NIT projections - I tried to be a little less restrictive in terms of geography and matchup on this one. We know the committee will unfairly seed the mid-majors, but I mitigated that a bit in these projections. The brackets really don't make sense geographically.
If you're a top 4 seed in this, you're probably a NIT lock. If you're a 7 or 8 seed, you're in big trouble.
West region
1) Nebraska (17-11) vs. 8) UNLV (19-10)
4) Washington (16-13) vs. 5) Boise St (17-10)
3) LSU (17-11) vs. 6) San Francisco (18-10)
2) Southern Miss (23-5) vs. 7) Maryland (14-14)
Midwest region
1) Missouri (20-9) vs. 8) Western Michigan (18-9)
4) Utah (17-9) vs. 5) St Mary's (20-10)
3) Indiana (17-12) vs. 6) Indiana St (19-9)
2) St John's (19-11) vs. 7) Manhattan (22-7)
South region
1) Georgetown (16-12) vs. 8) Mercer (20-8)
4) Clemson (18-10) vs. 5) Ole Miss (17-12)
3) West Virginia (16-13) vs. 6) Richmond (18-11)
2) Florida St (17-11) vs. 7) Middle Tennessee (20-8)
East region
1) Providence (19-10) vs. 8) Buffalo (17-8)
4) North Carolina St (17-12) vs. 5) Georgia (16-12)
3) Marquette (17-12) vs. 6) Illinois (17-12)
2) Dayton (20-9) vs. 7) Cleveland St (19-10)
CBI: Right now we have an abundance of .500 teams available, so I'm not projecting any .500 team to make it. Again, these projections assume that everyone who is eligible for the CBI would accept a bid. In reality, many of these teams would reject bids, but we don't know who they are yet. Now, in the next week, word will start getting out on postseason plans for these teams, and I'll start to accumulate them in a blog post.
Canisius (20-10) at LaSalle (14-14)
Ohio (18-10) at Towson (20-9)
UTEP (19-9) at Texas A&M (17-12)
Houston (15-14) at Miami (15-14)
Northern Iowa (15-14) at Purdue (15-14)
Notre Dame (15-15) at Vanderbilt (15-13)
Wyoming (15-12) at Oregon St (15-13)
New Mexico St (21-9) at Tulsa (17-12)
CIT: These projections assume that everyone who is eligible for the CBI would accept a bid. In reality, many of these teams would reject bids, but we don't know who they are yet. Now, in the next week, word will start getting out on postseason plans for these teams, and I'll start to accumulate them in a blog post.
Wagner (17-11) at St Bonaventure (15-13)
American (17-12) at William & Mary (17-11)
Holy Cross (18-12) at Stony Brook (20-9)
Yale (14-11) at Quinnipiac (19-10)
IPFW (19-9) at Eastern Michigan (14-12)
Akron (18-11) at Drexel (16-13)
Eastern Kentucky (19-9) at Missouri St (18-11)
Wright St (16-13) at Illinois St (15-14)
USC Upstate (16-13) at Chattanooga (15-13)
Hampton (17-11) at Western Kentucky (18-10)
Tulane (15-14) at Louisiana-Lafayette (16-10)
Murray St (16-10) at UAB (16-11)
Utah St (15-13) at Sam Houston St (17-9)
UC Santa Barbara (17-8) at Portland (15-15)
Montana (13-11) at South Dakota St (15-11)
Northern Colorado (14-11) at Denver (14-14)
Postseason bubble (expect these teams to at least get postseason invites once you factor in teams turning down CBI/CIT bids):
Charlotte (15-13), Wake Forest (15-14), Columbia (17-11), Valparaiso (14-14), Pepperdine (14-15), Fresno St (13-15), Hawaii (17-9), North Dakota (12-14), Bryant (17-13), Morehead St (17-12), TAMU-CC (14-13), VMI (14-11), Coastal Carolina (15-12), Elon (16-12), and about 30 eligible teams behind this
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