Sunday, February 26, 2017

2/27 S-CURVE

The 1 line:  Kansas (26-3), Villanova (27-3), Gonzaga (29-1), North Carolina (24-5)
The 2 line:  Louisville (23-6), Oregon (25-4), Kentucky (24-5), Baylor (22-6)
The 3 line:  UCLA (26-3), Arizona (26-4), Florida (23-6), Butler (23-6)
The 4 line:  Florida St (23-6), West Virginia (23-6), Duke (22-7), Purdue (23-6)
The 5 line:  Notre Dame (22-7), Minnesota (22-7), Virginia (19-9), Cincinnati (25-4)
The 6 line:  St Mary's (26-3), Creighton (21-7), SMU (25-4), Iowa St (19-9)
The 7 line:  South Carolina (20-8), Oklahoma St (19-9), Maryland (21-7), Wisconsin (22-7)
The 8 line:  Miami (20-8), Michigan St (18-11), Virginia Tech (20-8), Dayton (22-5)
The 9 line:  Northwestern (20-9), Xavier (18-11), Michigan (19-10), Arkansas (22-7)
The 10 line:  VCU (23-6), Middle Tennessee (24-4), Seton Hall (18-10), Wichita St (26-4)
The 11 line:  USC (21-8), Syracuse (17-13), Providence (18-11), Vanderbilt (16-13), California (19-9), Kansas St (17-12)
The 12 line:  Texas-Arlington (20-6), Nevada (23-6), Illinois St (24-5), UNC-Wilmington (24-5)
The 13 line:  Akron (22-6), Monmouth (26-5), East Tennessee St (22-6), Vermont (25-5)
The 14 line:  Princeton (18-6), Belmont (21-5), Bucknell (23-8), Winthrop (21-6)
The 15 line:  Oakland (22-7), South Dakota (19-10), Cal St-Bakersfield (18-7), FGCU (20-7)
The 16 line:  Texas Southern (17-11), North Dakota (15-8), New Orleans (14-10), Mount St Mary's (16-15), North Carolina Central (19-6), UC-Davis (16-11)

Bubble in:
Dayton
Northwestern
Xavier
Michigan
Arkansas
VCU

Next 4 in:
Seton Hall
Wichita St
USC
Syracuse

Last 4 in:
Providence
Vanderbilt
California
Kansas St

Last 4 out:
Marquette (17-11)
Georgia Tech (15-13)
TCU (16-12)
Wake Forest (16-12)

Next 4 out:
Illinois (16-12)
Rhode Island (19-9)
Houston (20-8)
Indiana (16-13)

NIT lines:
The 3 line:  Pittsburgh (15-14), Clemson (14-14), Tennessee (14-14), Boise St (17-9)
The 4 line:  BYU (21-10), Alabama (16-12), Utah (16-10), Georgia (16-12)
The 5 line:  Ole Miss (18-11), Ohio St (16-13), Charleston (22-8), Colorado St (18-9)
---typical bubble cutline---
The 6 line:  Richmond (17-11), Auburn (17-12), Texas Tech (17-12), Iowa (16-13)
The 7 line:  Valparaiso (23-7), New Mexico St (21-5), Central Florida (19-10), St Bonaventure (18-10)
The 8 line:  Texas A&M (15-13), Arkansas St (18-9), Fresno St (15-11), North Carolina St (15-15)

Break it down!
ACC 9
B1G 7
Big 12 6
Big East 6
SEC 5
Pac-12 5
AAC 2
A-10 2
WCC 2
MVC 2

Top 16 report

MIDWEST 33
1) Kansas @Tulsa
2) Louisville @Indianapolis
3) Florida @Orlando
4) Purdue @Milwaukee

SOUTH 34
1) North Carolina @Greenville
2) Kentucky @Indianapolis
3) UCLA @Sacramento
4) West Virginia @Buffalo

WEST 36
1) Gonzaga @Salt Lake City
2) Oregon @Sacramento
3) Butler @Milwaukee
4) Duke @Greenville

EAST 33
1) Villanova @Buffalo
2) Baylor @Tulsa
3) Arizona @Salt Lake City
4) Florida St @Orlando

3 comments:

HenryMuto said...

Huge win for Middle Tennessee at UAB yesterday that gives them a fighting chance at an at large bid. If Vandy would get in over them that be a travesty as they crushed them 81-48 in the regular season.

Kentucky as a 2 seed as #7 overall very interesting to have them that high. I still don't know if they would be a 2 right now. Hard to pass up so many teams with such light wins. UNC and Florida as only 2 big wins.

Andrew said...

Kentucky as a 2 seed lasted all of one day. Baylor's quality win will push them back ahead, and UCLA all of a sudden gets to play their heads-up card to take Kentucky's spot on the 2 line.

HenryMuto said...

Right now it's fluid and in the eye of the beholder what's 1 person's 2 seed is another's 3 seed and vice versa. Until we see how the next 2 weeks play it you really can stink anyone there and in the 3/4 lines. There are about 15 teams that as of today are pretty consensus protected seeds. After that it's anyone's guess. Baylor will likely lose again in the Big 12 tournament. Either Arizona or UCLA has to lose at least 1 more game so both unlikely to hold the 2 line. Kentucky needs to win out and just be patient. The big question is will the committee just stick them on the 3 line because they are lazy and won't account for the SEC tournament.