Saturday, March 8, 2014

3/8 recap

West Virginia 92, Kansas 86 - WVU will need to do this again in the B12 tourney, and get another win after that, to entertain serious bubble chances.  More importantly, this just about ends Kansas' chance at the 1 line.  First loss against a non-tourney team, and just one too many in general, no matter what the SoS says
Baylor 76, Kansas St 74 - signature road win!  No one wins in the Octagon.  Except Baylor.  Lockbox.  K-State...kinda has to be on the bubble now, but too many teams between them and the cutline to worry
Iowa St 85, Oklahoma St 81 (OT) - OSU not out of the woods yet...
Texas Tech 59, Texas 53 - that'll ding the seeding a bit
Oklahoma 97, TCU 67

Michigan 84, Indiana 80
Illinois 66, Iowa 63 - home loss.  What the hell are you doing, Iowa?!?!?!

Oregon 64, Arizona 57 - UA is still #2 overall.  Welcome to the lockbox, Oregon
Oregon St 78, Arizona St 76 (OT) - sigh.  ASU would've been in the lockbox.  Not a done deal yet
Stanford 61, Utah 60 - well, no need to take a cursory bubble look at Utah.  Stanford will be in bad loss avoidance in the P12T
California 66, Colorado 65 (OT) - huge, huge hold of serve for Cal.  Not nearly safe enough yet, and neither is Colorado yet
Washington St 73, UCLA 55 - what?
Washington 82, USC 75

St John's 91, Marquette 90 (2OT) - staying alive on the bubble.  Road win, by the way
Villanova 77, Georgetown 59 - G'town back out of my bracket.  Nova, I gotta figure out.  Them on the 1 line or Wisconsin?  I need to look at it closer...
Creighton 88, Providence 73 - well, that doesn't help their bubble situation

Duke 93, North Carolina 81
Pittsburgh 83, Clemson 78 (OT) - this was last chance saloon for Clemson.  I'm guessing Pitt is ok with just avoiding a bad loss now, but I'm still not sure...
Miami 69, Wake Forest 56 - CBI implications!

Louisville 81, UConn 48 - UL is resolving all of its profile concerns in a hurry, and emphatically.  To the 4 line, and 3 line (or even 2!) isn't out of the question with a AAC tourney championship
Memphis 67, SMU 58 - people think SMU isn't a lock.  It's not unreasonable, but they're not going to absorb another bad loss because they're not going to play a bad team
Cincinnati 70, Rutgers 66

Dayton 60, Richmond 48 - critical hold of serve for UD
VCU 86, St Bonaventure 67
George Washington 70, Fordham 67

Florida 84, Kentucky 65 - Florida's gonna be the #1 overall seed
Tennessee 72, Missouri 45 - well, there's your bubble statement of the day
Alabama 83, Arkansas 58 - YOU HAD ONE JOB, ARKANSAS.  You made so much headway the last 3 weeks, just win this one simple road game and you're in, only a catastrophic loss could've put you in danger...and you did it
Georgia 69, LSU 61 - home loss, and endgame for LSU's chances
Ole Miss 65, Vanderbilt 62
Auburn 69, Texas A&M 64

San Diego St 51, New Mexico 48 - SDSU needed this to have a chance at the 2 line.  No real harm to UNM
Air Force 64, Boise St 61 (OT)
Wyoming 83, Colorado St 75
Nevada 76, UNLV 72

Toledo 77, Eastern Michigan 66 - WMU's got the 1 seed, though.  Buffalo, in other news, wins the MAC East, which gets them...nothing

Harvard 98, Brown 93 (OT) - Harvard's season is done with 4 losses.  Borderline 13-14 seed

UC Irvine 74, UC Davis 46 - Irvine wins the Big West
Stephen F Austin 85, Central Arkansas 61 - 18-0 in the Southland.  Now please, please win the conference tournament

Conference tournament watch:
OVC finals
Eastern Kentucky 79, Belmont 73 - NIT bid is poached!  I called EKU to win this conference in November, remember?

WCC quarters
San Francisco 69, San Diego 60
BYU 85, Loyola Marymount 74
Gonzaga 77, Santa Clara 75
St Mary's 80, Pepperdine 69

MVC semis
Wichita St 67, Missouri St 42
Indiana St 62, Southern Illinois 59

Horizon semis
Wright St 68, Cleveland St 63
Milwaukee 73, Green Bay 66 (OT) - ooooooooooooh.  We move Green Bay into the at-large pool.  I don't think there's enough there, but we'll take a look

MAAC quarters
Iona 94, Rider 71
Canisius 71, Siena 65
Manhattan 72, St Peter's 58
Quinnipiac 89, Niagara 80 - top 4 hold serve in the MAAC

CAA quarters
Delaware 87, Hofstra 76
Northeastern 90, Drexel 81 - boy, did Drexel disappoint this year
Towson 80, James Madison 71
William & Mary 70, Charleston 59

Patriot semis
Boston 91, Army 70
American 57, Holy Cross 46 - top 2 hold serve in the Patriot

NEC semis
Mount St Mary's 77, Wagner 72 - mild upset
Robert Morris 60, St Francis(PA) 57

Big South semis
Winthrop 80, UNC Asheville 79
Coastal Carolina 66, VMI 62

A-East quarters
Vermont 77, New Hampshire 60
Albany 86, UMBC 56
Stony Brook 80, Maine 54
Hartford 69, Binghamton 42

SoCon quarters
Davidson 77, Samford 54
Western Carolina 66, Elon 64
Georgia Southern 62, Chattanooga 55 - legit upset
Wofford 68, Citadel 51



Sunday:
MVC finals:  Wichita St vs. Indiana St - WSU can clinch the 1 line
A-Sun finals:  FGCU vs. Mercer
also Big South finals

Virginia at Maryland - UVa, the 1 or 2 line is in play, don't blow it
Syracuse at Florida St - one way for FSU to rescue its season
St Louis at UMass - all of a sudden, St Louis desperately needs this
Michigan St at Ohio St - massive S-Curve implications
Wisconsin at Nebraska - Wisky, the 1 line is in play; Nebraska, the bubble is in play.  High stakes
hold-serve warnings:  LaSalle at St Joseph's, Penn St at Minnesota

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