Wednesday, March 13, 2019

Ivy League conference tournament preview

This is part 30 of a 32-part series.

Standings:
Harvard 10-4
Yale 10-4
Princeton 8-6
Penn 7-7
Brown 7-7
Cornell 7-7
Columbia 5-9
Dartmouth 2-12

Format:
March 16-17, Yale is the institution hosting.  Only 4 teams here, as the league clings to the last bastion of morality in this corrupt world.

Matchups:
1) Harvard vs. 4) Penn
2) Yale vs. 3) Princeton

The stakes:
Could be anywhere from a 13 seed to a 15 seed for the conference champ here.  Good non-con season led to a CNET ranking of 11, so they're in good position.

Harvard's got a win at St Mary's among 3 Q1/2 wins, and a overall SoS of 85.  It would just be a question of how many other teams make it around them in other conferences, on whether they'd be a 13 or 14.

Yale has the best NET (at 86, the only one inside the top 100), but the driest resume, with a N-Miami being the only Q1/2 win.  They're probably more stuck on the 14 line, with an outside chance at the 15.

Princeton beat @Arizona St but don't have much else going for it in the profile.  14 line.

Penn has the sexy wins (Nova, @Temple), but 3 Q3 AND 3 Q4 losses are harmful.  Still though, when you're talking about the 14-15 lines, it takes a lot to really damage you.  So I think they'd hold onto a 14 seed.

The real tragedy is all 4 teams took just enough damage to take them out of NIT range.

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