Sunday, March 8, 2020

3/7 recap

No bracket this morning, today's a day for scrubbing

@Dayton 76, George Washington 51
Rhode Island 64, @UMass 63 - road wins are never trivial
@St Louis 72, St Bonaventure 49 - I think StL is dead, but just in case

@Florida St 80, Boston College 62
@Virginia 57, Louisville 54 - harsh, but that might bury UL on the 4 line
@Duke 89, North Carolina 76
@Notre Dame 64, Virginia Tech 56
@Miami 69, Syracuse 65 (OT)

@Cincinnati 64, Temple 63 - good lord that was almost really, really stupid, Cincy

Kansas 66, @Texas Tech 62 - things are officially dicey for TTU now.  I would suggest beating Texas just in case
@West Virginia 76, Baylor 64 - signature win.  Now, WVU's powerful SoS comes into play and they might get overseeded again
Oklahoma St 81, @Texas 59 - way to erase most of the gains you made the last month.  Needs to beat TTU and maybe Kansas too
Oklahoma 78, @TCU 76

@Creighton 77, Seton Hall 60
Villanova 70, @Georgetown 69 - I will say....I'm not sure in what order to have all these Big East teams now
@St John's 88, Marquette 86 - Marquette is trying to test just how close they can get to the bubble from a strong position and still be safe
@Providence 93, DePaul 55
Butler 72, @Xavier 71 - c'mon people join me on the anti-Xavier bandwagon

@Northwestern 80, Penn St 69 - oh no
Wisconsin 60, @Indiana 56
Rutgers 71, @Purdue 68 (OT) - it's still just Purdue, but any road win counts as a massive one for Rutgers.  Should be home free

@Harvard 83, Yale 69 - that's the end of that at-large conversation

@Oregon 80, Stanford 67
@Utah 74, Colorado 72 (OT) - thanks for making me look dumb Colorado
@USC 54, UCLA 52
@Oregon St 74, Cal 56
@Arizona St 83, Washington St 74
Washington 69, @Arizona 63 - go figure, Washington

Kentucky 71, @Florida 70 - quality road win, may be worth a seed line
Auburn 85, @Tennessee 63
@Vanderbilt 83, South Carolina 74 - that's one way to kill a bubble resume
@LSU 94, Georgia 64
@Missouri 69, Alabama 50 - and that's another way
@Texas A&M 77, Arkansas 69 - and that's yet another way.  I don't see a path forward for any of these teams without going to the final, and even that's dicey
@Mississippi St 69, Ole Miss 44 - MSU survives

MWC finals:
Utah St 59, San Diego St 56 - everyone knows what this does to USU.  SDSU still has a better overall resume than Dayton, I think, but I think eye test might take over and send Dayton to the 1 line

OVC finals:
Belmont 76, Murray St 75

WCC quarters:
San Francisco 72, Pacific 54
St Mary's 89, Pepperdine 82 (2OT) - yiiiiiiiiikes

SoCon quarters:
Western Carolina 70, Mercer 56
Wofford 77, Furman 68 - oh no
Chattanooga 78, UNC Greensboro 68 - oh no.  Listen up NIT.  Furman and UNCG.  Put them in your field you cowards
East Tennessee St 70, VMI 57 - a bad, bad day for ETSU.  Everyone remaining now represents a bad loss, plus they lose access to another quad 2 win as a seed booster

MVC semis:
Bradley 76, Drake 66
Valparaiso 89, Missouri St 82

NEC semis:
St Francis(PA) 84, Sacred Heart 72
Robert Morris 86, LIU Brooklyn 66

A-East quarters:
Vermont 61, Maine 50
Stony Brook 76, Albany 73
Hartford 89, UMass Lowell 75
UMBC 73, New Hampshire 67

Summit quarters:
North Dakota St 71, Denver 69
IPFW 77, South Dakota St 74

CAA 1st round:
Drexel 66, UNC Wilmington 55
Elon 63, James Madison 61

Fun Belt 1st round:
Louisiana 73, Arkansas St 66
Coastal Carolina 63, UT Arlington 62


ILLSC said...

Dayton is better than sdsu, I think common sense will push dayton to 1 line

HenryMuto said...

The NET is a joke. Kentucky lost to Tennessee and dropped from 14 to 21. Going into yesterday Kentucky was still at 21 moved up to 20 after beating then 29th ranked NET Florida on the road. 1 whole spot.........I know it's not in a vacuum but JFC. What a joke.

Arizona lost their 4th home game and 11 game of the year at home to last place Washington and still rank 15th........

HenryMuto said...

Dayton resume is incredibly weak on paper. Which is your favorite best Dayton win this year was it the one vs Saint Mary's who barely beat Pepperdine last night or the one at Richmond ?
I get they only have 2 losses and both of those were barely in OT one to a great Kansas team and 1 to a solid Colorado team but my goodness that is barely an NCAA tournament resume and nothing close to a 1 seed in terms of quality wins. All their other quad 1 wins are against non tournament teams. If that had lost that Saint Louis game they won at the buzzer where would they be ? Seriously best wins are Saint Mary's and at Richmond. That's wins against a team not even wearing white in the 1st round and a bubble team. They play in a so so conference so they only have 2 losses.

If they had a few more losses this team would be a bubble team.

HenryMuto said...

Oh my I looked closer at the NET Florida moved up from 29 to 28 with their loss to Kentucky.........What ?

So Kentucky and Florida both moved up 1 spot in a game Kentucky won on the road and they lost at home ??????????

NET is garbage

HenryMuto said...

NET is garbage but Kentucky is 9-3 against quad 1 that is a better win % than almost every team except Kansas, Baylor and SD State.

For comparison

Duke 5-3
Louisville 4-6
Michigan State 7-7
Creighton 9-7
Florida State 6-3
Maryland 6-7

Kentucky is 9-3 vs quad 1 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That Evansville loss and the garbage NET ranking for Kentucky at 20 has people seeding them still in the 4 line range.

9 quad 1 wins and a 75% win % against the best quad.