Thursday, March 5, 2015

S-Curve 3/5

For the bracket matrix, your daily changes:
Michigan St from 8 seed to 7 seed
VCU from 7 seed to 8 seed
Ohio St from 10 seed to 9 seed
Indiana from 9 seed to 10 seed
Ole Miss from 11 seed to 10 seed
LSU from 10 seed to 11 seed
Texas from 11 seed to 12 seed (because of play-in game alignments and Tulsa entering the at-large pool)

The 1 line:  Kentucky (30-0), Virginia (28-1), Duke (27-3), Villanova (28-2)
The 2 line:  Arizona (26-3), Gonzaga (28-2), Wisconsin (26-3), Kansas (24-6)
The 3 line:  Maryland (25-5), Notre Dame (25-5), Utah (21-6), Iowa St (21-8)
The 4 line:  Oklahoma (20-9), Baylor (21-8), Northern Iowa (27-3), Wichita St (26-3)
The 5 line:  North Carolina (21-9), Louisville (23-7), Providence (21-9), Georgetown (19-9)
The 6 line:  Arkansas (23-6), West Virginia (22-8), Butler (21-9), SMU (22-6)
The 7 line:  St John's (20-9), Dayton (23-6), Cincinnati (21-9), Michigan St (20-10)
The 8 line:  VCU (21-8), San Diego St (22-7), Oklahoma St (17-11), Iowa (20-10)
The 9 line:  Oregon (22-8), Xavier (18-12), Colorado St (24-5), Ohio St (22-8)
The 10 line:  Indiana (19-11), North Carolina St (18-12), Georgia (19-10), Ole Miss (20-10)
The 11 line:  Boise St (21-7), Purdue (19-11), LSU (21-9), UCLA (19-12), Davidson (20-6),
The 12 line:  Texas (18-12), Tulsa (21-7), Stephen F Austin (22-4), Wofford (23-6), Murray St (24-4)
The 13 line:  Iona (24-7), Harvard (18-6), Louisiana Tech (22-7), Valparaiso (23-5)
The 14 line:  William & Mary (16-11), UC-Davis (20-5), Central Michigan (19-6), North Carolina Central (19-6)
The 15 line:  South Dakota St (19-9), Albany (22-8), New Mexico St (17-10), Texas Southern (16-12)
The 16 line:  Georgia Southern (17-7) Sacramento St (17-8), Charleston Southern (16-10), North Florida (18-11), St Francis(NY) (21-10), Bucknell (17-13)

Welcome to the lockbox.  It's finally time to prune the bubble list significantly, as most of these teams can no longer absorb enough damage to miss the tournament (although I swear to God, Iowa, if you mess this up...):
St John's
Dayton
Cincinnati
Michigan St
VCU
San Diego St
Oklahoma St
Iowa
Oregon
Xavier

Bubble in:
Colorado St
Ohio St
Indiana
North Carolina St

Next 4 in:
Georgia
Ole Miss
Boise St (currently in the field as the Mountain West leader)
Purdue
LSU

Last 4 in:
UCLA
Davidson
Texas
Tulsa (no longer the automatic bid recipient in the AAC)

Last 4 out:
Temple (20-9)
BYU (21-8)
Miami (19-11)
Stanford (18-10)

Next 4 out:
Kansas St (15-15)
Pittsburgh (18-12)
Texas A&M (20-9)
Illinois (19-11)

Bubble inception (we have to go deeper):
Old Dominion (22-6)
Stephen F Austin (currently in the field as the Southland leader)
UConn (17-11)

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