Wednesday, January 31, 2018

1/30 recap

Xavier 73, @St John's 68

Auburn 79, @Ole Miss 70 - this is starting to get pretty ridiculous, Auburn.  Drop a game already
@Kentucky 83, Vanderbilt 81 (OT)
@Georgia 72, Florida 60
@Texas A&M 80, Arkansas 66 - bottom line is both teams are in a murky position right now

@Oklahoma 98, Baylor 96
TCU 79, @Oklahoma St 66 - the biggest result of the night.  TCU desperately needs to pad the road resume, and OSU desperately needed to hold serve to feel like they're still reasonably in the bubble discussion

@Ohio St 71, Indiana 56
@Iowa 94, Minnesota 70

@Clemson 82, North Carolina 78 - this is going to be one heck of a race within the top 4 ACC teams as to who can avoid the west regional

Rhode Island 85, @UMass 83 - 10 down, 8 to go

@Kent St 82, Buffalo 79 - UB finally gives one up in the MAC

1/29 recap

The posting schedule is just going to be a mess this year.  We'll all have to accept that.

@Duke 88, Notre Dame 66

Kansas 70, @Kansas St 56 - home losses to Kansas are normally fine, but K-State needs to make up for resume deficiencies and this was the best chance

@Michigan 58, Northwestern 47
Nebraska 74, @Wisconsin 63 - yeah I don't like it either, but we're going to have to evaluate Nebraska down the stretch, guys

Sunday, January 28, 2018

1/28 recap

Villanova 85, @Marquette 82 - yawn
Seton Hall 86, @DePaul 70

Purdue 74, @Indiana 67 - yawn
Michigan St 74, @Maryland 68 - yawn

Clemson 72, @Georgia Tech 70

@Wichita St 90, Tulsa 71 - yawn
@SMU 86, East Carolina 61
@Houston 63, South Florida 40

@USC 77, California 59
@Washington 80, Washington St 62 - the Pac-12 finally settled down for one weekend

@St Bonaventure 70, George Washington 52
Richmond 66, @Davidson 63 - no bubble significance.  I just want to point out that Richmond went 2-10 in the non-con, and is now in 2nd place in the A-10.  That just about says everything about the A-10 this year.  To be fair to Richmond, they ended up playing a bunch of teams that turned out to be better than thought (Louisiana, ODU, Bucknell, BC) and had a strong OOC overall.  But still

@Loyola(Chi) 70, Northern Iowa 47 - we finally have some definition in this conference race, LUC is really close to getting away from the pack for good

1/27 recap

@Rhode Island 61, Duquesne 58

Virginia 65, @Duke 63 - Duke is definitely a step behind in the race for the 1 line.  It's time to move a Big 12 team into that spot.  And maybe time to move UVa to #1 overall
NC State 95, @North Carolina 91 (OT) - a very annoying result in that we must introduce NCSU to the S-Curve and make UNC's seed more complicated
@Florida St 103, Miami 94 (OT) - home team holds; so status quo for both
Syracuse 60, @Pitt 55 - road wins are never trivial
Virginia Tech 80, @Notre Dame 75 - and here's another ACC also-ran we're going to have to take seriously.  ACC is getting a bit complicated.  The middle of these standings are jammed
@Louisville 96, Wake Forest 77

Cincinnati 62, @Memphis 48

SEC/Big 12 televised contrivance series:
- Fun fact:  the best team (Auburn) in the SEC didn't play in this, and the teams are horribly mismatched in a few instances.  Stop setting your lineups in the preseason, dolts
- @Kansas 79, Texas A&M 68 - a useless win for Kansas
- Kentucky 83, @West Virginia 76 - one of those Group 0 wins I like to talk about.  This should ease concerns about the profile for now.  As for WVU, we're gonna need to talk about their SoS someday
- @Alabama 80, Oklahoma 73 - I'm not really sure where to seed OU right now
- Texas Tech 70, @South Carolina 63 - result of the day.  TTU didn't play a non-con road game, so anything approaching substance on the road is significant to the profile
- @Florida 81, Baylor 60
- Tennessee 68, @Iowa St 45 - UT might have the 2nd best profile in the SEC, but they got a useless road game
- @Texas 85, Ole Miss 72
- @Kansas St 56, Georgia 51 - okay, we can take KSU seriously, but please reference the non-con SoS first.  Practice safe bracketology, everyone
- @Vanderbilt 81, TCU 78 - just like TTU, TCU has a road non-con problem.  Unlike Tech, TCU has completely blown it and is in serious bubble trouble
- @Arkansas 66, Oklahoma St 65

@Butler 70, St John's 45
@Creighton 85, Georgetown 77

@Penn St 60, Rutgers 43
@Nebraska 98, Iowa 84

@Auburn 95, LSU 70
@Mississippi St 74, Missouri 62 - that's the type of loss that pops bubbles

@Arizona 74, Utah 73
@Arizona St 80, Colorado 66
@Oregon 66, Oregon St 57
@UCLA 89, Stanford 73 - nothing funny in the Pac-12 today.  Weird

@Middle Tennessee 81, UTEP 50
@Western Kentucky 85, Marshall 74

Boise St 70, @Air Force 64

@Gonzaga 82, San Francisco 73
@St Mary's 72, Portland 55
@BYU 80, Pacific 65

Friday, January 26, 2018

1/27 S-CURVE

- I feel good about the teams listed in the 1 line, the 2 line, and the 3 line.  I'm not convinced I have the right order.  But the right teams are in those lines
- Pay attention to non-con SoSs when doing your seeds.  Red flags belong to:
Creighton (256)
Florida St (285)
Houston (271)
Kansas St (333)
...among others, of course.

The 1 line:  Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke
The 2 line:  North Carolina, Oklahoma, Kansas, Xavier
The 3 line:  Arizona, Auburn, Clemson, West Virginia
The 4 line:  Cincinnati, Tennessee, Ohio St, Michigan St
The 5 line:  Texas Tech, TCU, Kentucky, Rhode Island
The 6 line:  Seton Hall, Miami, Wichita St, Florida
The 7 line:  Nevada, Louisville, Arizona St, Arkansas
The 8 line:  Creighton, , Texas, St Mary's, Gonzaga
The 9 line:  Michigan, Butler, Alabama, Providence
The 10 line:  Missouri, USC, Syracuse, Florida St
The 11 line:  Marquette, Boise St, Western Kentucky, Texas A&M, Houston, South Carolina
The 12 line:  Middle Tennessee, New Mexico St, Loyola(Chi), Buffalo
The 13 line:  Northeastern, East Tennessee St, Louisiana, Vermont
The 14 line:  Belmont, South Dakota, Canisius, Wright St
The 15 line:  Montana, Hawaii, Bucknell, Penn
The 16 line:  Radford, Wagner, FGCU, Nicholls St, Bethune-Cookman, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Next 4 in:
USC
Syracuse
Marquette
Boise St

Last 4 in:
Western Kentucky
Texas A&M
Houston
South Carolina

Last 4 out:
Kansas St
SMU
Notre Dame
Maryland

Next 4 out:
Washington
Virginia Tech
Georgia
St Bonaventure

Break it down!:
SEC 9
ACC 8
Big East 7
Big 12 6
B1G 4
AAC 3
Pac-12 3
MWC 2
WCC 2
CUSA 2

1/26 recap

@Michigan St 76, Wisconsin 61

miscellany:
Oakland wins at Northern Kentucky, handing command of the Horizon back to Wright St
Buffalo goes to 8-0 in the MAC

1/25 recap

@Purdue 92, Michigan 88
Penn St 82, @Ohio St 79 - and OSU finally drops one.  As I like to say, everyone gets one.  No harm to OSU

@Arizona 80, Colorado 71
Utah 80, @Arizona St 77 (OT) - life comes at you fast, ASU.  Now we gotta start worrying about bubbles over here
@UCLA 70, Cal 57

@Wichita St 81, UCF 62
@UConn 62, SMU 52 - signature wins or not, hovering around. 500 in the AAC ain't gonna work for SMU

Gonzaga 95, @Portland 79
@St Mary's 75, BYU 62 - just in case people were keeping BYU around on their board, it's probably unreachable for them at this point

@Middle Tennessee 75, UT San Antonio 51