East Tennessee St (24-4) (16-2) NET 41 SoS 131
Vital signs: 11-3 R/N, non-con SoS 80, avg win 203
1-2 vs. Q1, 2-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins: @LSU, @UNCG, Furman?
Bad losses: Mercer
Put this team in the tournament, jerks.
Liberty (25-4) (13-3) NET 64 SoS 319
Vital signs: 13-4 R/N, non-con SoS 223, avg win 259
0-1 vs. Q1, 1-0 vs. Q2
Signature wins: N-Akron
Bad losses: @Lipscomb, @Stetson are Q4
A courtesy listing, given their record. That SoS is a non-starter. No true quality wins.
Stephen F Austin (23-3) (17-1) NET 79 SoS 339
Vital signs: 11-2 R/N, non-con SoS 189, avg win 272
1-2 vs. Q1, 0-0 vs. Q2
Signature wins: @Duke
Bad losses: TAMU-CC
See Liberty....but instead they binked a roadie at Duke. Makes all the difference. It's still a big ask. They played 21 Q4 games. 2 Q3 games. Oof. The SoS is just too terrible. If they had a second win to point do beyond Duke, I'd love their chances. It wouldn't even have to be a Q1 win, just a Q2 win or game. They did lose at Rutgers and Bama. Needed a couple more chances.
Akron (20-7) (12-4) NET 76 SoS 95 - if they lose the regular season to Bowling Green in the MAC, they'll be in range of the NIT. But with no Q1/2 wins, they're not viable.
Furman (22-6) (15-3) NET 65 SoS 155 - a couple Q2 wins in conference play, but a very plain non-con makes the case a bit dicey. True borderline case for the NIT
UNC Greensboro (21-8) (13-5) NET 78 SoS 127 - they have road wins at Georgetown and Vermont to add some spice to this resume, and did win at Furman...but dropped a couple more road games in conference play. This is a case where I could see them leapfrog Furman for a NIT at-large bid. Frankly, they should both be in though.
Yale (20-6) (10-2) NET 62 SoS 237 - if they lose the Ivy regular season to Harvard, there's an outside case here. Win at Clemson is gaining steam, but it's about all they have on the resume.