S-Curve 3/16 noon

Scrubbed.

On the bubble, 7 teams for 2 spots.  Actually larger than I usually like on Selection Sunday, but I can't cut Arky or Mizz.  I wouldn't be surprised to see any mix or match of those 7 teams in the 2 spots selected.  I think this far down, superlatives matter, and BYU's non-con SoS of 4 and Nebraska's 3 top 25 wins barely separate them.

I'm most nervous about Florida St, who has the one winning record in road/neutral games among the bubble teams.  Cal and FSU are kind of similar in that they have bad records against the top 50.  Minny has just a slightly worse profile than Nebraska.

My surprise during the scrub was Iowa - this is not a secure team at all.  I don't think I could move 3 of the bubble teams ahead of them, but that profile took a nose dive the past few weeks.

The 1 line:  Florida (31-2), Arizona (30-4), Wichita St (34-0), Michigan (25-7)
The 2 line:  Wisconsin (26-7), Villanova (28-4), Kansas (25-9), Iowa St (26-7)
The 3 line:  Duke (26-7), Louisville (29-5), Virginia (27-6), Syracuse (27-5)
The 4 line:  Cincinnati (27-6), Creighton (26-7), UCLA (25-8), UConn (26-8)
The 5 line:  San Diego St (29-4), North Carolina (23-9), Michigan St (25-8), Oklahoma (23-9)
The 6 line:  Ohio St (25-9), New Mexico (27-6), VCU (26-7), Baylor (24-11)
The 7 line:  Texas (23-10), Kentucky (24-9), Oregon (23-8), UMass (24-8)
The 8 line:  St Louis (26-6), George Washington (24-8), Memphis (23-9), Gonzaga (28-6)
The 9 line:  Kansas St (20-12), Pittsburgh (25-9), Oklahoma St (21-12), Colorado (23-11)
The 10 line:  Providence (23-11), Xavier (21-12), St Joseph's (23-9), SMU (23-9)
The 11 line:  Stanford (21-12), Arizona St (21-11), Tennessee (21-12), Dayton (23-10), Iowa (20-12)
The 12 line:  BYU (23-11), Nebraska (19-12), Western Michigan (23-9), Tulsa (21-12), North Dakota St (25-6)
The 13 line:  New Mexico St (26-9), Manhattan (25-7), Harvard (26-4), Delaware (25-9)
The 14 line:  Eastern Kentucky (24-9), Stephen F Austin (31-2), Mercer (26-8), Georgia St (25-7)
The 15 line:  Milwaukee (21-13), North Carolina Central (28-5), American (20-12), Weber St (19-11)
The 16 line:  Wofford (20-12), Coastal Carolina (21-12), Albany (18-14), Mount St Mary's (16-16), Texas Southern (19-14), Cal Poly (13-19)

Last 2 in:
BYU
Nebraska

Last 5 out:
Minnesota (20-13)
Florida St (19-13)
California (19-13)
Arkansas (21-11)
Missouri (22-11)