Friday, February 20, 2015

S-Curve 2/20

Just an S-curve today, as I do some quick sorting and shuffling I wanted to do.  Quick observations:

- The top 5 or 6 lines are strong, very strong.  There's going to be a couple teams getting squeezed into the 6 line that won't like it.
- Gonzaga's in trouble if everyone in the top 7 keeps winning
- Utah is making a push for the 2 line, but it's going to be really tough with Arizona and Kansas directly ahead of them
- The 10-11 lines are ugly, ugly, ugly

The 1 line:  Kentucky (26-0), Virginia (24-1), Duke (23-3), Wisconsin (24-2)
The 2 line:  Villanova (24-2), Gonzaga (26-1), Arizona (23-3), Kansas (21-5)
The 3 line:  Utah (20-4), Notre Dame (23-4), Maryland (22-5), Iowa St (19-6)
The 4 line:  Northern Iowa (24-2), Oklahoma (18-8), Butler (19-7), North Carolina (18-8)
The 5 line:  Louisville (20-6), Arkansas (21-5), SMU (21-5), Wichita St (22-3)
The 6 line:  Baylor (18-7), West Virginia (20-6), Providence (18-8), Georgetown (17-8)
The 7 line:  VCU (20-6), San Diego St (20-6), Oklahoma St (16-9), Indiana (18-9)
The 8 line:  Ohio St (19-7), Dayton (20-5), Texas (17-9), Mississippi (18-8)
The 9 line:  Michigan St (18-8), Xavier (17-10), Colorado St (21-5), Stanford (16-9)
The 10 line:  Temple (19-8), Cincinnati (17-9), Iowa (16-10), St John's (16-9)
The 11 line:  Purdue (18-9), Texas A&M (18-7), Illinois (17-9), UCLA (16-11), North Carolina St (15-11)
The 12 line:  Oregon (18-8), Georgia (16-9), Wofford (20-6), Iona (21-6), Harvard (15-5)
The 13 line:  Valparaiso (21-4), Murray St (21-4), Eastern Washington (17-6), Louisiana Tech (20-6)
The 14 line:  Kent St (17-8), William & Mary (14-10), UC-Davis (18-4), Sam Houston St (17-5)
The 15 line:  High Point (17-7), South Dakota St (18-8), Louisiana-Monroe (14-8), FGCU (17-7)
The 16 line:  North Carolina Central (17-6), Texas Southern (13-12), Albany (18-8), New Mexico St (16-10), St Francis(NY) (18-9), Bucknell (15-12)

Lockbox:
everyone from Georgetown on up

Not a lock, but are very safe as of now:
everyone in between VCU and Texas

Bubble in:
Mississippi
Michigan St
Xavier
Colorado St
Stanford
Temple
Cincinnati
Iowa

Next 4 in:
St John's
Purdue
Texas A&M
Illinois

Last 4 in:
UCLA
North Carolina St
Oregon
Georgia

Last 4 out:
LSU (18-8)
Miami (17-9)
Pittsburgh (16-10)
Tulsa (18-6)

Next 4 out:
Old Dominion (19-6)
Davidson (17-6)
Boise St (17-7)
St Mary's (20-8)

The consideration board:
BYU (19-8)
Rhode Island (17-6)
UMass (16-10)
Seton Hall (15-11)
George Washington (17-9)
Wyoming (19-6)
Stephen F Austin (18-4)

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