This is part 31 of a 32-part series.
Standings:
New Mexico St 15-1
Utah Valley 12-4
Grand Canyon 10-6
UTRGV 9-7
Cal St-Bakersfield 7-9
Seattle 6-10
UMKC 6-10
Chicago St 0-16
Format:
March 14-16 in Paradise, Nevada (basically Vegas).
Matchups:
1) New Mexico St vs. 8) Chicago St
4) UTRGV vs. 5) Cal St-Bakersfield
3) Grand Canyon vs. 6) Seattle
2) Utah Valley vs. 7) UMKC
The stakes:
On the surface, New Mexico St has a NET of 45, and just 4 losses. Dig deeper, and you find their only 2 Q1/2 wins are @UVU and @GC (conference road games). Bad non-con SoS. And they actually took a couple Q3 losses. So no at-large bid here. But with that NET, they should have a reasonable chance at the 13 line. It's not impossible they fall to a 14, but I think the committee will be biased towards the name a bit.
UVU and GCU are actually sub-100 in NET. That's kinda impressive. UVU only really has a win at Fresno to lean on, and GCU doesn't even have any Q1/2 win, so I can't imagine either team doing better than a 15 seed. But they might be a good litmus test for just how much NET matters on seeding these teams down here.
1 comment:
I think nmsu will sneak up to 12 for the same reason Bradley is going to be a 14. The human bias of the comitee is not going to seed BRADLEY, the MISSOURI VALLEY champion as a 15 or 16. Also NEW MEXICO STATE is not going to fall behind the northeasterns and libertys of the world
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