NIT projections 3/2

Time to start taking these seriously.  First, the following 10 teams are NCAA bubble teams, and NIT locks:
BYU (21-8)
Stanford (18-10)
Texas (17-12)
Texas A&M (20-8)
Kansas St (15-15)
Pittsburgh (18-11)
Miami (18-11)
Old Dominion (22-6)
Illinois (18-11)
UConn (17-11)

The following teams are not NCAA bubble teams, but in my opinion are NIT locks:
Rhode Island (19-7)
Clemson (16-12)
Seton Hall (16-12)
UMass (17-12)
St Mary's (20-8)

15 spots are accounted for.  In most years, 8-10 NIT bids are used up by automatic qualifiers (regular season conference champions that do not make the NCAAs).  This means at this point, there are 7-9 remaining NIT spots available.

My best estimation of the 7 teams above the cutline:
Memphis (17-12)
Minnesota (16-12)
Oregon St (16-11)
Arizona St (15-13)
George Washington (18-11)
UTEP (19-9)
Richmond (17-12)

The next 2 in limbo:
Green Bay (21-7)
Buffalo (19-9)

The following 8 teams would then be out in a scenario where 8 autobids are taken.  As of today, with 0 autobids spoken for, these teams are currently projected in the NIT, but are in obvious trouble:
Wyoming (19-8)
Alabama (16-12)
Yale (19-8)
Toledo (19-10)
Illinois St (18-11)
California (16-12)
Bowling Green (19-7)
Florida St (15-15)

FYI:  teams who are currently under .500, who, if they got to .500, could be interesting:
Florida (14-15), Michigan (13-14), South Carolina (13-14).  I doubt any make it, but they'd at least be in play.

Finally, a bracket, just because.  Geography is a critical aspect, so I took several liberties with seeding compared to the list above.  There are some isolated travel oddities (with 4 A-10 and Pac-12 teams in the field of 32, things get squirrely when trying to keep everyon close to home, so some are going to have to travel cross-country).

EAST
1) Pittsburgh (18-11) vs. 8) Bowling Green (19-7)
4) Rhode Island (19-7) vs. 5) Seton Hall (16-12)
3) UConn (17-11) vs. 6) Buffalo (19-9)
2) Old Dominion (22-6) vs. 7) Yale (19-8)

SOUTH
1) Texas (17-12) vs. 8) Florida St (15-15)
4) UMass (17-12) vs. 5) Memphis (17-12)
3) Miami (18-11) vs. 6) Richmond (17-12)
2) Texas A&M (20-8) vs. 7) Toledo (19-10)

MIDWEST
1) Kansas St (15-15) vs. 8) Illinois St (18-11)
4) Oregon St (16-11) vs. 5) UTEP (19-9)
3) St Mary's (20-8) vs. 6) Arizona St (15-13)
2) Illinois (18-11) vs. 7) Green Bay (21-7)

WEST
1) BYU (21-8) vs. 8) California (16-12)
4) Minnesota (16-12) vs. 5) George Washington (18-11)
3) Clemson (16-12) vs. 6) Alabama (16-12)
2) Stanford (18-10) vs. 7) Wyoming (19-8)