Saturday, March 9, 2019

3/10 SEED LIST

About ready to go daily in the blag.  Another wave of seed scrubbing, so expect small changed unannounced in the bracket going forward.  All of a sudden, things feel light on the 5 line, there's room for teams to move up there.

One round of changes near the bubble.  Another round of changes in the back end, as we have our first wave of ins/outs in conference tournaments.


The 1 line:  Virginia, Gonzaga, Kentucky, North Carolina
The 2 line:  Duke, LSU, Tennessee, Michigan St
The 3 line:  Texas Tech, Michigan, Purdue, Houston
The 4 line:  Florida St, Kansas, Wisconsin, Kansas St
The 5 line:  Virginia Tech, Maryland, Mississippi St, Marquette
The 6 line:  Auburn, Buffalo, Nevada, Villanova
The 7 line:  Iowa St, Cincinnati, Wofford, Baylor
The 8 line:  Louisville, VCU, Oklahoma, Iowa
The 9 line:  UCF, Ole Miss, Syracuse, Washington
The 10 line:  Arizona St, Minnesota, St John's, Utah St
The 11 line:  Seton Hall, Ohio St, Florida, Temple
The 12 line:  TCU, Clemson, North Carolina St, Belmont, Lipscomb, Murray St
The 13 line:  New Mexico St, Old Dominion, UC Irvine, Hofstra
The 14 line:  Vermont, Harvard, Georgia St, Bradley
The 15 line:  Colgate, Radford, Wright St, Montana
The 16 line:  Omaha, Sam Houston St, Iona, St Francis(PA), Prairie View A&M, Norfolk St

Next 4 in:
Seton Hall
Ohio St
Florida
Temple

Last 4 in:
TCU
Clemson
North Carolina St
Belmont

Last 4 out:
Indiana
Texas
Furman
Alabama

Next 4 out:
Georgetown
Xavier
Creighton
St Mary's


My first pass at the NIT this year.  I need to scrub this one, a lot, but this is where I'm starting from.  I don't have a good sense as to what'll happen with these marginal Big East, SEC, and Pac-12 teams right now.

NIT lines:
The 1 line:  Indiana, Texas, Furman, Alabama
The 2 line:  Georgetown, Xavier, Creighton, St Mary's
The 3 line:  UNC Greensboro, Oregon, Providence, Davidson
The 4 line:  Butler, BYU, Arkansas, South Carolina
The 5 line:  Memphis, Toledo, Dayton, Oregon St
The 6 line:  Liberty, Colorado, East Tennessee St, Fresno St
The 7 line:  San Francisco, Northeastern, Arizona, Utah
The 8 line:  Wichita St, Loyola(Chi), South Dakota St, Campbell

Last 4 in (projected cutline):
Memphis
Toledo
Dayton
Oregon St

Last 4 out (projected cutline):
Liberty
Colorado
East Tennessee St
Fresno St

1 comment:

HenryMuto said...

Some huge debate right now between Kentucky, North Carolina and Duke for those last two 2 seeds. On the matrix Kentucky is actually still a 2 seed. H2H is just a small piece to the pie but you have Duke killing Kentucky and Kentucky beating North Carolina just to really mess this all up.

Duke got very lucky this year in 3 of their wins otherwise they could be sitting at 6-7 losses. That doesn't mean anything but think of how lucky they have got.

Beat Florida State on a buzzer beating 3 a shot they shouldn't even have got off if the FSU guy had tossed the ball backwards instead of out of bounds.

Beat Louisville when they were down 23 with less than 10 minutes left that should never happen.

Beat Wake Forest when a tap back rolled all around the rim and out.

ACC and SEC tournament should clarify this all. Tennessee still in the mix as well.

Kentucky vs Tennessee and Duke vs North Carolina in the semis of both are possible.

That should sort this out somewhat.

How the committee views Zion less Duke is a real thing. Kentucky sure as heck won't get credit for all those wins without Reid Travis and they will not get any discount for the Tennessee loss without him.

I say a loss is a loss regardless of who is hurt if you are talking seed not getting in. You can't discount a loss for Duke and say Kentucky sucks to be with your injury because he isn't as big of a name.

I don't agree with those who have North Carolina over Kentucky I have no idea where to put Duke heck I even seen 1 guy still had Duke #2 overall that I follow.