Friday, January 27, 2017

1/27 S-CURVE

1) I don't know, YOU tell me what to do with the 1 line right now.
2) The ACC is starting to stack up on the 2 and 3 lines.  The 3 line is very crowded.  For now, I've made UCLA the loser to fall to the 4 line, but I expect them to funnel back up.
3) The ACC is invading the bubble too.  The committee is going to have to take its time parsing out individual conference schedules in order to rank these teams properly.

The 1 line:  Villanova (19-2), Baylor (18-1), Gonzaga (21-0), Kansas (18-2)
The 2 line:  Kentucky (17-3), Florida St (18-3), Louisville (17-4), North Carolina (18-3)
The 3 line:  Virginia (16-3), West Virginia (16-4), Arizona (19-2), Butler (18-3)
The 4 line:  UCLA (19-3), Oregon (18-2), Wisconsin (17-3), Cincinnati (18-2)
The 5 line:  Notre Dame (17-4), Purdue (17-4), St Mary's (18-2), Maryland (17-2)
The 6 line:  Duke (15-5), Florida (15-5), South Carolina (15-4), SMU (18-4)
The 7 line:  Xavier (14-6), Arkansas (15-4), Creighton (17-3), Dayton (14-4)
The 8 line:  USC (18-4), Northwestern (17-4), Iowa St (13-6), Virginia Tech (15-5)
The 9 line:  Indiana (14-7), Marquette (14-6), Minnesota (15-6), Middle Tennessee (17-3)
The 10 line:  Kansas St (15-5), Miami (13-6), Michigan (14-7), California (14-6)
The 11 line:  TCU (13-6), North Carolina St (14-7), Michigan St (12-9), Seton Hall (13-7), Wake Forest (12-8), VCU (15-5)
The 12 line:  Illinois St (16-4), UNC-Wilmington (18-2), Nevada (17-4), Akron (16-3)
The 13 line:  New Mexico St (17-2), Valparaiso (15-4), Monmouth (16-5), Georgia Southern (12-6)
The 14 line:  Vermont (16-5), Belmont (14-4), UNC-Greensboro (13-6), NOrth Dakota St (13-6)
The 15 line:  Bucknell (16-6), Princeton (9-6), Winthrop (14-4), FGCU (13-6)
The 16 line:  Texas Southern (10-10), Weber St (8-7), New Orleans (9-7), UC-Irvine (11-10), Mount St Mary's (10-12), Morgan St (7-11)

Next 4 in:
Michigan
California
TCU
North Carolina St

Last 4 in:
Michigan St
Seton Hall
Wake Forest
VCU

Last 4 out:
Illinois St*
Clemson (11-8)
Pittsburgh (12-8)
Georgia Tech (12-8)
Wichita St (17-4)

Next 4 out:
UNC-Wilmington*
Texas Tech (14-6)
Illinois (12-8)
Georgia (11-8)
Oklahoma St (11-8)

Break it down!
ACC 10
B1G 8
Big East 6
Big 12 6
Pac-12 5
SEC 4
A-10 2
AAC 2
WCC 2

1 comment:

HenryMuto said...

I think you have the 4 #1 seeds correct as of now. Not sure about the order 1-4 but I think those are the 4 right now.

For #2 seeds I would put Arizona ahead of Louisville.

If Kansas wins at Kentucky and then wins over Baylor Kansas will move up to #1 overall I think.

If Kentucky beats Kansas then Kentucky likely moves ahead of Kansas.