Out of the top 11 conferences, they're rated 12th in conference RPI.
No, seriously. Even the MAC is by them. It's been a terrible, no good, bad year for this conference. The traditional powers stepped back and the teams that are supposed to replace them in the national spotlight didn't schedule accordingly.
The Lockbox
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Bubble
San Diego St (17-5) (8-2) RPI 26 SoS 63
Vital signs: 5-5 R/N, non-con SoS 37, 1-3 vs. Top 50, 5-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: Utah, N-BYU, @Wyoming?
Bad losses: @Fresno
Even SDSU is short of lockdom. Those other four losses are reasonable road/neutral losses, so the resume isn't in too bad of shape. I just can't call it a lock when you only have 1 win over a surefire tourney team...and that will hold true the rest of the year because the MWC is so down. In all reality, just don't have another loss comparable to @Fresno and you'll be just fine.
Colorado St (18-4) (6-4) RPI 28 SoS 118
Vital signs: 8-3 R/N, non-con SoS 132, 2-1 vs. Top 50, 5-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: SDSU, Boise at home? @Colorado?
Bad losses: probably @New Mexico
CSU gets swept by Wyoming. The good news is they have that win over SDSU in pocket already. The bad news is that's their only real signature win, and that's all they're going to get outside of the return trip to SDSU. The vital signs actually look alright (the non-con SoS isn't great, but it's surely good enough). And they haven't thrown away any terrible losses yet. While it's very tough to imagin ea high ceiling for this profile, it IS one that should find the field of 68 as long as major damage isn't absorbed elsewhere.
Wyoming (17-4) (8-2) RPI 62 SoS 218
Vital signs: 4-3 R/N, non-con SoS 324, 3-2 vs. Top 50, 4-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: swept Colorado St
Bad losses: @Utah St? @Cal?
Welp, not hard to see issues here. Look at that non-con SoS and the signature win column. Disaster. That and the Colorado win evaporated too. I'm not sure this profile can absorb CSU representing the best win, given the deficiencies in certain areas. This will be hotly debated over the next month.
Boise St (14-6) (6-3) RPI 46 SoS 94
Vital signs: 8-5 R/N, non-con SoS 167, 1-2 vs. Top 50, 2-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: Colorado St, @St Mary's
Bad losses: Utah St at home, yeesh
This is a charity listing. Need to thow major haymakers in conference play, but will at least get the chance to down the stretch.
NIT watch
New Mexico (14-8) (6-4) RPI 123 SoS 144 - What's more shocking: the non-con SoS hovering around 250, or the fact that they didn't perform well against it? Yikes
CBI/CIT watch
UNLV (12-9) (4-5) RPI 101 SoS 80 - They scheduled up, beat Arizona and N-Temple...and just lost too many. If they didn't lose at home to New Mexico and Nevada, they might actually be really cooking here.
Fresno St (9-12) (6-4) RPI 227 SoS 170
Utah St (11-10) (5-5) RPI 163 SoS 150 - These two teams get gold stars for hanging around .500 in conference play, but that's more a black mark on the rest of the league than anything else.
No postseason
Air Force is terrible. Nevada is just plain terribad. And San Jose St is catastrophically terrible.
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