Thursday, February 26, 2015

2/25 recap

Signature wins:
Davidson 60, @Rhode Island 59 - it's not a fancy win, but it's a road win over a bubble team, and Davidson is now your prime candidate for a 3rd NCAA team
Baylor 79, @Iowa St 70 - the race on the 3 and 4 lines is very tight, and ISU has lost pole position in that race.  Baylor...right on the 3/4 edge
@Iowa 68, Illinois 60 - maybe stretching the definition of a signature win, but this should come close to keeping Iowa in the field for good.  They're staying a half-step ahead of Purdue and UI right now, and that's enough
Georgia 76, @Ole Miss 72 - Ole Miss has been so hot I don't think this hurts (the next loss would, though).  Georgia gets a signature road win

Catastrophic losses:
@Richmond 67, VCU 63 (2OT) - VCU could do some real serious seed damage
@Northwestern 72, Indiana 65 - IU is still probably a loss away from any real bubble danger, but this was a poor spot to have to use your mulligan
St Joseph's 82, @UMass 71 - whatever faint hopes UMass had have left the building with this catastrophic home loss
Fresno St 64, @Wyoming 59 - for everyone who still had Wyoming in play, stop it

Holding serve on the top line:
Kentucky 74, @Mississippi St 56
Virginia 70, @Wake Forest 34 - it'll take multiple losses to budge either of these teams off their position
Duke 91, @Virginia Tech 86 (OT)

Holding serve elsewhere:
@Dayton 76, George Mason 53 - the A-10 title race is a bit of a subplot compared to the bubble race, but with 3 to play, we have a 4-way tie at 11-4 (Dayton, VCU, Davidson, URI)
Wichita St 63, @Indiana St 53
@Cincinnati 83, Central Florida 60 - I think Cincy's going to be okay here
@Butler 73, Marquette 52
@Tulsa 76, Tulane 55
@Northern Iowa 68, Evansville 57
@Miami 81, Florida St 77
@Colorado St 72, San Jose St 56
@UCLA 88, Washington 66
Oregon 80, @California 69 - a quiet night for the Pac-12, which is the best type of night this time of year

NIT watch:
UConn 60, @East Carolina 49
@Fordham 63, LaSalle 48
@George Washington 69, St Bonaventure 46
@TCU 71, Texas Tech 54
@Illinois St 73, Southern Illinois 56
Loyola(Chi) 80, @Drake 75 (OT)

Miscellany:
- The Patriot title is still in play.  Bucknell loses on the road at Lehigh, and Colgate is one back with one to play, with tiebreaker in hand
- North Florida beats FGCU on the road.  They're tied with 1 to play, but UNF has tiebreaker in hand
- Albany salts away the A-East race
- Valpo, with a chance to clinch the Horizon, loses on the road at Detroit.  Valpo at Cleveland St this weekend.  Cleveland St is one back.  12-3 at 11-4.  What makes this even more complicated is Oakland is also on 11-4 and Green Bay is 10-4.  Things could get very weird with tiebreakers here
- In the Colonial, UNC-Wilmington beats James Madison, and William & Mary wins.  Currently:  W&M 12-5, UNCW 12-5, Northeastern 11-5, JMU 11-6.  Still a lot of possibilities here
- Toledo with a terrible loss at home to Northern Illinois.  3 to play for everyone in the MAC, and after Akon, Buffalo, BGU, Kent St, and Toledo...it's now Central Michigan's turn to represent the MAC in all your brackets
- By law, I include every score from every power conference.  So Washington St 70, @USC 66.  There you go.

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