Bracket note: note that 5 teams are listed on the 11 line and on the 12 line. The last 4 in straddles the 11/12 lines, one play in game feeds to an 11 seed and the other to the 12 seed.
The 1 line: Arizona (20-0), Syracuse (19-0), Wichita St (20-0), Florida (17-2)
The 2 line: Michigan St (18-2), San Diego St (16-1), Kansas (15-4), Villanova (17-2)
The 3 line: Wisconsin (17-3), Oklahoma St (16-3), Iowa St (15-3), Michigan (15-4)
The 4 line: Creighton (17-3), Kentucky (15-4), Louisville (17-3), Duke (16-4)
The 5 line: UMass (17-2), Iowa (15-4), Cincinnati (19-2), Pittsburgh (18-2)
The 6 line: Oklahoma (16-4), UCLA (16-4), Virginia (15-5), Ohio St (16-4)
The 7 line: Memphis (14-4), VCU (16-4), St Louis (17-2), UConn (16-4)
The 8 line: Gonzaga (17-3), Texas (16-4), Xavier (14-5), Florida St (13-6)
The 9 line: Kansas St (14-6), New Mexico (15-4), Minnesota (14-6), G. Washington (16-3)
The 10 line: Colorado (15-6), Oregon (14-5), North Carolina (12-7), Baylor (11-6)
The 11 line: California (14-6), SMU (16-4), Missouri (15-4), Providence (15-5), Tennessee (11-7)
The 12 line: Arizona St (15-5), Stanford (13-6), Southern Miss (16-3), Harvard (14-3), Toledo (16-2)
The 13 line: Green Bay (14-3), Mercer (14-5), Belmont (15-7), Delaware (14-7)
The 14 line: Canisius (14-6), Northern Colorado (11-4), Stephen F Austin (16-2), Georgia St (12-6)
The 15 line: North Carolina Central (11-5), American (12-7), IPFW (13-6), UC Irvine (11-8)
The 16 line: Stony Brook (14-6), Utah Valley (10-7), Robert Morris (11-10), Chattanooga (11-8), UNC Asheville (7-10), Southern (7-10)
(* represents a team who's in the field as an autobid; I am representing their place on the S-Curve relative to the at-large teams)
Last 4 out:
Arkansas (13-6)
*Southern Miss
Richmond (14-6)
Dayton (13-7)
*Harvard
St Mary's (15-5)
Next 4 out:
Indiana St (14-4)
LSU (12-6)
*Toledo
Ole Miss (14-5)
Boise St (12-6)
Consideration board:
Indiana (13-7), Illinois (13-8), Utah (12-6), Georgetown (11-8), Clemson (13-6), BYU (12-9), Ohio (13-5), Louisiana Tech (16-4), *Green Bay
The coming-from-the-outside group:
It's a late January tradition of mine - I list a group of teams clearly off the bubble pace. Every single year, without exception, there's a team that makes a mad run to the bubble.
One of the teams listed below is getting an at-large bid in March. Who? I have no idea. But there's always a team that makes a run.
Purdue (13-7), Washington (13-8), Marquette (11-9), St John's (12-8), Seton Hall (12-8), Butler (10-9), Maryland (10-9), Wake Forest (14-6), NC State (13-7), Notre Dame (11-9), St Joseph's (13-6), LaSalle (11-8), UNLV (13-7), Utah St (11-7), Wyoming (11-6), Missouri St (13-6), North Dakota St (12-5), New Mexico St (14-7), *Mercer, *Belmont
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