Sunday, February 9, 2014

2/10 bracket and thoughts

Every bracketologists' nightmare:  BYU in the first four.  It led to a chain of decisions that ended with a possible Kentucky/Missouri SEC matchup in the round of 32.  Deal with it.

Other musings:
1) The back end of the bubble got ugly quick.  Ole Miss, Tenneseee, not only in, but avoiding going to Dayton?  4 SEC teams among the last 6 in is an ugly byproduct.  BYU in is almost unfathomable to me, but I don't know who else to go with.
2) I'm guessing one of Provi and G'town get in to help solve this problem.  I just couldn't make the case for either this week.
3) St Joseph's and Richmond are more in play than I originally thought.  Richmond is in for this week; I think the A-10 has a legit chance at 5 bids now.
4) 3 B1G teams on the 4 line...this is a matter of a bit of a logjam around the 3 line.  Wichita and SDSU being so high up throws off the balance - you have a lot of conference leaders on the 1 and 2 line, which mean the best of the rest crowd the 3 line and the crowded B1G scene leaves them all on the 4 line.  I hope this situation resolves itself soon.
5) The 4-6 lines feel crowded, to the point where me having UMass as a 7 feels very low for them - they should be higher.  By contrast, by the time to get to about the 10 line, you start searching for teams just to put in.
6)  The Pac-12 pecking order is still a mess, and will likely change weekly.  Don't put much stock into what it says right now.


EAST
@Buffalo
1) Syracuse (23-0) vs. 16) Yale (10-9)/VMI (10-9)
8) Colorado (18-6) vs. 9) VCU (19-5)
@Raleigh
4) Kentucky (18-5) vs. 13) Belmont (18-8)
5) Texas (18-5) vs. 12) Richmond (15-8)/Missouri (16-7)
@Orlando
3) Cincinnati (22-3) vs. 14) Georgia St (15-6)
6) Oklahoma (18-6) vs. 11) Tennessee (14-8)
@Buffalo
2) Villanova (21-2) vs. 15) Vermont (13-9)
7) UMass (19-4) vs. 10) California (15-8)

MIDWEST
@Orlando
1) Florida (21-2) vs. 16) Robert Morris (14-11)
8) New Mexico (18-4) vs. 9) Pittsburgh (20-4)
@San Diego
4) Wisconsin (19-5) vs. 13) Mercer (16-6)
5) Louisville (19-4) vs. 12) Toledo (19-3)
@Milwaukee
3) Iowa St (18-4) vs. 14) Stephen F Austin (18-2)
6) UCLA (18-5) vs. 11) Minnesota (15-8)
@Milwaukee
2) Michigan St (20-4) vs. 15) American (14-9)
7) G. Washington (19-4) vs. 10) Xavier (15-7)

SOUTH
@St Louis
1) Wichita St (24-0) vs. 16) Utah Valley (12-8)/Southern (10-10)
8) UConn (18-5) vs. 9) Oklahoma St (19-7)
@Spokane
4) Iowa (17-6) vs. 13) Delaware (18-7)
5) St Louis (21-2) vs. 12) BYU (16-9)/LSU (15-7)
@Raleigh
3) Duke (19-5) vs. 14) Iona (15-8)
6) Ohio St (19-5) vs. 11) Southern Miss (19-3)
@St Louis
2) Kansas (18-5) vs. 15) Davidson (13-11)
7) Gonzaga (20-4) vs. 10) Stanford (15-7)

WEST
@San Diego
1) Arizona (23-1) vs. 16) Weber St (11-7)
8) Kansas St (16-7) vs. 9) SMU (19-5)
@Spokane
4) Michigan (17-6) vs. 13) Green Bay (16-5)
5) Virginia (19-5) vs. 12) North Dakota St (15-6)
@San Antonio
3) Creighton (19-4) vs. 14) North Carolina Central (15-5)
6) Memphis (17-5) vs. 11) Ole Miss (16-7)
@San Antonio
2) San Diego St (19-1) vs. 15) UC Irvine (14-9)
7) North Carolina (16-7) vs. 10) Arizona St (18-6)

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