Tuesday, February 18, 2014

2/18 recap



Iowa St 85, Texas 76 - Texas, on the edge of 4/5 seed territory, doesn't get dinged for the loss, but may see the 2 line beyond reach now
Kansas 64, Texas Tech - Kansas what are you doing

Villanova 82, Providence 79 (2OT) - a golden chance for the signature win it needs goes by the boards for Providence; no change in status for either, really
St John's 77, Butler 52

Maryland 71, Wake Forest 60 - I may allow UM to linger on the bubble for awhile
Clemson 73, NC State 56 - NC State is about done here; Clemson will linger on the bubble for awhile as well
Duke 68, Georgia Tech 51
Virginia 57, Virginia Tech 53

Kentucky 84, Ole Miss 70 - and Ole Miss is just about done here
Tennessee 67, Georgia 48 - for once, the SEC behaved itself for a night

George Washington 73, Richmond 65 - GWU with a quality road win, shouldn't really bring the bubble into play for them.  Richmond on the other hand...this one hurts a lot.  This was the spot they needed a result in

Louisville 80, USF 54

San Diego St 60, Utah St 45
Boise and Wyoming also won; no amount of winning will probably get them to the bubble, but NIT implications


Wednesday: 
Creighton at Marquette - well, if Marquette was ever going to be a part of the bubble, this is the spot
UCLA at California - Cal could use some cushion in the bubble race; it's time for UCLA to start winning some games to move up the board
Arizona St at Colorado - winner is going to feel pretty secure about its tourney hopes; loser should be OK for now as well
New Mexico at UNLV - last chance saloon (again) for UNLV
American at Boston - if you're wondering, Boston profiles out as a much better team.  This is for the Patriot lead

In hold-serve theater:  BC at Syracuse, Auburn at Florida, Cincy at UCF, St Louis at GMU, Northwestern at Ohio St, DePaul at Xavier, St Joseph's at URI, Evansville at Indiana St, Wichita St at Loyola, Houston at SMU, Miss. St at LSU, Vandy at Missouri, TCU at Kansas St, LaSalle at Dayton, Washington at Oregon, South Carolina at Arkansas, Illinois at Minnesota, Arizona at Utah.  In every single one of these games, you have a bubble team (or better) playing a non-bubble team, and a loss in any of these games would range from bad to catastrophic.  They can mean losing the one line (Wichita, Arizona), a protected seed (Ohio St, Cincy), lock status (SMU), the right side of the bubble (Xavier, Missouri), or off the at-large board completely (Indiana St, LSU).

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