S-Curve 2/10

You know the drill.  Analysis below.  For now, absorb the glory:

The 1 line:  Syracuse (23-0), Arizona (23-1), Wichita St (24-0), Florida (21-2)
The 2 line:  San Diego St (19-1), Kansas (18-5), Villanova (21-2), Michigan St (20-4)
The 3 line:  Iowa St (18-4), Duke (19-5), Cincinnati (22-3), Creighton (19-4)
The 4 line:  Iowa (17-6), Michigan (17-6), Kentucky (18-5), Wisconsin (19-5)
The 5 line:  Virginia (19-5), Texas (18-5), Louisville (19-4), St Louis (21-2)
The 6 line:  Memphis (17-5), Ohio St (19-5), Oklahoma (18-6), UCLA (18-5)
The 7 line:  UMass (19-4), North Carolina (16-7), G. Washington (19-4), Gonzaga (20-4)
The 8 line:  New Mexico (18-4), UConn (18-5), Kansas St (16-7), Colorado (18-6)
The 9 line:  VCU (19-5), SMU (19-5), Pittsburgh (20-4), Oklahoma St (19-7)
The 10 line:  Arizona St (18-6), Xavier (15-7), Stanford (15-7), California (15-8)
The 11 line:  Minnesota (15-8), Tennessee (14-8), Southern Miss (19-3), Ole Miss (16-7)
The 12 line:  Richmond (15-8), LSU (15-7), Missouri (16-7), BYU (16-9), Toledo (19-3), North Dakota St (15-6)
The 13 line:  Green Bay (16-5), Belmont (18-8), Mercer (16-6), Delaware (18-7)
The 14 line:  Stephen F Austin (18-2), North Carolina Central (15-5), Iona (15-8), Georgia St (15-6)
The 15 line:  American (14-9), UC Irvine (14-9), Vermont (13-9), Davidson (13-11)
The 16 line:  Weber St (11-7), Robert Morris (14-11), Utah Valley (12-8), Yale (10-9), VMI (10-9), Southern (10-10)

The first 31 teams are in my lockbox.

Bubble in:
Colorado, VCU, SMU, Pittsburgh, Oklahoma St, Arizona St, Xavier, Stanford

Next 4 in:
California
Minnesota
Tennessee
*Southern Miss
Ole Miss

Last 4 in:
Richmond
LSU
Missouri
BYU

Last 4 out:
Providence (16-8)
Dayton (16-8)
Georgetown (14-9)
Oregon (15-8)

Next 4 out:
Florida St (14-9)
St Joseph's (16-7)
St John's (15-9)
Baylor (12-9)

Bubble inception:  WE HAVE TO GO DEEPER
Indiana (14-9)
*Toledo
Indiana St (16-6)
Clemson (15-7)
West Virginia (14-10)
Harvard (17-4)
*North Dakota St
Arkansas (15-8)

About to lose the lead draft of the bubble
St Mary's (17-7)
NC State (15-8)
UNLV (16-8)
Louisiana Tech (19-5)
Boise St (13-9)
UTEP (16-6)

For now, I'm cutting off the bubble at this spot.