Tuesday, March 10, 2015

S-Curve 3/11

Changes for you, Mr. Matrix:
St Francis out, Robert Morris in, obviously, a 16-for-16 trade
South Dakota St from 14 to out, Belmont slides from a 15 to a 14, and North Dakota St enters on the 15 line

The 1 line:  Kentucky (31-0), Virginia (28-2), Duke (28-3), Villanova (28-2)
The 2 line:  Wisconsin (28-3), Arizona (28-3), Gonzaga (31-2), Kansas (24-7)
The 3 line:  Maryland (26-5), Notre Dame (26-5), Oklahoma (21-9), Iowa St (22-8)
The 4 line:  Baylor (22-8), Northern Iowa (30-3), Louisville (24-7), Utah (22-7)
The 5 line:  North Carolina (24-7), Georgetown (20-9), West Virginia (23-8), Butler (22-9)
The 6 line:  Wichita St (27-4), SMU (23-6), Arkansas (24-7), Providence (21-10)
The 7 line:  St John's (20-10), Michigan St (21-10), Cincinnati (22-9), San Diego St (23-7)
The 8 line:  Iowa (21-10), Dayton (23-7), VCU (22-9), Oregon (22-8)
The 9 line:  Oklahoma St (17-12), Xavier (19-12), Colorado St (25-5), Ohio St (22-9)
The 10 line:  North Carolina St (19-12), Georgia (20-10), Davidson (22-6), LSU (22-9)
The 11 line:  Indiana (19-12), Boise St (22-7), Ole Miss (20-11), Purdue (20-11), BYU (23-9)
The 12 line:  UCLA (19-12), Texas (19-12), Stephen F Austin (24-4), Wofford (26-6), Yale (20-9)
The 13 line:  Louisiana Tech (23-7), Valparaiso (25-5), Central Michigan (19-7), UC-Davis (22-5)
The 14 line:  Northeastern (23-11), Georgia St (21-9), North Carolina Central (21-6), Belmont (21-10)
The 15 line:  North Dakota St (21-9), Albany (23-8), New Mexico St (19-10), Texas Southern (19-12)
The 16 line:  Montana (16-11), Coastal Carolina (20-9), North Florida (20-11), Manhattan (19-13), Robert Morris (19-14), Lafayette (18-12)

Bubble in:
Colorado St
Ohio St
North Carolina St

Next 4 in:
Georgia
Davidson (currently in as A-10 leader)
LSU
Indiana
Boise St (currently in as MW leader)
Ole Miss

Last 4 in:
Purdue
BYU
UCLA
Texas

Last 4 out:
Tulsa (21-8)
Temple (22-9)
Miami (20-11)
Old Dominion (24-6)

Bubble inception (we need to go deeper):
Illinois (19-12)
Stanford (18-12)
Stephen F Austin (currently in as Southland leader)
Murray St (25-5)
Texas A&M (20-10)
Richmond (19-12) - adding them in because, well if they beat VCU and Davidson, people will have them in play.  Of course, if Pitt beats NC State, Duke, and Notre Dame, they're in play too, but no one's addressing that, huh?

2 comments:

HenryMuto said...

Your 1 of only 17 people out of 114 that has UCLA in the field right now. I am not seeing it myself I don't see how they get in without beating Arizona.

Andrew said...

The numbers and odds say they do need to beat Arizona. They'll get passed without more help.

Compared to Texas, Texas has just had more opportunity against high-level competition, and both have about the same success rates. I'm surprised Texas is more hot-button than UCLA right now.