Thursday, February 20, 2014

2/20 recap

North Carolina 74, Duke 66 - We're going to have to talk about UNC as a 4 or 5 seed now, at least.  Duke's margin of error for a 1 seed is almost gone; I don't see how they get there without a big chip, like Syracuse.

Michigan St 94, Purdue 79 - Every road win is big for MSU right now.
Nebraska 80, Penn St 67

Seton Hall 82, Georgetown 67 - Marginal road loss for G'town.  C'mon guys, make my life easier.

Oregon St 68, Washington St 57
Stanford 80, USC 59

Memphis 64, Rutgers 59
UConn 68, Temple 55

Texas A&M 63, Alabama 48 - Still no upset in the SEC this week, which is a minor miracle.

BYU 73, Gonzaga 65 - Gonzaga is no lock, folks.  Recognize this.  BYU just needs to avoid bad losses.  Please, make things simple and avoid bad losses.
San Francisco 73, St Mary's 62 - In case any rogue bracketologists still have St Mary's on their board, it's time to recognize they're not even #3 in the WCC now.

I'm sorry, I need to rant about CUSA for an abnormally long time, just for one night, I swear...
MTSU 71, Charlotte 49 - MTSU has messed everything up in CUSA.  All these other teams on the fringes of the bubble desperately needs the CUSA regular season title in their corner, and MTSU is going to take it away from all of them
East Carolina 75, Louisiana Tech 68 - What a terrible, terrible road loss for a team sneaking up on the bubble.
Tulsa 71, FAU 52 - Oh, and Tulsa bombing the non-con and then going to 9-3 in the conference ain't helping CUSA either.
Southern Miss 85, UTSA 56 - Too little too late.
UTEP 72, Tulane 54 - Too little too late.


small school stuff:
RMU wins, 12-1 in the NEC
Georgia St wins, 12-1 in the 'Belt
Quinnipiac 88, Canisius 81 - Quinnipiac 1.5 behind Iona, Canisius 2.5 back
Belmont wins, 12-2 in the OVC
Green Bay 67, Valparaiso 53 - Too late for the bubble, but this should put the Horizon on ice
Utah Valley and NMSU win, UVU 0.5 games to the good in the WAC
Weber St loses to Montana, N. Colorado moves to 1 game back in the Big Sky
Toledo 60, Bowling Green 58 - Tight road win to keep faint hopes alive
UC Irvine wins at Hawaii to maintain the Big West lead

Friday preview:
A NEW S-CURVE, we start twice-a-week projections.
Mercer at FGCU - Mercer is 1 up and can salt away the A-Sun with a road win here (and a shot at the 12 line or even 11 line by running the table)
VCU at UMass - Both figure to make the tournament, but this is all about seeding.  VCU can add a signature road win, UMass can add some quality to a profile with a lot of quantity
In the MAAC, Iona (14-2) visits Rider, might be a tricky spot, 1.5 up
Yale and Harvard have manageable road games as well

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