Sunday, March 4, 2018



- You tell me what to do with the 2 and 3 lines.  Please.  I don't know.  For now we'll go with ACC bias first, but man that situation is going to be fluid all week.  Don't like how it looks?  I'll change it soon enough, don't worry.

The 1 line:  Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Kansas
The 2 line:  Duke, North Carolina, Auburn, Michigan St
The 3 line:  Tennessee, Purdue, Cincinnati, Michigan
The 4 line:  West Virginia, Texas Tech, Arizona, Gonzaga
The 5 line:  Ohio St, Clemson, Wichita St, Florida
The 6 line:  Miami, TCU, Kentucky, Texas A&M
The 7 line:  Seton Hall, Creighton, Houston, Arkansas
The 8 line:  St Mary's, Nevada, Virginia Tech, Missouri
The 9 line:  Butler, Rhode Island, North Carolina St, Oklahoma
The 10 line:  Florida St, Texas, Providence, USC
The 11 line:  St Bonaventure, Arizona St, UCLA, Middle Tennessee, Kansas St
The 12 line:  Marquette, Baylor, Loyola(Chi), New Mexico St, Buffalo
The 13 line:  Charleston, South Dakota St, Murray St, UNC Greensboro
The 14 line:  Louisiana, Vermont, Bucknell, Montana
The 15 line:  Wright St, Wagner, UC-Davis, Iona
The 16 line:  Lipscomb, Harvard, Radford, SE Louisiana, Hampton, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Next 4 in:
St Bonaventure
Arizona St

Last 4 in:
Kansas St

Last 4 out:

Next 4 out:
Penn St
Oklahoma St

Break it down!
Big 12 8
Big East 7
Pac-12 4
B1G 4
A-10 2

NIT lines:
3:  Oregon, Boise St, Notre Dame, Western Kentucky
4:  Mississippi St, Georgia, Stanford, Temple
5:  Northeastern, BYU, Old Dominion, Davidson
--probable cutline--
current autobids:  Rider, UNC Asheville, Northern Kentucky, FGCU
last 4 out:  Maryland, Tulsa, LSU, Central Florida


Jay said...

No chance in hell MSU is a 2 seed. Not sure if you forgot, but the committee had them as a 3 seed a month ago back when they were ranked #2. They don't like them at all this year, and they've done absolutely nothing since then to move up besides a close home victory against a Purdue team that couldn't win at the end of the year.

Compared to Michigan, their NCSOS are both terrible. Michigan has the tougher overall SOS. Michigan is higher in RPI. Michigan has twice as many Q1 wins, with the majority of them on the road. MSU has TWO top 100 rpi wins away from home, only one of them was a true road game. Michigan has 7, with 4 true road wins. And oh yeah, Michigan has two double-digit wins against MSU, neither of which came in Ann Arbor. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see MSU drop to a 4 seed, 3 max. Their resume is not good. Only thing they have going for them is their reputation and their ranking, both which the committee showed they don't care about.

Andrew said...

Reasonable opinions. I'm staking my claim strictly on predictive metrics. Think the committee will look at it more closely than they did last month.

That said, I expect teams behind them to win their way ahead of MSU, and they'll be on the 3 line in due time.