I've made one course correction in favor of the ACC schools - I think I've been low-rating them based on the fact several conference wins were teetering on the Q1/Q2 cutoff - I've given modest bumps to everyone to account for this.
Where I'm gonna be wrong:
- The 2 line. Houston over Texas. Playing the hunch the committee just takes the higher ranked team instead of more loaded resume
- The 4-6 lines. Biggest jumble of the entire grid to me. I think both Nova and Tennessee have excellent arguments for the 4 line. Just believe the ACC schools, with my correction, go there.
- The bubble. Starting to hate Wichita's resume the more I look at it, but as far as I can see, their weaknesses aren't weak enough to lose out to Drake and the MWC schools. That Houston win is everything right now.
- The mid-major champs. I don't feel confident at all about Loyola, SDSU, and Bonaventure's seed.
The 1 line: Gonzaga, Baylor, Illinois, Michigan
The 2 line: Alabama, Ohio St, Iowa, Houston
The 3 line: Texas, Oklahoma St, Arkansas, Kansas
The 4 line: West Virginia, Purdue, Virginia, Florida St
The 5 line: Villanova, Tennessee, Creighton, Missouri
The 6 line: Colorado, Texas Tech, USC, LSU
The 7 line: Oregon, San Diego St, BYU, Wisconsin
The 8 line: Florida, Loyola, Oklahoma, Clemson
The 9 line: Georgia Tech, St Bonaventure, Rutgers, North Carolina
The 10 line: UConn, Maryland, Virginia Tech, Michigan St
The 11 line: VCU, Louisville, UCLA, Utah St, Syracuse, Wichita St
The 12 line: Georgetown, Oregon St, North Texas, Winthrop
The 13 line: Colgate, UNC Greensboro, Ohio, UC Santa Barbara
The 14 line: Abilene Christian, Liberty, Morehead St, Grand Canyon
The 15 line: Eastern Washington, Drexel, Cleveland St, Iona
The 16 line: Oral Roberts, Appalachian St, Hartford, Mt St Mary's, Norfolk St, Texas Southern
Last 4 in:
Last 4 out: