Monday, January 20, 2014

Bubble Watch 1/20, part 5

Rest of the conferences with legitimate business with the bubble.

MAC


Bubble


Toledo (14-2) (3-1) RPI 37 SoS 153
Vital signs:  7-2 R/N, non-con SoS 201, 0-1 vs. RPI Top 50, 1-1 vs. RPI Top 100
Quality wins:  none.  literally none.  @Akron perhaps
Bad losses:  @Western Michigan
This is why Toledo is a non-entity, minus the shiny record.

NIT watch


Eastern Michigan (8-6) (3-1) RPI 43 SoS 11 - a shiny SoS can be mostly ignored
Ohio (12-4) (3-1) RPI 72 SoS 162 - no signature win to lean on

EIEIO watch


Akron (11-6) (3-1) RPI 118 SoS 191
Buffalo (8-5) (3-1) RPI 100 SoS 106
Kent St (10-6) (2-2) RPI 173 SoS 242
Western Michigan (11-6) (3-1) RPI 181 SoS 202

Nope


Bowling Green (7-9) (2-2) RPI 180 SoS 112
Miami(OH) (6-8) (2-2) RPI 167 SoS 173
Northern Illinois (6-9) (1-3) RPI 213 SoS 183
Central Michigan (5-9) (0-4) RPI 268 SoS 250
Ball St (1-12) (0-4) RPI 316 SoS 135

Ivy


Bubble


Harvard (14-2) (1-0) RPI 36 SoS 145
Vital signs:  8-2 R/N, non-con SoS 149, 1-2 vs. RPI Top 50, 2-2 vs. RPI Top 100
Quality wins:  N-Green Bay?  @Boston?
Bad losses:  none
The bad loss avoidance keeps them around for now.  Green Bay win could pick up steam.

NIT watch


Princeton (11-3) (0-1) RPI 89 SoS 272

EIEIO watch


Columbia (11-6) (1-0) RPI 140 SoS 215

Nope


Yale (6-8) (1-0) RPI 207 SoS 228
Brown (7-7) (0-1) RPI 277 SoS 346
Penn (3-11) (1-0) RPI 280 SoS 140
Dartmouth (5-8) (0-1) RPI 294 SoS 309
Cornell (0-14) (0-1) RPI 331 SoS 167

Horizon


Bubble


Green Bay (12-3) (5-0) RPI 41 SoS 89
Vital signs:  7-2 R/N, non-con SoS 40, 1-3 vs. RPI Top 50, 1-3 vs. RPI Top 100
Quality wins:  Virginia
Bad losses:  @E. Michigan?
This isn't as bad a profile as you think.  Keep an eye out, just in case.

EIEIO watch


Wright St (10-9) (4-2) RPI 214 SoS 311
Youngstown St (9-8) (3-2) RPI 143 SoS 178
Valparaiso (8-9) (3-2) RPI 201 SoS 204
Milwaukee (12-7) (3-3) RPI 144 SoS 240
Cleveland St (9-9) (3-3) RPI 121 SoS 103

Nope


Oakland (5-13) (2-3) RPI 166 SoS 23
Detroit (6-12) (1-4) RPI 237 SoS 175
Illinois-Chicago (3-14) (0-5) RPI 290 SoS 153

OVC


Bubble


Belmont (12-7) (5-1) RPI 76 SoS 156
Vital signs:  8-6 R/N, non-con SoS 50, 0-2 vs. RPI Top 50, 2-4 vs. RPI Top 100
Quality wins:  @North Carolina, Indiana St, @MTSU?
Bad losses:  @S. Dakota St, @Denver, lots of road losses
They're probably dead.

EIEIO watch


Morehead St (11-7) (4-1) RPI 126 SoS 199
Eastern Kentucky (11-6) (4-2) RPI 136 SoS 261
Murray St (8-8) (5-1) RPI 195 SoS 255

Nope


SEMO (8-9) (2-4) RPI 236 SoS 321
Tennessee Tech (8-10) (3-2) RPI 248 SoS 295
Eastern Illinois (4-12) (3-4) RPI 302 SoS 251
Austin Peay (6-11) (2-3) RPI 315 SoS 336
Tennessee-Martin (6-15) (1-5) RPI 319 SoS 283
Jacksonville St (7-13) (3-4) RPI 325 SoS 342
SIUE (5-13) (3-3) RPI 326 SoS 296
Tennessee St (1-19) (1-6) RPI 340 SoS 240

Summit


Bubble


North Dakota St (11-5) (3-1) RPI 49 SoS 86
Vital signs:  6-4 R/N, non-con SoS 26, 0-2 vs. RPI Top 50, 2-3 vs. RPI Top 100
Quality wins:  @Notre Dame
Bad losses:  @North Dakota, oy
Barely on the fringe as is.


EIEIO watch


IPFW (12-6) (3-1) RPI 130 SoS 271

Nope


Omaha (9-7) (1-2) RPI 117 SoS 226 *ineligible for postseasonDenver (7-10) (1-2) RPI 184 SoS 100
South Dakota (6-9) (3-0) RPI 185 SoS 116
South Dakota St (7-9) (2-2) RPI 197 SoS 236
Western Illinois (4-11) (1-2) RPI 278 SoS 218
IUPUI (2-16) (0-4) RPI 322 SoS 201


Colonial


NIT watch


Drexel (10-7) (2-2) RPI 95 SoS 114 - the dream is over here

EIEIO watch


Delaware (12-7) (4-0) RPI 82 SoS 168
Towson (11-6) (3-0) RPI 119 SoS 229
William & Mary (9-6) (2-1) RPI 158 SoS 237
Charleston (9-9) (2-2) RPI 208 SoS 232

Nope


Northeastern (5-14) (2-3) RPI 218 SoS 95
James Madison (6-13) (1-4) RPI 253 SoS 247
Hofstra (6-12) (2-1) RPI 258 SoS 197UNC-Wilmington (4-14) (0-5) RPI 262 SoS 170

WAC


NIT watch


New Mexico St (13-7) (3-2) RPI 77 SoS 134 - off the at-large board for good now

EIEIO watch


Utah Valley (8-7) (4-0) RPI 151 SoS 210

Nope


Chicago St (8-10) (3-1) RPI 187 SoS 129
UMKC (6-10) (3-2) RPI 194 SoS 115
Seattle (7-9) (1-4) RPI 241 SoS 276
Idaho (7-12) (2-4) RPI 270 SoS 269
Grand Canyon (4-10) (2-2) RPI 274 SoS 258
Cal St Bakersfield (7-10) (1-3) RPI 276 SoS 316
Texas-Pan American (5-14) (2-3) RPI 305 SoS 301

MAAC


NIT watch


Manhattan (13-4) (6-2) RPI 74 SoS 209 - it's a cute thought, but it won't happen for the bubble

EIEIO watch


Canisius (12-6) (6-2) RPI 80 SoS 196
Quinnipiac (11-6) (6-2) RPI 114 SoS 212
Iona (9-8) (6-2) RPI 155 SoS 186

Nope


Rider (9-8) (5-3) RPI 176 SoS 245
St Peter's (7-9) (3-4)  RPI 212 SoS 260
Monmouth (9-10) (3-5) RPI 215 SoS 248
Siena (7-12) (3-5) RPI 209 SoS 143
Marist (5-12) (2-5) RPI 247 SoS 139
Fairfield (4-14) (1-7) RPI 287 SoS 147
Niagara (5-14) (2-6) RPI 307 SoS 264

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