Sunday, February 23, 2014

2/24 NIT/CBI/CIT projections

As usual, your weekly minor tournament projections.

NIT:  Remember, I am assuming massive amounts of incompetency in the NIT selection committee on these.  Toledo is much better than a 5, USM is better than a 5, Indiana St a 6, you get the idea.  However, the significant power conference bias will lead them to get all of the home games.  Based on merit, both of those Pac-12 games in the west should be road games for Washington and Utah; but we know the NIT committee will screw that up.


1) Providence (18-10) vs. 8) Quinnipiac (19-8)
4) Ole Miss (16-11) vs. 5) Southern Miss (21-5)
3) West Virginia (15-12) vs. 6) Indiana St (19-7)
2) Florida St (16-11) vs. 7) Vanderbilt (15-11)

1) Oklahoma St (17-10) vs. 8) Texas A&M (16-11)
4) Clemson (17-9) vs. 5) Louisiana Tech (21-6)
3) Richmond (18-9) vs. 6) Georgia (15-11)
2) Arkansas (18-9) vs. 7) San Francisco (16-10)

1) Tennessee (15-11) vs. 8) Ohio (18-8)
4) Maryland (15-12) vs. 5) Toledo (22-4)
3) Marquette (16-11) vs. 6) Indiana (15-11)
2) Dayton (19-8) vs. 7) NC State (17-10)

1) Nebraska (16-10) vs. 8) Wyoming (15-10)
4) Washington (15-13) vs. 5) St Mary's (19-9)
3) Utah (16-9) vs. 6) Boise St (16-9)
2) LSU (16-10) vs. 7) UNLV (17-10)

CBI:  Right now we have an abundance of .500 teams available, so I'm not projecting them to take any under .500 team.  Again, these projections assume that everyone that is eligible would accept a bid.  In reality, many of these teams would reject bids, but since we don't know who will and who won't yet, I project them all in.

IPFW (17-9) at Purdue (15-12)
Cleveland St (17-10) at Missouri St (17-10)

Pepperdine (14-13) at Oregon St (14-12)
Colorado St (13-13) at UTEP (18-8)

Manhattan (20-7) at Seton Hall (14-13)
Buffalo (15-8) at St Bonaventure (16-11)

Towson (19-9) at Western Kentucky (17-9)
FGCU (17-10) at Miami (14-13)

CIT:  Same deal as the CBI.  I have no idea which of these teams would accept a bid and who wouldn't.  Some of the bigger schools in here would reject a bid for being above this tournament; some of the lesser schools might save money and not play.  These projections are more intended to give everyone an idea of the caliber of team likely to play in this tournament.

Bryant (16-11) at Holy Cross (17-11)
Yale (13-10) at Canisius (19-9)
American (16-11) at William & Mary (16-10)
Drexel (15-12) at Stony Brook (19-8)

La-Lafayette (15-10) at Sam Houston St (17-7)
Arkansas St (15-9) at Tulsa (15-12)
Eastern Michigan (12-12) at Illinois St (14-13)
Morehead St (17-10) at Valparaiso (14-12)

Coastal Carolina (13-12) at Elon (15-10)
Hampton (15-11) at Charlotte (14-12)
Eastern Kentucky (17-9) at Akron (17-10)
UAB (15-10) at Murray St (15-9)

South Dakota St (13-11) at Portland (15-13)
Utah St (14-12) at Utah Valley (14-10)
San Diego (14-14) at UC Irvine (16-10)
Denver (14-12) at Northern Colorado (14-9)

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