Dayton (16-2) (5-0) NET 5 SoS 48
Vital signs: 6-2 R/N, non-con SoS 27, 3-2 vs. Q1, 2-0 vs. Q2
Signature wins: N-St Mary's, N-VT, @St Louis?
Bad losses: none
The bad news is there's no win that holds up as truly signature, that can compare against other contenders for a 1 or 2 seed. They'll need to lean on the metrics. Good news is the A-10 is strong enough this year to support those arguments.
Duquesne (15-2) (5-0) NET 55 SoS 260
Vital signs: 7-2 R/N, non-con SoS 283, 0-0 vs. Q1, 2-0 vs. Q2
Signature wins: St Louis, N-Indiana St??
Bad losses: N-UAB, N-Marshall
The problems are glaring in this resume. Indiana St is the only Q2 game in the non-con, and they are teetering on the edge. 2 Q3 losses. Good news is they'll get a handful of quality win chances, but they need to win them. A gaudy record is NOT enough on its own. Beware.
VCU (13-5) (3-2) NET 45 SoS 68
Vital signs: 2-4 R/N, non-con SoS 135, 1-3 vs. Q1, 1-2 vs. Q2
Signature wins: LSU, @Charleston?
Bad losses: URI at home?
Their SoS is a little weighed down by cupcakes. They did play tough non-con games. Problem is they lose to Purdue and WSU and Tennessee. Needed a 2nd quality win to pair with LSU to feel more comfortable. One home game with Dayton in hand, they need that or a handful of Q2 wins in conference play.
Richmond (14-4) (4-1) NET 56 SoS 95
Vital signs: 6-3 R/N, non-con SoS 116, 2-2 vs. Q1, 1-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins: N-Wisky, @URI?
Bad losses: N-Radford
5 true road wins is no trivial matter. And they at least have one non-con win to lean on. Work to do, but this at-large case is doable.
St Louis (13-4) (3-2) NET 54 SoS 46
Vital signs: 4-2 R/N, non-con SoS 98, 1-4 vs. Q1, 1-0 vs. Q2
Signature wins: @Richmond, @KState?
Bad losses: none
Kind of a classic resume where they win all the easy games and lose all the tough ones.
Rhode Island (12-5) (4-1) NET 61 SoS 52
Vital signs: 4-4 R/N, non-con SoS 43, 1-3 vs. Q1, 2-1 vs. Q2
Signature wins: Alabama, @VCU
Bad losses: @Brown
Kind of just barely on the edge of viable at the moment. Enough quality win chances in the A-10 to make this resume more attractive though.