Monday, January 21, 2019

BRACKET 1/21

A first pass at geography this year.  It's still a bit early, so don't read too much into it, but it's a good first glance.

I had to move Nevada out of the West regional for balance.  Something to watch if Gonzaga or Nevada end up at the end of a seed line (i.e., last 2 seed, last 3 seed).  If that happens, the NCAA committee will be really boxed in.  It's actually better for those two teams to be the first team on the 3 line than the last team on the 2 line, IMO.  Because the weakest 1 seed will almost certainly be sent west.

Also, Tennessee is close to both Columbia and Columbus....Duke and UVa going for Columbia....Michigan/Michigan St want Columbus.  Not everyone will get what they want.  A chase within the chase to watch.

SOUTH 32
@Columbia
1) Tennessee vs. 16) Rider/Prairie View A&M
8) Indiana vs. 9) Syracuse
@Jacksonville
4) Virginia Tech vs. 13) Liberty
5) Purdue vs. 12) St Louis
@San Jose
3) Nevada vs. 14) Radford
6) Oklahoma vs. 11) Arizona
@Des Moines
2) Michigan vs. 15) UC Santa Barbara
7) Florida St vs. 10) Seton Hall

WEST 35
@Columbus
1) Virginia vs. 16) Sam Houston St
8) Iowa vs. 9) TCU
@San Jose
4) Villanova vs. 13) Loyola(Chi)
5) Auburn vs. 12) Minnesota/Arizona St
@Tulsa
3) Texas Tech vs. 14) Texas St
6) Louisville vs. 11) Murray St
@Salt Lake City
2) Gonzaga vs. 15) South Dakota St
7) Ole Miss vs. 10) Washington

MIDWEST 35
@Columbus
1) Michigan St vs. 16) Weber St
8) North Carolina St vs. 9) Kansas St
@Salt Lake City
4) Houston vs. 13) Grand Canyon
5) Iowa St vs. 12) Hofstra
@Jacksonville
3) North Carolina vs. 14) Northern Kentucky
6) Wisconsin vs. 11) Texas
@Tulsa
2) Kansas vs. 15) Princeton
7) Nebraska vs. 10) Central Florida

EAST 34
@Columbia
1) Duke vs. 16) Robert Morris/Norfolk St
8) Mississippi St vs. 9) Ohio St
@Hartford
4) Maryland vs. 13) Vermont
5) Buffalo vs. 12) VCU/Butler
@Hartford
3) Marquette vs. 14) Marshall
6) LSU vs. 11) Wofford
@Des Moines
2) Kentucky vs. 15) Bucknell
7) Cincinnati vs. 10) St John's

2 comments:

HenryMuto said...

Big change to the NCAA team sheets today that indicate Quadrant 1 & 2 games have been broken down further.

Quadrant 1A (H1-15/N1-25/A1-40)
Quadrant 1B (H16-30/N26-50/A41-75)

Quadrant 2A (H31-55/N51-75/A76-100)
Quadrant 2B (H56-75/N76-100/A101-135)

Andrew said...

Not a big of a deal as most think. If the committee has any kind of brain, they were already doing this mental separation when evaluating teams.

This feels more like a move to force that concept on the general public, that not all Quad 1 wins are equal.

I also worry about the level of granularity; I think it's possible to get too exact in this type of thing. NET is not a precise tool (yet, at least), we shouldn't be using precise cutoffs like this.