Tweaks as follows:
1) Long-overdue ascension to the 2 line for Arizona. Costs Virginia for now.
2) Duke back to the 4 line, as Butler can't figure out how to win games they should
3) Creighton back to the 5 line as they steady their profile
4) I'm running out of teams I feel good about, so enter Wichita, who at least isn't losing like everyone else on the bubble
The 1 line: Villanova (21-2), Kansas (20-2), Baylor (19-2), Gonzaga (23-0)
The 2 line: Louisville (18-4), Arizona (21-2), Kentucky (18-4), North Carolina (19-4)
The 3 line: Virginia (17-4), West Virginia (18-4), Florida St (19-4), UCLA (20-3)
The 4 line: Cincinnati (20-2), Wisconsin (19-3), Oregon (19-3), Duke (17-5)
The 5 line: Maryland (19-2), Butler (18-5), St Mary's (20-2), Creighton (19-3)
The 6 line: Notre Dame (17-6), Florida (17-5), South Carolina (17-4), SMU (19-4)
The 7 line: Purdue (18-5), USC (19-4), Xavier (16-6), Northwestern (18-5)
The 8 line: Arkansas (17-5), Dayton (15-5), Indiana (15-8), Virginia Tech (16-6)
The 9 line: Minnesota (15-7), Middle Tennessee (19-3), Michigan St (14-9), VCU (17-5)
The 10 line: Miami (14-7), California (16-6), Iowa St (13-8), Marquette (14-8)
The 11 line: Georgia Tech (13-9), TCU (14-7), Illinois St (18-4), Kansas St (15-7), Wichita St (19-4)
The 12 line: Wake Forest (13-9), Clemson (13-8), Nevada (18-5), Akron (18-3), UNC-Wilmington (18-4)
The 13 line: Valparaiso (18-4), New Mexico St (18-2), Monmouth (18-5), Vermont (18-5)
The 14 line: Belmont (17-4), Georgia Southern (12-8), Furman (13-8), North Dakota St (13-7)
The 15 line: Princeton (9-6), Bucknell (18-6), FGCU (15-6), Winthrop (15-5)
The 16 line: Texas Southern (12-10), Sam Houston St (13-6), UC-Irvine (11-11), Weber St (11-7), Mount St Mary's (12-12), Morgan St (9-11)
Next 4 in:
Iowa St
Marquette
Georgia Tech
TCU
Last 4 in:
Kansas St
Wichita St
Wake Forest
Clemson
Last 4 out:
Michigan (14-8)
Oklahoma St (13-8)
Seton Hall (13-8)
Syracuse (14-9)
Next 4 out:
Tennessee (12-9)
North Carolina St (14-9)
Rhode Island (14-7)
Alabama (13-8)
NIT lines:
The 3 line: Georgia (12-9), Texas Tech (15-7), Georgetown (13-10), Illinois (12-10)
The 4 line: Utah (13-7), Pittsburgh (12-10), Auburn (14-8), Ohio St (13-10)
The 5 line: Memphis (17-6), Charleston (17-6), UT-Arlington (14-6), Boise St (13-7)
The 6 line: Providence (14-10), Ole Miss (13-9), Houston (16-7), LaSalle (12-8)
The 7 line: Vanderbilt (11-11), Penn St (12-11), Iowa (13-10), Mississippi St (13-8)
The 8 line: Richmond (13-9), New Mexico (14-9), BYU (16-8), Arkansas St (15-6)
Last 4 out: East Tennessee St (16-5), Tulsa (12-9), St Bonaventure (14-7), Colorado (12-10)
Break it down!
ACC 11
B1G 7
Big 12 6
Big East 5
Pac-12 5
SEC 4
AAC 2
A-10 2
WCC 2
MVC 2
3 comments:
How can Wichita State get an at large bid with 0 top 100 RPI wins ? That seems impossible to me. No one is saying Akron would have a shot at an at large bid even if they go undefeated in MAC play then lose in the final despite Akron being around 40 in the RPI and 2 of their 3 losses against Gonzaga and Creighton. I understand that it "feels" like Wichita State should be on the bubble based their Kenpom rating and "the name on the jersey" but the "who have you beat" numbers say no way they should be in. 0 wins vs tourney at large contenders and 0 wins vs top 100 RPI teams.
The advanced metrics like them, and I think the committee will be swayed by the name. Simple as that. My feels are irrelevant, but the committee's feels are very relevant.
I still don't think they should get a bid. No clue how KP can give them such a high rating when they have beat no one. I am for mid majors but them getting in would be a joke.
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