Sunday, March 14, 2021


I've made one course correction in favor of the ACC schools - I think I've been low-rating them based on the fact several conference wins were teetering on the Q1/Q2 cutoff - I've given modest bumps to everyone to account for this.

Where I'm gonna be wrong:
- The 2 line.  Houston over Texas.  Playing the hunch the committee just takes the higher ranked team instead of more loaded resume
- The 4-6 lines.  Biggest jumble of the entire grid to me.  I think both Nova and Tennessee have excellent arguments for the 4 line.  Just believe the ACC schools, with my correction, go there.
- The bubble.  Starting to hate Wichita's resume the more I look at it, but as far as I can see, their weaknesses aren't weak enough to lose out to Drake and the MWC schools.  That Houston win is everything right now.
- The mid-major champs.  I don't feel confident at all about Loyola, SDSU, and Bonaventure's seed.

The 1 line:  Gonzaga, Baylor, Illinois, Michigan
The 2 line:  Alabama, Ohio St, Iowa, Houston
The 3 line:  Texas, Oklahoma St, Arkansas, Kansas
The 4 line:  West Virginia, Purdue, Virginia, Florida St
The 5 line:  Villanova, Tennessee, Creighton, Missouri
The 6 line:  Colorado, Texas Tech, USC, LSU
The 7 line:  Oregon, San Diego St, BYU, Wisconsin
The 8 line:  Florida, Loyola, Oklahoma, Clemson
The 9 line:  Georgia Tech, St Bonaventure, Rutgers, North Carolina
The 10 line:  UConn, Maryland, Virginia Tech, Michigan St
The 11 line:  VCU, Louisville, UCLA, Utah St, Syracuse, Wichita St
The 12 line:  Georgetown, Oregon St, North Texas, Winthrop
The 13 line:  Colgate, UNC Greensboro, Ohio, UC Santa Barbara
The 14 line:  Abilene Christian, Liberty, Morehead St, Grand Canyon
The 15 line:  Eastern Washington, Drexel, Cleveland St, Iona
The 16 line:  Oral Roberts, Appalachian St, Hartford, Mt St Mary's, Norfolk St, Texas Southern

Last 4 in:
Utah St
Wichita St

Last 4 out:
Colorado St
Ole Miss
Boise St


ILLSC said...

i noticed you left drake out, no way should they be out, but your job isnt to chose YOUR tournament, it is to pick who you think the comitee should pick, and honestly they will leave drake out, tis a bummer

ILLSC said...

well, looks like the comitee did the right thing