Pressure point 1: The 2 line, #7 overall - made the move for Tennessee in that spot. I do firmly believe committee bias will elevate a SEC champion to the 2 line, and UT takes Auburn's spot. Subject to change. And I really wrestled with Purdue and Michigan St for that last spot. What changed my mind? I see Jerry Palm is an outlier, having Michigan St on the 2 line. This single piece of evidence is all the motivation I need to talk myself out of that particular take. MSU demotion it is. Meanwhile, I really want to put Cincy on the 2 line, but I don't think I can sustain a healthy argument for them ahead of the aforementioned teams right now.
Pressure point 2: The 3 line, #12 overall - made the move to WVU over Michigan. Reasonable arguments can be made for either, and both have their non-con SoS problem. Behind them, conference champs Arizona and Gonzaga don't have enough to pass either.
Pressure point 3: The 5 line, #20 overall - toyed with a few different teams in that spot, but no one felt right. In the end, wanted to move Kentucky there as they were my next team...and Florida swept them. For now, I'm staying on Florida, but I don't feel good about it.
Pressure point 4: The 7 line, #28 overall - strangely, I feel good about the teams on the 6 line and 7 line right now, up to #28 overall. There's a bit of a roadblock here, where all the teams I could put there seem to...have flaws. With that, I've decided to make a very aggressive move and launch Provi up 2 full seed lines.
Pressure point 5: The 9 line, #34 overall - this is where I threw my hands up. I don't know. Throw 'em all into a bucket and pick them out. There's going to be some severly flawed teams on the 9 line. Best guess is the ACC and Big 12 gets the benefit of the doubt. I clustered them all together from 34 through 38 in an act of defiance.
There are some very alarming SoS numbers in this group. I'm looking at Va Tech and FSU here.
The 1 line: Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
The 2 line: North Carolina, Duke, Tennessee, Purdue
The 3 line: Michigan St, Cincinnati, Auburn, West Virginia
The 4 line: Michigan, Texas Tech, Arizona, Gonzaga
The 5 line: Clemson, Ohio St, Wichita St, Florida
The 6 line: Kentucky, Miami, TCU, Arkansas
The 7 line: Houston, Texas A&M, Seton Hall, Providence
The 8 line: Rhode Island, Creighton, Butler, Nevada
The 9 line: Missouri, Virginia Tech, Florida St, Texas
The 10 line: North Carolina St, Oklahoma, USC, St Mary's
The 11 line: St Bonaventure, UCLA, Alabama, Baylor, Louisville, New Mexico St
The 12 line: Loyola(Chi), Western Kentucky, Buffalo, Charleston
The 13 line: South Dakota St, Murray St, UNC Greensboro, New Mexico
The 14 line: Louisiana, Vermont, Montana, Bucknell
The 15 line: Iona, Wright St, Lipscomb, Harvard
The 16 line: Radford, UC Irvine, SE Louisiana, LIU-Brooklyn, Hampton, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Current bubble status: 18 for 12 spots
North Carolina St
Next 4 in:
Last 4 in:
Last 4 out:
Next 2 out:
off the board: Notre Dame, Penn St, Nebraska, Oregon, Utah, Georgia, Boise St, Washington, Mississippi St
2: Notre Dame, Penn St
3: Nebraska, Oregon, Utah, Georgia
4: Boise St, Washington, Mississippi St, Northeastern
5: Maryland, Stanford, BYU, Davidson
6: San Diego St, Tulsa
Last 4 out: Temple, Old Dominion, Toledo, Boston College
autobid: Rider, UC Davis, UNC Asheville, Northern Kentucky, Wagner, FGCU