This is part 24 of a 32-part series.
Middle Tennessee 16-2
Old Dominion 15-3
Western Kentucky 14-4
North Texas 8-10
Southern Miss 7-11
Louisiana Tech 7-11
March 7-10. Frisco, TX is your neutral site host. They left the bottom 2 teams at home, by the way.
1) Middle Tennessee vs. 8/9) FIU/Southern Miss
4) Marshall vs. 5/12) UTSA/UTEP
3) Western Kentucky vs. 6/11) UAB/FAU
2) Old Dominion vs. 7/10) North Texas/Louisiana Tech
Ok. MTSU. Let's deal with this. 2-3 vs. Group 1, 3-1 vs. Group 2. Not bad for a CUSA team. The actual wins: @Murray St, @WKU, @ODU, WKU, @Vandy. Not great. Whiffed on 3 chances against legitimate business teams. But winning everything except games vs. Marshall behind it does matter too. Non-con SoS of 7, played 2 SEC teams, played Murray and Belmont, went to Diamond Head, only 3 home games in the non-con. The committee usually rewards that. They were 12-1 in true road games. The committee usually rewards that. I'm feeling pretty good about these chances the more and more you see the nitty gritty.
WKU fell off from bubble pace; their win against Purdue will be useful for a NIT bid. Old Dominion is an NIT bubble team; could go either way but their overall record is a mirage based on non-con SoS.
Marshall is probably out of time and space to get into the NIT; UAB and UTSA are your other probable CBI/CIT teams.