Sunday, February 16, 2014

2/17 NIT/CBI/CIT projections

Remember:  NIT projections assume a massive BCS bias from the NIT selection committee, hence the low seeds of several quality mid-major teams.  I'm going for realism in the projections.

NIT

1) Providence (17-9) vs. 8) Harvard (19-4)
4) Ole Miss (16-9) vs. 5) Louisiana Tech (20-5)
3) Clemson (15-9) vs. 6) Toledo (20-4)
2) LSU (15-9) vs. 7) UNLV (17-8)

1) St John's (17-9) vs. 8) Manhattan (19-6)
4) North Carolina St (16-9) vs. 5) Vanderbilt (14-10)
3) West Virginia (15-11) vs. 6) Georgia (14-10)
2) Florida St (15-10) vs. 7) Southern Miss (19-5)

1) Arkansas (16-9) vs. 8) Middle Tennessee (17-7)
4) Indiana (14-11) vs. 5) Marquette (15-10)
3) Dayton (17-8) vs. 6) Maryland (14-12)
2) Indiana St (18-6) vs. 7) Ohio (17-7)

1) Baylor (14-9) vs. 8) New Mexico St (19-8)
4) Utah (15-8) vs. 5) Wyoming (14-9)
3) Nebraska (14-10) vs. 6) St Mary's (18-8)
2) Oregon (16-8) vs. 7) Boise St (14-9)

For the CBI, I assume every major conference team would accept a bid if given.  Obviously most won't, but I can't guess who would and who wouldn't this early.

CBI

LaSalle (12-12) at Seton Hall (13-12)
Towson (16-9) at Wake Forest (14-11)

Quinnipiac (17-8) at Purdue (15-10)
Akron (17-8) at Cleveland St (16-10)

Missouri St (16-9) at Texas Tech (13-12)
Tulsa (13-12) at Texas A&M (14-11)

Utah St (14-10) at Washington (14-12)
UCSB (14-7) at San Francisco (14-10)

CIT projections are more straightforward.

CIT

Brown (12-9) at St Bonaventure (15-10)
Bryant (15-10) at Stony Brook (17-8)
Holy Cross (16-10) at Canisius (18-8)
Drexel (14-11) at Buffalo (13-8)

American (15-10) at William & Mary (14-9)
VMI (11-10) at FGCU (15-10)
Norfolk St (11-11) at Charlotte (14-10)
Chattanooga (13-11) at Morehead St (16-9)

UAB (13-10) at Murray St (14-9)
Milwaukee (15-10) at Illinois St (13-12)
Western Kentucky (16-9) atEastern Michigan (12-10)
Valparaiso (13-11) at IPFW (16-9)

Hawaii (16-7) at Pepperdine (13-13)
Northern Colorado (13-8) at Colorado St (12-12)
Louisiana-Lafayette (14-9) at Sam Houston St (15-6)
South Dakota St (13-10) at Portland (15-11)

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