NIT projections 3/12

Fine-tuning the S-Curve a bit more, and formalizing the predictions a bit.

The 1 line:  Tulsa (21-8), Temple (22-9), Miami (21-11), Old Dominion (24-6)
The 2 line:  Illinois (19-12), Stanford (19-12), Murray St (25-5), Texas A&M (20-10)
The 3 line:  Richmond (19-12), UConn (17-13), Rhode Island (20-8), Pittsburgh (18-14)
The 4 line:  St Mary's (20-9),  UMass (17-14),  Memphis (18-13), Alabama (17-13)
The 5 line:  George Washington (20-11), Iona (26-8), Buffalo (21-9), Vanderbilt (18-12)
The 6 line:  Illinois St (20-12), Green Bay (22-8), Arizona St (17-15), Harvard (19-7)
The 7 line:  Minnesota (17-14), Seton Hall (16-15), UTEP (21-9), William & Mary (18-12)
The 8 line:  South Dakota St (21-10), St Francis(NY) (22-11), Charleston Southern (16-11), Bucknell (18-14)

The first 13 teams reside in the NIT lockbox.

Bubble in:
UMass
Memphis
Alabama
George Washington
Buffalo

Next 4 in:
Vanderbilt
Illinois St
Green Bay
Arizona St

Last 4 in:
Harvard
Minnesota
Seton Hall
UTEP

Last 4 out:
Florida St (17-15)
Oregon St (16-14)
Clemson (16-15)
California (18-14)

Next 4 out:
Wyoming (20-9)
UNLV (17-14)
Toledo (19-12)
Sam Houston St (20-7)

Next 4 out:
Eastern Washington (20-8)
Penn St (17-15)
LaSalle (16-15)
UC-Santa Barbara (16-12)

Teams under .500 I'll deal with, if they get on a bit of a run:  Kansas St, Florida, Michigan

If you wonder how the NIT would create the bracket?  Remember that teams can be moved a seed line.

1) Tulsa vs. 8) South Dakota St
4) Memphis vs. 5) Arizona St
3) St Mary's vs. 6) Alabama
2) Stanford vs. 7) Minnesota

1) Miami vs. 8) Charleston Southern
4) UMass vs. 5) Iona
3) Pittsburgh vs. 6) George Washington
2) Texas A&M vs. 7) UTEP

1) Old Dominion vs. 8) Bucknell
4) Rhode Island vs. 5) Buffalo
3) UConn vs. 6) Harvard
2) Illinois vs. 7) Illinois St

1) Temple vs. 8) St Francis(NY)
4) Vanderbilt vs. 5) Green Bay
3) Richmond vs. 6) William & Mary
2) Murray St vs. 7) Seton Hall