Monday, January 18, 2016

1/18 S-CURVE

AQ shenanigans:
West Coast:  St Mary's has the autobid, not Gonzaga
Sun Belt:  UALR has the autobid over UT-Arlington
Pac-12:  Washington still has the autobid for now
MAAC:  Monmouth has taken the lead and the MAAC is back to 1 bid
A-10:  VCU has the autobid now

The 1 line:  Oklahoma (15-1), Villanova (16-2), Kansas (14-2), Xavier (16-1)
The 2 line:  North Carolina (16-2), Iowa (14-3), West Virginia (15-2), Maryland (16-2)
The 3 line:  Michigan St (16-3), Texas A&M (15-2), Virginia (13-4), Duke (14-4)
The 4 line:  Iowa St (13-4), Miami (13-3), Purdue (15-3), Oregon (13-4)
The 5 line:  USC (15-3), Louisville (14-3), Dayton (14-3), Kentucky (13-4)
The 6 line:  Providence (15-3), Arizona (15-3), Pittsburgh (14-2), Butler (13-4)
The 7 line:  Indiana (15-3), Baylor (13-3), South Carolina (15-1), Utah (12-5)
The 8 line:  Colorado (13-4), Michigan (12-5), Wichita St (11-5), Notre Dame (12-5)
The 9 line:  Monmouth (13-4), George Washington (14-4), Florida (11-6), Valparaiso (13-3)
The 10 line:  Texas (11-6), Seton Hall (13-4), California (12-6), Oregon St (10-5)
The 11 line:  Gonzaga (13-4), UCLA (11-7), Arkansas-Little Rock (13-1), St Joseph's (14-3), Clemson (12-6), St Mary's (14-2)
The 12 line:  Washington (12-5), VCU (13-5), San Diego St (10-6), Chattanooga (14-3)
The 13 line:  James Madison (13-5), IPFW (13-5), UC-Irvine (13-5), Princeton (10-4)
The 14 line:  UAB (14-3), Stony Brook (11-4), Memphis (12-5), Northern Illinois (10-3)
The 15 line:  Belmont (12-6), North Florida (12-6), Montana (8-6), UNC-Asheville (11-6)
The 16 line:  Cal St-Bakersfield (10-5), Hampton (9-7), Bucknell (7-9), Houston Baptist (7-7), Mount St Mary's (8-11), Texas Southern (5-11)

Next 4 in:
Texas
Seton Hall
California
Oregon St

Last 4 in:
Gonzaga
UCLA
Arkansas-Little Rock*
St Joseph's
Clemson

Last 4 out:
Cincinnati (13-6)
UConn (12-5)
St Mary's*
Texas Tech (11-5)
Washington*
Texas-Arlington (12-3)

Next 4 out:
Alabama (10-6)
Davidson (10-5)
VCU*
Stanford (9-6)
Arizona St (11-7)

Break it down!:
Pac-12 9
ACC 8
Big 12 6
B1G 6
Big East 5
SEC 4
A-10 4
WCC 2

way-too early NIT projections:
The 1 line:  Cincinnati (13-6), UConn (12-5), Texas Tech (11-5), Texas-Arlington (12-3)
The 2 line:  Alabama (10-6), Davidson (10-5), Stanford (9-6), Arizona St (11-7)
The 3 line:  Ohio St (12-7), Wake Forest (10-7), Tulsa (11-6), Florida St (12-5)
The 4 line:  BYU (12-6), Ole Miss (12-5), St Bonaventure (12-4), Vanderbilt (10-7)
The 5 line:  LSU (11-6), Syracuse (12-7), Boise St (11-5), Georgia Tech (11-7)
The 6 line:  Marquette (12-6), South Dakota St (12-5), Georgia (9-6), Northwestern (15-4)
The 7 line:  William & Mary (10-5), Tennessee (9-8), Kansas St (11-6), Middle Tennessee (10-5)
The 8 line:  Evansville (15-3), Houston (13-4), Hawaii (13-2), Creighton (13-6)

Best available for the Vegas 16/CBI:
Virginia Tech (12-6), Georgetown (11-7), Auburn (8-8), Arkansas (9-8), Penn St (11-8), Wisconsin (10-9), Nebraska (11-8), Rhode Island (11-7), Richmond (10-7), Temple (9-7)

Best available for the CIT:
Northeastern (11-7), Hofstra (11-6), UNC-Wilmington (10-5), Omaha (10-7), Fresno St (10-6), New Mexico (10-8), UNLV (9-8), Utah St (9-6), Akron (12-4), Kent St (11-5), Ohio (9-6), Southern Illinois (16-3), Northern Iowa (9-9), Pepperdine (10-7), Yale (9-5), Oakland (11-7), Green Bay (9-7), Mercer (12-4), Iona (9-8), Siena (11-6), Louisiana Tech (11-5), Marshall (9-9), Albany (13-5), Navy (13-5), Grand Canyon (15-2), Weber St (10-5), Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (11-3)

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