Sunday, March 8, 2015

S-Curve 3/9

Did some gentle scrubbing (biggest change - Wisky back ahead of Arizona), and many seed lines changed a bit.

People think Indiana are in danger.  Sorry, but do you see the number of viable bubble teams remaining?  Who's going to pass them?  I'm resisting the urge to lock everyone from Indiana on up in.  To me, right now the bubble plays 14 teams for 6 spots.

The 1 line:  Kentucky (31-0), Virginia (28-2), Duke (28-3), Villanova (28-2)
The 2 line:  Wisconsin (28-3), Arizona (28-3), Gonzaga (29-2), Kansas (24-7)
The 3 line:  Maryland (26-5), Notre Dame (26-5), Oklahoma (21-9), Iowa St (22-8)
The 4 line:  Baylor (22-8), Northern Iowa (30-3), Louisville (24-7), Utah (22-7)
The 5 line:  North Carolina (24-7), Georgetown (20-9), West Virginia (23-8), Butler (22-9)
The 6 line:  Wichita St (27-4), SMU (23-6), Arkansas (24-7), Providence (21-10)
The 7 line:  St John's (20-10), Michigan St (21-10), Cincinnati (22-9), San Diego St (23-7)
The 8 line:  Iowa (21-10), Dayton (23-7), VCU (22-9), Oregon (22-8)
The 9 line:  Oklahoma St (17-12), Xavier (19-12), Colorado St (25-5), Ohio St (22-9)
The 10 line:  North Carolina St (19-12), Georgia (20-10), Davidson (22-6), LSU (22-9)
The 11 line:  Indiana (19-12), Boise St (22-7), Ole Miss (20-11), Purdue (20-11), UCLA (19-12)
The 12 line:  Texas (19-12), BYU (22-8), Stephen F Austin (24-4), Wofford (25-6), Yale (20-9)
The 13 line:  Louisiana Tech (23-7), Iona (26-7), Valparaiso (24-5), Central Michigan (19-7)
The 14 line:  William & Mary (18-11), UC-Davis (22-5), Georgia St (21-9), South Dakota St (20-9)
The 15 line:  North Carolina Central (21-6), Belmont (21-10), Albany (23-8), New Mexico St (19-10)
The 16 line:  Texas Southern (19-12), Montana (16-11), Coastal Carolina (20-9), St Francis(NY) (22-10), North Florida (20-11), Lafayette (18-12)

Bubble in:
Colorado St
Ohio St
North Carolina St

Next 4 in:
Georgia
Davidson (currently in as A-10 leader)
LSU
Indiana
Boise St (currently in as MW leader)
Ole Miss

Last 4 in:
Purdue
UCLA
Texas
BYU

Last 4 out:
Tulsa (21-8)
Temple (22-9)
Miami (20-11)
Old Dominion (24-6)

Bubble inception (we need to go deeper):
Illinois (19-12)
Stanford (18-12)
Murray St (25-5)
Texas A&M (20-10)

1 comment:

HenryMuto said...

Utah is a big question mark team on how to seed them as is Northern Iowa. Taking a closer look at Utah they have 7 losses and only 2-5 vs RPI top 50. Only their RPI of 15 is holding them as high a seed as they are projected in your bracket. take Oregon for example they beat Utah and they have same 13-5 Pac 12 record and RPI 29 but they are a 9/10 seed type team. Let's take a closer look at Utah's 2 top 50 wins. Home vs Wichita State a quality win but not a gigantic win and @BYU a bubble team. That RPI of 15 seems to be inflated just like Buffalo's 30 RPI is inflated. Utah really should be a 6 seed based on their paper with only 1 win over an at large for sure team and that team Wichita State only has 2 RPI top 50 wins themselves. Utah does have a win at home over UCLA another bubble team and yes they beat Stanford but they should not make it. Most feel UCLA is out but you do have them in.