Saturday, March 7, 2015

S-Curve 3/7

Bracket matrix:  only change for your purposes is Harvard from 13 seed to out, and Yale from out to 13 seed.

The 1 line:  Kentucky (30-0), Virginia (28-1), Duke (27-3), Villanova (28-2)
The 2 line:  Arizona (27-3), Gonzaga (28-2), Wisconsin (27-3), Kansas (24-6)
The 3 line:  Maryland (25-5), Notre Dame (25-5), Utah (22-6), Iowa St (21-8)
The 4 line:  Oklahoma (20-9), Baylor (22-8), Northern Iowa (28-3), Wichita St (27-3)
The 5 line:  North Carolina (21-9), Louisville (23-7), Providence (21-9), Georgetown (19-9)
The 6 line:  Arkansas (24-6), West Virginia (22-8), Butler (21-9), SMU (22-6)
The 7 line:  St John's (20-9), Dayton (23-6), Cincinnati (21-9), Michigan St (20-10)
The 8 line:  San Diego St (22-7), VCU (21-9), Oklahoma St (17-11), Iowa (20-10)
The 9 line:  Oregon (22-8), Xavier (18-12), Colorado St (24-5), Ohio St (22-8)
The 10 line:  Indiana (19-11), North Carolina St (18-12), Georgia (19-10), Ole Miss (20-10)
The 11 line:  Davidson (21-6), Boise St (21-7), Purdue (19-11), LSU (21-9), UCLA (19-12)
The 12 line:  Texas (18-12), Tulsa (21-7), Stephen F Austin (22-4), Wofford (23-6), Murray St (25-4)
The 13 line:  Iona (24-7), Louisiana Tech (23-7), Valparaiso (23-5), Yale (20-8)
The 14 line:  William & Mary (16-11), UC-Davis (21-5), Central Michigan (19-7), North Carolina Central (20-6)
The 15 line:  South Dakota St (19-9), Albany (22-8), New Mexico St (17-10), Texas Southern (17-12)
The 16 line:  Georgia Southern (18-7), Sacramento St (18-8), Coastal Carolina (18-9), North Florida (19-11), St Francis(NY) (21-10), Bucknell (18-13)

Bubble in:
Colorado St
Ohio St
Indiana

Next 4 in:
North Carolina St
Georgia
Ole Miss
Davidson (currently in the field as the A-10 leader)
Boise St (currently in the field as the Mountain West leader)
Purdue

Last 4 in:
LSU
UCLA
Texas
Tulsa

Last 4 out:
Temple (21-9)
BYU (21-8)
Miami (19-11)
Kansas St (15-15)

Next 5 out:
Pittsburgh (18-12)
Texas A&M (20-9)
Illinois (19-11)
Stanford (18-11)
Old Dominion (23-6)

Teams that some people think aren't dead...but they're dead, Jim:  Richmond, UConn

2 comments:

HenryMuto said...

Love your work you do a lot for those who like to watch college basketball.

I think you have Ohio State too low on the S Curve in relation to how high you have some other teams. I get that Ohio State only has 1 top 50 win (Maryland) and has no big road wins and has a bad non conf SOS but Michigan State who you have as a 7 seed has 2 top 50 wins and has a really bad loss at home vs Texas Southern has 2 losses outside top 100 (Ohio State has no losses outside top 100). Oregon you have ahead of Ohio State Oregon has 1 top 50 win (Utah at home) and 2 bad losses (outside top 100). Xavier has 5 top 50 wins but 4 bad losses and 12 losses overall to me Xavier is on the bubble and might not even make tournament if they lose at Creighton today where as Ohio State is pretty much a lock to make it. I also would put a few other teams behind Ohio State I have them as a high 8 seed right now with a chance to get to a 7 with a win over Wisky.

Andrew said...

I could definitely be wrong, but I just think that OSU's flaws are bigger hot-button issues with the committee (4-7 road/neutral record, and the non-con SoS), at least compared to other teams' flaws. I'm definitely seeding Oregon aggressively, I'll admit that.