This is part 30 of a 32-part preview.
New Mexico St 12-2
Utah Valley 10-4
Grand Canyon 9-5
Cal St-Bakersfield 5-9
Chicago St 1-13
March 8-10. And you'll never guess the location. Vegas.
1) New Mexico St vs. 8) Chicago St
4) Seattle vs. 5) UT-RGV
3) Grand Canyon vs. 6) UMKC
2) Utah Valley vs. 7) Cal St-Bakersfield
Our final meaningful preview, with one last bubble team on the board. Yes, New Mexico St. 1-3 vs. Group 1, 4-0 vs. Group 2, non-con SoS 75, 8-3 road record. All more or less okay or good. 2 Group 3 losses, though. Win over Miami looms large right now. Unfortunately there's a couple dumb losses, plus a key head-to-head at St Mary's. They're viable and ultimately I can't make the case for them, but they'll be on the consideration board at the end if it comes to it.
Utah Valley actually has a RPI in the NIT range but the rest of the profile doesn't hold. They can join GCU and Seattle as CIT-eligible.