S-Curve 2/21

1) Bubble thoughts:  when I got to the last 3 at-large spots, I threw up.  I don't feel good about any of those 3.  I can't imagine Okla St making the tournament in their current form.  I gave serious considerations to the next 4 teams for those 3 spots.  7 playing 4 spots right now on my cutline.
2) The one line is tricky.  I'm invoking the eye test - Syracuse and Arizona just don't look that good right now.  The good news though is that they have chances for quality wins, so the eye test won't matter in a few days.  Wichita to #2 for now.
3) Just mild shuffling in the top half of my bracket.  Virginia at a 5 is the one seed up there I don't like - feels like it should be a 4, but I can't figure out who to take down (maybe Iowa)
4) If you notice, SDSU has leapt Kansas on the S-Curve - this is cosmetic.  With the Duke loss, I moved SDSU up to 6, right behind Kansas at 5...and they have a head-to-head result I'm going to choose to respect.  Not sure if the committee would do the same.
5) I still list VCU and New Mexico on the bubble, but they're each about to be a lock, win or lose.
6) UNC jumps to the 5 line.  They have signature wins and are not dropping bad games anymore.  I think the committee is going to go bananas over this profile.
7) Later today, I'll bracket this up.

The 1 line:  Florida (24-2), Wichita St (27-0), Syracuse (25-1), Arizona (24-2)
The 2 line:  San Diego St (21-2), Kansas (20-6), Duke (21-6), Michigan St (22-5)
The 3 line:  Villanova (23-3), Cincinnati (24-3), Creighton (22-4), Wisconsin (21-5)
The 4 line:  Iowa St (20-5), St Louis (23-2), Iowa (19-6), Michigan (18-7)
The 5 line:  Virginia (22-5), North Carolina (19-7), Kentucky (20-6), Ohio St (21-6)
The 6 line:  Texas (20-6), UCLA (21-5), UConn (21-5), Memphis (19-6)
The 7 line:  UMass (20-5), Louisville (22-4), Oklahoma (19-7), Kansas St (18-8)
The 8 line:  VCU (20-6), New Mexico (20-5), Pittsburgh (20-6), Colorado (20-7)
The 9 line:  Arizona St (19-7), Gonzaga (22-5), G Washington (20-6), SMU (21-6)
The 10 line:  California (17-9), Minnesota (16-10), Stanford (17-8), Missouri (19-7)
The 11 line:  BYU (18-10), Xavier (17-8), St Joseph's (18-7), Tennessee (15-10), St John's (18-9)
The 12 line:  Baylor (15-9), Oklahoma St (16-10), Green Bay (19-5), North Dakota St (17-6), UTEP (18-7)
The 13 line:  Mercer (18-6), Belmont (20-8), Delaware (20-8), Iona (17-8)
The 14 line:  Boston (20-8), Stephen F Austin (20-2), North Carolina Central (18-5), Western Michigan (16-8)
The 15 line:  Georgia St (17-7), UC Irvine (16-9), Davidson (15-11), Vermont (16-9)
The 16 line:  Robert Morris (17-11), Weber St (12-9), Yale (12-9), Utah Valley (14-9), Alabama St (11-9), High Point (11-13)

Bubble in:  VCU, New Mexico, Pittsburgh, Colorado, Arizona St, *Gonzaga, G Washington, SMU, California, Minnesota, Stanford

Next 4 in:
Missouri
BYU
Xavier
St Joseph's

Last 4 in:
Tennessee
St John's
Baylor
Oklahoma St

Last 4 out:
Georgetown (15-11)
Richmond (17-9)
Providence (17-10)
Oregon (17-8)

Next 4 out:
Indiana St (18-6)
Arkansas (17-9)
LSU (16-9)
Dayton (18-8)

Bubble inception:  WE NEED TO GO DEEPER
Florida St (15-11)
Nebraska (15-10)
West Virginia (15-11)
Clemson (16-9)
Ole Miss (16-10)
Southern Miss (20-5)
Toledo (21-4)

Just off the consideration board:  Marquette, Maryland, St Mary's, Boise St, Wyoming, Louisiana Tech, Harvard