Monday, March 6, 2017

3/6 recap

CAA final:
UNC-Wilmington 78, Charleston 69 - that's one possible bubble team off the board.  Welcome to the 12 line UNCW

SoCon final:
East Tennessee St 79, UNC-Greensboro 74

MAAC final:
Iona 87, Siena 86 (OT)

WCC semis:
Gonzaga 77, Santa Clara 68
St Mary's 81, BYU 50

Summit semis:
South Dakota St 74, South Dakota 71 - mini disaster for the conference; it's 3 vs. 4 for the final and a probable trip to Dayton on the line
Omaha 90, IUPUI 62

Horizon semis:
Northern Kentucky 84, Youngstown St 74 - NKU can save the conference from massive failure
Milwaukee 74, Illinois-Chicago 68 - that's a 11-23 (4-14) team playing for a title now

A-East semis:
Vermont 74, New Hampshire 41
Albany 63, Stony Brook 56

MAC 1st round:
Eastern Michigan 72, Northern Illinois 69
Kent St 116, Central Michigan 106 (OT)
Western Michigan 65, Miami(OH) 61
Toledo 77, Bowling Green 62

MEAC 1st round:
UMES 74, North Carolina A&T 67
Howard 79, Coppin St 73


Cyberchao X said...

Is it a probable trip to Dayton? I'll give you the South Dakota State one, but Lunardi currently has Omaha projected as a 15-seed. Look at the already-clinched champion of the OVC. 20-14, same number of wins over .500 as Omaha would be if they win tonight (19-13). Look at the NEC: 18-15 Mt. St. Mary's vs. 16-15 St. Francis (PA) for the title. The Big Sky tournament hasn't even started, but anyone except North Dakota or Eastern Washington would almost certainly slot in behind Omaha. Ditto for the SWAC with anyone other than Texas Southern--in both of these cases, Lunardi actually has them behind Omaha anyway, but benefit of the doubt. Also, as noted elsewhere in this article, 11-23 Milwaukee is playing for a title tonight; a win there would be a guaranteed trip to Dayton and would bump everyone else up the S-Curve. I'd say that barring some major upsets elsewhere, the ceiling is probably a 15-seed, but I think that if Omaha wins, they'll probably be one of the non-Dayton 16-seeds, maybe a 15-seed with some upsets.

Andrew said...

It's certainly questionable, yeah. I think the committee in recent years has the trend to try and avoid sending double champions (i.e., regular season winners and tournament winners) to Dayton. They did it a couple times with SWAC/MEAC teams in the past few years. I think if the likes of NDak and Mt St Mary's win, it's certainly possible others could fall there.

I will say it's much, much more likely South Dakota St heads to Dayton....Omaha has a better profile.