Tuesday, March 6, 2018

Sun Belt conference tournament preview

This is part 27 of a 32-part preview.

Louisiana 16-2
Georgia St 12-6
Georgia Southern 11-7
Texas-Arlington 10-8
Louisiana-Monroe 9-9
Troy 9-9
Appalachian St 9-9
Coastal Carolina 8-10
South Alabama 7-11
Texas St 7-11
Arkansas St 6-12
Arkansas-Little Rock 4-14

Neutral site in New Orleans from March 7-11.

1) Louisiana vs. 8/9) Coastal Carolina/Texas St
4) UT-Arlington vs. 5/12) Appalachian St/Little Rock
3) Georgia Southern vs. 6/11) Troy/Arkansas St
2) Georgia St vs. 7/10) Louisiana-Monroe/South Alabama

The stakes:
CRPI 21, and only one team sub-120 RPI.  Louisiana ran away with the conference but has absolutely zero substance behind their 60 RPI.  So their seed could fluctuate a bit.  Raw RPI numbers might suggest a 13.  Conference ranking suggests 14 maybe?  It's tough to know what the committee will do here.  This much is certain though:  anyone else is in direct path of the 16 line, and maybe even Dayton if it's a 5 seed or below.

The two Georgias and UTA are in line for CBI/CIT bids if they want them.

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