  Northeastern also won, and is in legitimate NIT at-large bid talk
Belmont 77, @Tennessee St 66 - Murray St keeps pace with Belmont, beating Austin Peay.  We're headed for another Belmont/Murray St showdown in a conference final, and Belmont has reasonable at-large hopes if they lose that.  Murray St probably doesn't, and is probably on the NIT bubble

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