Sunday, January 10, 2016

1/9 recap

@LaSalle 61, Dayton 57 - ugly loss, LaSalle is not good.  This is not the spot where you want to use the road mulligan
St Bonaventure 88, @UMass 77 - Bonaventure...not quite on the at-large radar yet, but in play
@Davidson 81, George Mason 75
@George Washington 91, Duquesne 64

@Georgia Tech 68, Virginia 64 - so, um Virginia has a problem dropping road games they shouldn't.  That's going to cause some seeding issues in March.  Keep an eye out for this trend
North Carolina 84, @Syracuse 73
@Miami 72, Florida St 59
@Duke 82, Virginia Tech 58
Pittsburgh 86, @Notre Dame 82 - UND in bubble trouble; the bigger story is Pitt starting to really solidify themselves in the lockbox

@UConn 81, Memphis 78 - the computer numbers are ugly but all UConn can do is win at this point
@Temple 78, East Carolina 60

Big 12:
Kansas 69, @Texas Tech 59 - ok, everyone needs to cool it on TTU, okay?
@Oklahoma 86, Kansas St 76
Baylor 94, @Iowa St 89 - Baylor was the one team in the conference in computer profile trouble, and this solves a lot.  A big story for ISU here as well, because they've lost the lead draft of Kansas/Oklahoma and that could be worth a couple seeding lines
@West Virginia 77, Oklahoma St 60
@TCU 58, Texas 57 - when you're a bubble team, you can't spend road games like this.  Need to win the gimmies on the road

Big East:
@Georgetown 74, DePaul 63
Creighton 82, @Seton Hall 67 - pretty bad for SHU.  Is Creighton in play for the bubble yet?  I'll need more than this, but it's a start
@Marquette 81, St Johns 75

Maryland 63, @Wisconsin 60
Northwestern 77, @Minnesota 52 - the computer profile is an issue, but any road win is a good win

CAA:  William & Mary beats Northeastern, and everyone has a loss in conference now.  This could be a fun race to watch

@Monmouth 88, Quinnipiac 74 - Iona also won, and is getting annoying for leading the conference over Monmouth

Wichita St 83, @Southern Illinois 58
@Northern Iowa 77, Drake 44

Colorado St 85, @San Jose St 84
@Wyoming 59, UNLV 57
@New Mexico 77, Utah St 59
@Boise St 81, Fresno St 70

@USC 103, Arizona 101 (4OT) - Zona is just throwing away seed lines right now
Washington 99, @Washington St 95 (OT)
@UCLA 81, Arizona St 74
@Oregon St 77, California 71 - it's becoming more and more difficult to analyze the middle of this conference.  Everyone seems the same, profile wise.  And Arizona is slipping to the middle here.  Any predictions on this conference are moot, because it's all going to change by March

Kentucky 77, @Alabama 61
Texas A&M 92, @Tennessee 88 - A&M is a solid #2 here
@South Carolina 69, Vanderbilt 65 - Vandy's collapse is complete, just about
@Florida 68, LSU 62 - no big deal for LSU to lose this road game after their big results last week, but they'll eventually need more
@Ole Miss 72, Georgia 71 - Ole Miss starting to pull away as a solid #3 in this conference

SoCon:  Chattanooga lost on the road, so those remote at-large hopes dwindled further

Sun Belt:
@Arkansas-Little Rock 58, Louisiana-Monroe 57

@Pepperdine 67, St Marys 64 - tough ask, but St Mary's has to walk a fine line given its SoS and road/home splits.  Not the worst road loss, though
@Gonzaga 85, Portland 74
@BYU 102, San Francisco 92

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